The chairman of the International Air Transport Association is Willie Walsh, who is also the Director General of IATA.

Asia, led by China, is expected to drive global growth in aircraft demand, with China accounting for 20% of the world's total aircraft deliveries and experiencing more than 6% growth in air passenger traffic.

"According to Boeing's 2021 Civil Aviation Market Forecast, the demand for new aircraft over the next 20 years is expected to reach 43,610, with significant demand coming from the North American and Chinese markets."

The Asia-Pacific region is leading the growth in global aviation demand, driven by the rapid recovery of China after the lifting of epidemic restrictions, with a 45.4% increase in travel traffic in January 2024 compared to January 2023.

"Aviation energy generation requirements are expected to increase by 5700% by 2070, reaching 44,000 TWh of energy per year, which is almost double the world's current electricity demand."

Emirates has partnered with GE Digital to implement solutions that will help reduce fuel costs and carbon emissions, enhancing the sustainability of its fleet and operations.

The forecast indicates that single-aisle jets will make up 70% of commercial aircraft deliveries by 2040.

Boeing expects to sell approximately 43,000 aircraft in the next 20 years, as stated in their 'Civil Aviation Market Forecast' report, with the North American and Chinese markets being key drivers of this demand.

The Asia-Pacific region experienced the highest increase in air travel demand, with a 45.4% growth in January 2024 compared to the previous year, driven by the lifting of epidemic restrictions and strong demand in China.

Airbus anticipates selling 39,000 aircraft over the next 20 years to meet growing travel demand and reduce carbon emissions.

The predicted passenger growth period is from 2019 to 2040, with an expected 21-year average passenger flow growth of 4%.

The chairman of the International Air Transport Association is Willie Walsh, who is also the Director General of IATA.

Title:

Content: The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has released data for June 2024 for the global air travel industry.
• Total travel demand (measured in passenger revenue per kilometre), up 9.1% compared to June 2023.
Overall capacity (measured in available seats per kilometre) increased by 8.5% year-on-year.
The load factor in June stood at 85.0%, up 0.5 percentage points compared to the same period last year.
• Global travel demand increased by 12.3% compared to June 2023, while capacity increased by 12.7% year-on-year, and load factor improved to 85.0%, down 0.3 percentage points compared to June 2023.
• Domestic demand for travel increased by 4.3% compared to June 2023, and capacity increased by 2.1% year-on-year, with the load factor stabilizing at 85.0%, up 1.7 percentage points compared to June 2023.
Willie Walsh, Director General of the International Air Transport Association (IATA), said: “All regions recorded growth in demand with the start of the Northern Hemisphere summer travel season in June.
As total demand capacity growth slowed, we saw a load factor of 85% in both domestic and international operations.
Operating with such high load factors is both useful and challenging.
It is therefore important that all parties involved work efficiently to reduce delays and ensure that passengers arrive at their destinations on time. ”
Walsh added: “As the Olympic Games kick off in Paris, we are proud of the continued role of the aviation industry in supporting this event by bringing many athletes, fans and officials together, to remind us of the power of aviation to transform our world into a global community.
We wish France every success in hosting the Games, and we encourage all athletes to do their best in the coming weeks. ”
Global air travel markets - details by region
All regions recorded strong growth in international passenger markets in June 2024 compared to June 2023.
Airlines in the Middle East recorded a 9.6% year-on-year rise in travel demand.
Capacity increased 9.4% year-on-year, while the load factor stabilized at 79.7%, up 0.1 percentage point from June 2023.
Airlines in Asia Pacific maintained strong growth, up 22.6% year-on-year in travel demand.
Capacity increased by 22.9% year-on-year, while the load factor stabilized at 83.0%, down 0.2 percentage points from June 2023.
The Africa-Asia line was the fastest growing with an increase of 38.1%.
European airlines also reported a 9.1% year-on-year rise in travel demand.
Capacity increased by 9.8% year-on-year, while the load factor stabilized at 87.4%, down 0.6 percentage points from June 2023.
Airlines in North America reported a 6.6% year-on-year rise in travel demand.
Capacity increased 8.6% year-on-year, while load factor stabilized at 88.7%, down 1.6 percentage points from June 2023, the highest among all regions.
Latin American airlines also reported a 15.3% year-on-year rise in travel demand.
Capacity increased by 15.6% year-on-year, while the load factor stabilized at 85.1%, down 0.2 percentage points from June 2023.
African airlines saw a 16.9% year-on-year rise in travel demand.
Capacity increased 5.8% year-on-year, while load factor increased to 77.0%, up 7.4 percentage points from June 2023, the largest increase in load factor among all regions.
Local Markets
Domestic demand for travel surged in June in most major markets except Japan and Australia.
Brazil recorded the largest increase of 7.6% year-on-year, while domestic ticket sales in June for travel in July and August fell 0.9%, indicating a gradual decline in demand back to pre-pandemic growth rates.
- Done.
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Asia, led by China, is expected to drive global growth in aircraft demand, with China accounting for 20% of the world's total aircraft deliveries and experiencing more than 6% growth in air passenger traffic.

Title:

Content: Cirium expects 45,000 more fuel-efficient aircraft to be delivered by 2040, worth $2.9 trillion
Cirium predicts that over the next 20 years, the world will spend $2.9 trillion on about 45,000 new aircraft.
• New aircraft expected to be delivered will replace the ageing fleet to meet projected annual growth of 3.7% in air passenger traffic
Single-aisle jets are expected to account for 70% of passenger aircraft deliveries by 2040
• China is expected to top the list with a 20% share in aircraft deliveries – the region ’ s air passenger growth is expected to exceed 6%
• Around 80% of existing passenger aircraft will be retired between 2021 and 2040
Over 3,500 freighter deliveries over the next 20 years – including new freighters and modified airliners
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An estimated 45,000 aircraft worth U.S. $2.9 trillion to be delivered by 2040.
Revealed in Cirium's new Fleet Forecast.
LONDON -- The newly released 2021 Cirium Fleet Forecast shows that around 45,000 new, more fuel-efficient aircraft will be purchased globally over the next 20 years, with an estimated $2.9 trillion in aircraft purchases.
According to the Cirium Fleet Forecast released by Ascend by Cirium, a consulting firm of aviation analytics firm Cirium, global cumulative aircraft deliveries for the next 20 years will be 4% higher than predicted a year ago by 2040.
The report outlines the positive outlook for the aviation industry and its recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.
The COVID-19 pandemic has severely affected air travel, as well as aircraft deliveries.
Global aircraft deliveries fell by 43% - or 600 aircraft - in 2020.
Aircraft deliveries recovered somewhat in 2021, but are still 25% below 2019 levels.
Air travel is reopening as global vaccination programs become more widespread, leading to an increase of 300 aircraft deliveries in 2021 — a feat achieved when Boeing 787 was found to be problematic.
Rob Morris, Global Advisory Director, Ascend by Cirium, said: “The Cirium Fleet Forecast 2021 presents an optimistic long-term outlook for the aviation industry, which will return to a more traditional growth trajectory after 2024, although structurally different from before.
Air passenger traffic is expected to grow at an annual rate of 3.7%, so the global passenger fleet will need to increase by almost 22,000 aircraft.
“If the above projections are realized, the global passenger fleet will reach the size of about 47,200 aircraft by the end of 2040. ”
The projected delivery of new aircraft will not only meet the growing demand for air transport, but will also replace older aircraft that are less fuel efficient. "
China leads in aircraft deliveries
The number of aircraft deliveries will vary depending on the region where the airline is located, and the Asian market is expected to be the growth engine.
China is expected to lead the world with more than 6% growth in air passenger traffic – also topping the list in aircraft deliveries, accounting for 20% of the world ’ s total.
China ’ s delivery figures are significantly ahead of all other Asia-Pacific countries, which together account for 22% of the total.
North American carriers are expected to account for 20 percent, while European carriers will account for 17 percent.
The Middle East is estimated to account for 7% of the share, but because the region will deliver a large number of twin-aisle aircraft, it will account for 11% in terms of aircraft value.
Latin America, which is similar to the Middle East, will also account for 7%.
Russia and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) accounted for 4%, and Africa accounted for 3%.
Most of the new deliveries will be single-aisle jets
The fleet forecast report shows that over the next 20 years, single-aisle jets will account for 70% of total aircraft deliveries and 55% of total delivery value.
The total value of newly delivered single-aisle jets is $1.6 trillion.
The mainstream model will still be the 150-seat aircraft, represented by the Airbus A320neo and Boeing 737 Max 8, which will account for 50% of deliveries.
Popular models with more than 180 seats include the A321 neo and the B737 Max 10, which will have an increasing share each year and will account for 40% of deliveries over the next 20 years.
Airbus and Boeing are expected to develop a new generation of single-aisle aircraft in the early to mid-2030s.
The $1.1 trillion dual-aisle aircraft market will be dominated by the B787 and A350 models, with 250-300-seat “medium ” aircraft accounting for about 65% of the total value delivered.
The large passenger aircraft market will be contested by the A350-1000 and the B777-9.
Aircraft deliveries in regional markets are expected to reach a scale of $150 billion.
About a third of them will be turboprop aircraft, based on 70-seat models.
Starting in 2030, a larger 90-seat model will enter the market.
Future new aircraft projects in the market include the MA700 from China and an expected new line of aircraft from Embraer.
Older models will be replaced by a new generation of aircraft.
It is predicted that about 80% of current passenger aircraft will be out of passenger service between 2021 and 2040.
As the airline industry begins to focus on driving down carbon emissions and focusing on sustainability, it will become increasingly important to replace these older, more fuel-efficient aircraft with new models.
Overall, in addition to several relatively new aircraft that are being phased out earlier, around 19,000 aircraft in the global passenger fleet will be phased out by the end of 2020.
According to analysis by Ascend by Cirium, the average economic life expectancy for single-aisle aircraft is 22 years and for twin-aisle aircraft is 20 years.
The number of freighters is growing: including new freighters and refitted freighters
As the global freight industry continues to perform strongly, freighter capacity (based on available tonnage kilometres) is expected to grow by 3.3% over 2019, with a projected supply of around 3,500 freighters over the next 20 years.
Of this total, it is expected that 30 per cent will be new freighters and 70 per cent will be converted from passenger aircraft.
About 1,050 new freighters are expected to be shipped, valued at $121 billion.
More online shopping during the epidemic period has promoted the development of e-commerce, and the growth of e-commerce has promoted the conversion of airliners to freighters.
Modification projects are focused on newer models such as the A321, B737-800, A330 and B777-300ER.
The Cirium Fleet Forecast is an independent outlook report on the global commercial passenger and cargo aircraft market, based on the industry ’ s premier combination of data and years of expertise.
Click here to download the executive summary of the Cirium Fleet Forecast 2021.
About Cirium
Cirium is a company that combines powerful data and analytics services to drive the world ’ s continued growth. With decades of industry experience, Cirium provides clients with expert insights to help companies, aircraft manufacturers, airports, airlines and financial institutions make informed business decisions that shape the future of the travel industry, improve business returns and improve customer experience. RELX PLC is the world ’ s leading provider of information and data analytics to professional and commercial customers across a wide range of industries.
Shares of parent company RELX PLC are traded on the London, Amsterdam and New York Stock Exchanges using the following ticker symbols: London: REL; Amsterdam: REN; New York: RELX.
Visit cirium.com for more information or follow Cirium ’ s LinkedIn account and WeChat account, CiriumCN.
Disclaimer: The original version of this announcement is the official authorized version. The translation is for convenience only. Please refer to the original version, the original version is the only version with legal effect.
Contacts
For media inquiries, please contact:
Cirium Media Team
Rachel Humphries / June Lee
media @ Cirium.com
The PC Agency
Paul Charles / Michael Johnson / Callum McGoldrick
Cirium @ pc.agency
Contacts
For media inquiries, please contact:
Cirium Media Team
Rachel Humphries / June Lee
media @ Cirium.com
The PC Agency
Paul Charles / Michael Johnson / Callum McGoldrick
Cirium @ pc.agency

"According to Boeing's 2021 Civil Aviation Market Forecast, the demand for new aircraft over the next 20 years is expected to reach 43,610, with significant demand coming from the North American and Chinese markets."

Title:

Content: China surging news reported on the 15th, the United States Boeing released the 2021 version of the "Civil Aviation Market Forecast" report on the 14th, noting that basically, the global market is recovering according to the company's 2020 expectations.
The recovery in domestic air travel demand is leading the trend, with the interregional market expected to recover with the relaxation of hygiene and travel restrictions, and eventually remote international travel will return to pre-pandemic levels in 2023-2024.
In the next 20 years, the demand for new aircraft will reach 43,610, the highest in the North American market is 9,160, and the demand in China is 8,700.
The report pointed out that the economic recovery has laid the foundation for a rebound in air passenger traffic, and the future prospects for air passenger traffic will remain stable.
Looking forward to 2025, GDP will increase by more than 15% compared to 2019, and GDP per capita will increase by about 10%.
The 21-year average passenger flow growth from 2019 to 2040 is expected to be 4%, in line with last year ’ s forecast, indicating that the basic global demand for air transport has not changed.
The report predicts that due to cyclical and structural market dynamics, the future air cargo market demand is strong, and full cargo aircraft is a significant growth area, including original cargo aircraft and modified cargo aircraft are forecast to increase from the previous year.
Thanks to the growth of e-commerce and the speed and reliability of air cargo, the world cargo fleet will increase from about 2,000 in 2019 to about 3,400, and the sustainable demand for air cargo will increase the global cargo fleet by more than 70% compared to the pre-pandemic size by 2040.
Notably, the report predicts that the world will need 19,000 civilian aircraft worth $3.2 trillion in the next 10 years, and demand for more than 43,500 new aircraft worth $7.2 trillion in the 20-year period to 2040, an increase of about 500 over the previous year ’ s forecast.
Among them, as of 2040, the demand for regional jets is 2,390, single-aisle aircraft 32,660, wide-body aircraft 7670, wide-body cargo aircraft 890, and aircraft demand totals 43,610.
The North American market has the highest demand, at 9,160, and the Chinese demand is 8,700.
This demand will lead to a 3.1% annual growth in the global active fleet, with the global civil aviation fleet set to surpass 49,000 by 2040, China, Europe, North America and Asia Pacific each accounting for 20% of new aircraft deliveries, with the remaining 20% going to emerging markets.
Traffic disruptions have a significant impact on aircraft deliveries and active fleets due to the pandemic. The report anticipates that the civil aviation industry will need more than 7,500 new wide-body aircraft by 2040 to meet fleet renewal and long-term growth in demand in the remote passenger and cargo market.
These demand increased slightly from the previous year, but decreased by 8% from 2019.
At present, single-aisle aircraft account for nearly 64% of the global passenger fleet, and single-aisle aircraft account for the largest proportion of new aircraft deliveries, roughly in line with pre-pandemic forecasts, accounting for 75%, and demand for more than 32,500 aircraft over the next 20 years.
The report notes that global demand for new single-aisle aircraft is driven by the size and flexibility of single-aisle aircraft.
In the future, these new single-aisle aircraft will continue to promote the development of low-cost airlines and provide the needed alternatives for older, less efficient aircraft.
The three regional markets for the new single-aisle aircraft are Asia Pacific, Europe and North America, which account for more than 80% of global low-cost airline capacity in 2019 and throughout the forecast period.
In addition, the report predicts long-term growth in the short-haul market, especially in emerging markets, and predicts that intra-regional short-haul travel accounts for more than half of the industry ’ s total growth demand, with inbound travel alone accounting for 17% of the industry ’ s new capacity.
Historically, excursions have been spurred by improved services, such as new direct routes and lower fares through low-cost airlines.
The report predicts that the share of Asian airlines in the global market will continue to increase, with China ’ s passenger share expected to grow from 15% in 19 years to 20% in 2040, and Asia Pacific ’ s passenger share expected to grow from 18% in 19 years to 21%.
# Growth # Planes # Forecasts # Future # Markets

The Asia-Pacific region is leading the growth in global aviation demand, driven by the rapid recovery of China after the lifting of epidemic restrictions, with a 45.4% increase in travel traffic in January 2024 compared to January 2023.

Title:

Content: Chairman of the Board of Directors and Editors
Mohamad Elbaz
Chairman of the Board of Directors and Editors
Mohamad Elbaz
International report reveals high demand for travel in January 2024
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released its latest travel report, which included global passenger demand data for January 2024, signaling a strong start to the year.
According to the report, total demand, measured by passenger revenue per kilometre, increased by 16.6%; total capacity, measured by available seats per kilometre (ASK), increased by 14.1%; load factor was 79.9% (+ 1.7 points); international demand increased by 20.8%; capacity increased by 20.9% and load factor remained at 79.7% (+ 0.0 points) while domestic demand increased by 10.4%; 4.6% and load factor 80.2% (+ 4.2 points).
Willie Walsh, Director General of IATA, said: “2024 is off to a strong start despite economic and geopolitical uncertainty, and as governments look to build prosperity in their economies in the busiest election year ever, it is critical that they view aviation as a catalyst for growth.
“We will address governments for policies that help aviation reduce costs, improve efficiency and make progress toward net CO2 emissions by 2050. ”
International Passenger Markets: Airlines in the Middle East
Airlines in the Middle East recorded a 16.2% increase in travel traffic in January 2024 compared to a year ago.
Capacity increased by 15.7% and load factor increased by 0.4 percentage points to 79.9%.
African Airlines
African airlines saw an 18.5% increase in travel traffic in January 2024 compared to last year.
Capacity in January increased by 19.2%, reducing the load factor by 0.4 percentage points to 73.3%, the lowest among regions.
Asia and the Pacific
Airlines in the Asia-Pacific region saw a 45.4% increase in travel traffic in January 2024 compared to January 2023, continuing the rapid recovery in the region after the lifting of epidemic restrictions, capacity increased by 48.1% and load factor decreased by 1.5 percentage points to 82.6%. The exceptionally strong growth rate was attributed to China, which was in the early stages of lifting travel restrictions due to the coronavirus (COVID-19) in January 2023. The recovery of major international routes to and from the Asia-Pacific region is lagging, but routes like Central Asia have surpassed pre-epidemic levels.
China continues to drive domestic demand growth, seeing strong demand for travel on the occasion of the Lunar New Year, and this likely led to increased traffic in February as well, and Chinese airlines have responded by increasing their capacity, especially through the deployment of wide-body aircraft.
European Airlines
European airline traffic in January 2024 increased by 10.8% compared to January 2023.
Capacity increased by 10.7%, load factor increased by 0.1 percentage point to 77.3%, and routes between Europe and North America rebounded particularly strongly after the epidemic and were 6.5% higher than in January 2020.
Airlines in America
North American airlines saw traffic increase by 12.3% in January 2024 compared to 2023, capacity increased by 13.7%, and load factor decreased by 1.0 percentage points to 79.4%.
Latin American airline traffic increased by 17.9% compared to the same month in 2023, and capacity in January increased by 13.2%, pushing the load factor up 3.4 percentage points to 86%, the highest among regions.

"Aviation energy generation requirements are expected to increase by 5700% by 2070, reaching 44,000 TWh of energy per year, which is almost double the world's current electricity demand."

Title:

Content: Powering the sustainable aviation revolution

Atkins aerospace experts predict 44,000TWh of energy will be needed annually by 2070 to produce new, sustainable aviation fuell

A recent report released by sustainable aviation experts at Atkins, a member of the SNC-Lavalin Group, has cautioned that meeting the net zero targets set for 2050 in the aviation industry will necessitate significant changes in sustainable energy and fuel production infrastructure, particularly if commercial air transport continues to expand as expected.

The white paper, titled "Alternative Fuels for Sustainable Aviation," highlights that reducing carbon emissions in the aviation sector is not solely dependent on aircraft emissions. The report recommends the use of a mixture of alternative fuel options such as SAF, eFuel, Hydrogen, and batteries to achieve the most effective solution.

However, it also warns that the industry must be ready for the significant implications of utilising these alternative fuels and batteries to achieve the most effective solution. However, it also warns that the industry must be ready for the significant implications of using these alternative fuels and emphasises the significant impact on future energy demand that will be required to produce them.

Will we be generating enough aircraft fuel?

Based on estimated energy efficiencies and the predicted fuel mix, Atkins predicts that generating the necessary global aircraft fuel demand will require 44,000 TWh of energy per year by 2070. This represents a 5700% increase from current aviation energy generation requirements and is almost double the world’s current electricity demand.

It's not just energy generation that is now a concern, other considerations, such as fuel transportation and storage requirements, will also have to be taken into account.

Andrew Caughey, Sustainable Aviation Lead – Aerospace, Atkins says: “Aviation emissions are hard to abate, but not impossible. The sector is making huge strides in its efforts to accelerate the development of new fuels and aircraft that will help deliver zero emission flight. These advances have a wider impact beyond the aerospace industry. Whilst the future mix of low carbon alternative fuel is yet to be determined, the production, storage and transportation of fuels has implications for energy and airport infrastructure and their emissions need to be considered across the whole lifecycle, from ‘source to force’.

“Regions, governments, airports and the wider industry must adopt a holistic approach to scenario modelling when creating masterplans for the infrastructure and ecosystems that will drive the future of sustainable aviation. By understanding the full fuel mix and energy demands for sustainable aviation, governments can use the insight to inform their policy makers and actions – whether that be introducing emissions KPIs, green fuel subsidies, demand management or investing in innovation and development. Integrated system-level planning is vitally important in achieving the transition and must take into account future energy predictions.”

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Emirates has partnered with GE Digital to implement solutions that will help reduce fuel costs and carbon emissions, enhancing the sustainability of its fleet and operations.

Title:

Content: GE to provide Emirates with new sustainability solutions
T + T - normal size
At the Dubai Airshow 2021, GE Digital announced an agreement with Emirates, one of its longtime customers, to provide two new aviation data solutions that will further advance its sustainability goals.
Emirates will implement fuel monitoring software and collect aircraft data before take-off from GE Digital to help reduce fuel costs and carbon emissions.
Emirates is seeking to use these solutions to enhance the sustainability of its fleet and operations.
As part of the agreement, the two sides will work together to harness GE ’ s digital expertise in aviation data software solutions and address key issues in aviation operations that limit fuel efficiency and reduce carbon emissions to achieve industry-wide efficiency, implement predictive maintenance, digitize records and enhance pilots ’ access to accurate data.
Responsibility.
Captain Hassan Al Hammadi, Senior Vice President Technical Air Operations at Emirates, said: “Emirates recognises that environmental responsibility is central to the long-term success of the business.
Ensuring that we operate in a sophisticated and fuel-efficient manner has been at the heart of our business model since the inception of Emirates.
There is no doubt that we are continuing to invest in reducing our environmental footprint, and these solutions will help us achieve our goals.
We aim to provide pilots with advanced tools and technologies that enhance aviation safety and efficiency.
Fuel monitoring software is a solution to reduce fuel consumption and carbon emissions, and it works by reading real data from the aircraft and the airline.
The software leverages GE ’ s digital platform with reliable aviation data and analytics to integrate aircraft data with its route diagrams to reveal valuable results that help boost fuel efficiency and reduce carbon emissions.
The software also provides aircraft operators with research outputs that are applicable at many levels and supports analytics to move from overview to fine-grained macro details to understand the problem of each flight.
Pre-departure data collection software is designed in collaboration with pilots, giving them direct access to the data, and providing data collected from operations to make informed decisions about fuel and how to take off.
Post-takeoff software, which Emirates already uses with its pilots, provides secure access to data from the aircraft ’ s own registry, allowing pilots to analyse the operations of the aircraft they are flying in and improve operations and efficiency.
A commitment.
Andrew Coleman, General Manager of Aviation Programs at GE Digital, said: “We are committed to making the world a better place for future generations, including ensuring our customers are supported to reduce the impact of their technology and environmental footprint on their operations.
Sustainability is at the heart of the aviation industry ’ s future, and achieving climate neutrality by 2050 is a key goal for the industry, so the application of new technologies is key to achieving this in the long term. We look forward to continuing to work towards these goals, especially as we have the data and solutions to help the industry achieve zero emissions, with data already within our reach.
We are confident that our innovative technologies are ready to tackle the challenges as we continue to innovate in the future of the aviation industry.
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The forecast indicates that single-aisle jets will make up 70% of commercial aircraft deliveries by 2040.

Boeing expects to sell approximately 43,000 aircraft in the next 20 years, as stated in their 'Civil Aviation Market Forecast' report, with the North American and Chinese markets being key drivers of this demand.

The Asia-Pacific region experienced the highest increase in air travel demand, with a 45.4% growth in January 2024 compared to the previous year, driven by the lifting of epidemic restrictions and strong demand in China.

Airbus anticipates selling 39,000 aircraft over the next 20 years to meet growing travel demand and reduce carbon emissions.

Title:

Content: Orders for Airbus are superior to Boeing.
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The first major air transport exhibition, since the beginning of the spread of the coronavirus in Dubai, showed a great disparity in terms of trade performance between the European Airbus and the American Boeing as the sector emerges from the crisis that hit it for months.
As with every high-level international gathering in the sector, attention has focused on the two major aircraft manufacturers, who are scrambling to attract orders, but competition in Dubai has not been very intense, as Airbus appeared to have overcome the COVID-19 crisis with orders and agreements announcing intentions to sell 408 new aircraft, surpassing orders from the Paris exhibition in 2019, in exchange for contracts to sell 78 Boeing aircraft. G ".
The European manufacturer has hit hard since the first day of the Dubai show on Sunday with a firm order for 255 single-aisle A-321s, a plane whose range and capacity offer passengers flexibility that increases its appeal to airlines.
Airbus president Guillaume Fawry in Dubai said: “The prospects are beginning to blossom.
Airlines are also starting to look further ahead and prepare for the post-crisis period. ”
While global travel, still at half its 2019 level, is expected to recover between 2023 and 2025, demand for new aircraft should rise in the next 20 years, according to aircraft manufacturers.
Airbus expects to sell 39,000 planes and Boeing 43,000 to cope with the increase in travel and get planes that consume less fuel and thus emit less carbon dioxide.
The U.S. aircraft maker appeared conservatively at the show, announcing in a statement a major order for 72 single-aisle 737-MAX aircraft for India ’ s newly established Akasa Air.
The 737 Max crashes, 787 production problems and delays in the adoption of the future 777X wide-body aircraft caused the company to stumble.
Boeing Commercial Director Ehsan Munir told reporters that “safety and quality will be the guiding principles of everything we do. ”
The company showed at the exhibition the 777X aircraft for the first time outside the United States, in an indication of the near licensing, especially as the Dubai-based Emirates airline alone accounts for a third of the orders on the expected aircraft, but « Boeing » did not announce the start of the process of manufacturing a cargo version of the aircraft, as was hoped in Dubai, noting that this will be « soon ».
Airbus CEO Guillaume Fawry said the range of orders the company received at the Dubai Airshow this week had boosted its hopes of increasing production.
Airbus received 265 confirmed orders at the Dubai show, narrowing the gap with Boeing, which has topped sales this year as its 737 MAX emerges from a safety crisis.
A further 139 temporary orders raised Airbus ’ Dubai tally to more than 400 aircraft, while Boeing picked up firm orders for 72 MAX jets.
Airbus has agreed to increase production to 65 single-aisle aircraft per month by 2023 from an average of 45 scheduled for this quarter.
In addition, Airbus has asked suppliers to consider production rates of 70 aircraft by early 2024 and 75 by 2025, but has not yet made a decision.
Some suppliers have criticized the plans, expressing concern that recovery from the coronavirus epidemic remains incomplete.
Fawry told Reuters in an interview this week: “We are in the process of evaluating the application.
What happened (in Dubai) is important, because it gives, along with expectations and other upcoming deals, evidence that the demand we see for 70 / 75 will continue for many years. ”
The view of demand based on orders received by Airbus and its own assumptions based on conversations with airlines is in line with the picture provided by the new Airbus market outlook published at the show.
Airbus deliveries have fallen in the past three months, partly due to supply chain disruptions.
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What is Airbus doing to achieve sustainable aviation?

It is making efforts to improve aircraft efficiency.

The predicted passenger growth period is from 2019 to 2040, with an expected 21-year average passenger flow growth of 4%.