Log Date 08_27_99 ============= Transaction # 1 ============================================== Transaction #: 1 Transaction Code: 0 (New Host Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:37:51 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 2 ============================================== Transaction #: 2 Transaction Code: 35 (New Host Connected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:37:52 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 3 ============================================== Transaction #: 3 Transaction Code: 6 (Direct Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:39:59 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 6 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {tropical storms storm hurricanes typhoons damage})" ============= Transaction # 4 ============================================== Transaction #: 4 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:40:02 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 11358 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 5 ============================================== Transaction #: 5 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:40:07 Selec. Rec. #: 1 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-6038 _AN-CH1BVABKFT 9208 27 FT 27 AUG 92 / Hurricane batters southern US but lets insurers off lightly By MARTIN DICKSON and ROBERT P ESTON NEW YORK, LONDON HURRICANE Andrew, claimed to be the costliest natural disaster in US history, yesterda y smashed its way through the state of Louisiana, inflicting severe damage o n rural communities but narrowly missing the low-lying city of New Orleans. The storm, which brought havoc to southern Florida on Monday and then headed north-west across the Gulf of Mexico, had made landfall late on Tuesday nig ht some 60 miles south-west of the city in the agricultural Cajun country. A lthough the damage from the hurricane's landfall in Florida on Monday was mu ch greater than initially esti mated, insurers' losses there are likely to t otal less than Dollars 1bn, well below earlier expectations, a senior member of Lloyd's insurance market said yesterday. In Louisiana, the hurricane lan ded with wind speeds of about 120 miles per hour and caused severe damage in small coastal centres such as Morgan City, Franklin and New Iberia. Associa ted tornadoes devastated Laplace, 20 miles west of New Orleans. Then, howeve r, Andrew lost force as it moved north over land. By yesterday afternoon, it had been down-graded to tropical storm, in that its sustained windspeeds we re below 75 mph. Initial reports said at least one person had died, 75 been injured and thousands made homeless along the Louisiana coast, after 14 conf irmed deaths in Florida and three in the Bahamas. The storm caused little da mage to Louisiana's important oil-refining industry, although some plants ha d to halt production when electricity was cut. The Lloyd's member, in close contact with leading insurers in Florida, said that damage to insured proper ty was remarkably small. More than Dollars 15bn of damage may have been caus ed in all, but was mostly to uninsured property, he said. In north Miami, da mage is minimal. Worst affected is one hotel, whose basement was flooded. Mo st of the destruction occurred in a 10-mile band across Homestead, 25 miles to the south of Miami, where a typical house sells for Dollars 100,000 to Do llars 150,000. US insurers will face a bill in respect of such properties, b ut Lloyd's exposure there is minimal. Many destroyed power lines are thought to be uninsured, as are trees and shrubs uprooted across a wide area. Only one big hotel in that area has been badly damaged, a Holiday Inn. Across Flo rida, some 2m people remained without electric ity yesterday and health offi cials were warning the public to boil or chemically treat all water. Hurrica ne Hugo, which devastated much of South Carolina in 1989, cost the insurance industry some Dollars 4.2bn. Further uninsured losses may have raised the t otal to Dollars 6bn-Dollars 10bn. The Financial Times

London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 6 ============================================== Transaction #: 6 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:40:13 Selec. Rec. #: 1 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-6038 _AN-CH1BVABKFT 9208 27 FT 27 AUG 92 / Hurricane batters southern US but lets insurers off lightly By MARTIN DICKSON and ROBERT P ESTON NEW YORK, LONDON HURRICANE Andrew, claimed to be the costliest natural disaster in US history, yesterda y smashed its way through the state of Louisiana, inflicting severe damage o n rural communities but narrowly missing the low-lying city of New Orleans. The storm, which brought havoc to southern Florida on Monday and then headed north-west across the Gulf of Mexico, had made landfall late on Tuesday nig ht some 60 miles south-west of the city in the agricultural Cajun country. A lthough the damage from the hurricane's landfall in Florida on Monday was mu ch greater than initially esti mated, insurers' losses there are likely to t otal less than Dollars 1bn, well below earlier expectations, a senior member of Lloyd's insurance market said yesterday. In Louisiana, the hurricane lan ded with wind speeds of about 120 miles per hour and caused severe damage in small coastal centres such as Morgan City, Franklin and New Iberia. Associa ted tornadoes devastated Laplace, 20 miles west of New Orleans. Then, howeve r, Andrew lost force as it moved north over land. By yesterday afternoon, it had been down-graded to tropical storm, in that its sustained windspeeds we re below 75 mph. Initial reports said at least one person had died, 75 been injured and thousands made homeless along the Louisiana coast, after 14 conf irmed deaths in Florida and three in the Bahamas. The storm caused little da mage to Louisiana's important oil-refining industry, although some plants ha d to halt production when electricity was cut. The Lloyd's member, in close contact with leading insurers in Florida, said that damage to insured proper ty was remarkably small. More than Dollars 15bn of damage may have been caus ed in all, but was mostly to uninsured property, he said. In north Miami, da mage is minimal. Worst affected is one hotel, whose basement was flooded. Mo st of the destruction occurred in a 10-mile band across Homestead, 25 miles to the south of Miami, where a typical house sells for Dollars 100,000 to Do llars 150,000. US insurers will face a bill in respect of such properties, b ut Lloyd's exposure there is minimal. Many destroyed power lines are thought to be uninsured, as are trees and shrubs uprooted across a wide area. Only one big hotel in that area has been badly damaged, a Holiday Inn. Across Flo rida, some 2m people remained without electric ity yesterday and health offi cials were warning the public to boil or chemically treat all water. Hurrica ne Hugo, which devastated much of South Carolina in 1989, cost the insurance industry some Dollars 4.2bn. Further uninsured losses may have raised the t otal to Dollars 6bn-Dollars 10bn. The Financial Times

London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 7 ============================================== Transaction #: 7 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:40:15 Selec. Rec. #: 2 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-12299 _AN-EKBD9AC3FT 941 102 FT 02 NOV 94 / Business and the Environment: Insurer s in a storm By NANCY DUNNE Fifteen catastrophic hurricanes, floods and storms cost worldwide insurers more tha n Dollars 80bn (Pounds 50bn) since a period of weather extremes set in five years ago, according to an article in the latest World Watch Institute's jou rnal. In 1992, Hurricane Andrew struck Florida and set a new record for dama ges at Dollars 25bn. The Mississippi floods in 1993 cost Dollars 12bn. Europ e was hit by four severe windstorms in 1990 which accumulated damages of Dol lars 10bn. Japan was struck in 1991 by Typhoon Mireille with nearly Dollars 5bn in damages. As the damages mount, insurers have begun to take seriously the global warming theory advanced by many scientists. The fear is that the warming, spurred by 'greenhouse gases', produced by fossil fuels, could seri ously disrupt the world's atmospheric and oceanic systems. Lack of agreement in the scientific community has made the insurers wary. But their interest is being applauded by environmentalists who see the insurers as a potential counterweight to the power of the oil and coal interests in the global warmi ng debate. Christopher Flavin, author of the World Watch article, is urging the insurers to enter the struggle over climate policy. 'Few industries are capable of doing battle with the likes of the fossil fuel lobby. But the ins urance industry is,' he says. 'On a worldwide basis the two are of roughly c omparable size and potential political clout.' The insurance industry could, for example, push government to tighten energy efficiency rules for new bui ldings. It could actively lobby for a stronger global climate pact. It could also use its investment capacity. 'If they (companies) were to dump some of their stocks in oil and coal companies or actively invest some of their fun ds in new, less carbon-intensive energy technologies (forming a sort of clim ate venture fund), insurance companies could spur the development of a less threatening energy system,' says Flavin. Unless the industry begins to use i ts clout in the struggle over climate policy, its future 'is likely to be st ormy indeed', said Flavin. Countries:- XAZ World. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance. P951 Environmental Quality. Types:- CMMT Comment & Analysis. The Financial Times London Page 18 ============= Transaction # 8 ============================================== Transaction #: 8 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:40:27 Selec. Rec. #: 1 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-6038 _AN-CH1BVABKFT 9208 27 FT 27 AUG 92 / Hurricane batters southern US but lets insurers off lightly By MARTIN DICKSON and ROBERT P ESTON NEW YORK, LONDON HURRICANE Andrew, claimed to be the costliest natural disaster in US history, yesterda y smashed its way through the state of Louisiana, inflicting severe damage o n rural communities but narrowly missing the low-lying city of New Orleans. The storm, which brought havoc to southern Florida on Monday and then headed north-west across the Gulf of Mexico, had made landfall late on Tuesday nig ht some 60 miles south-west of the city in the agricultural Cajun country. A lthough the damage from the hurricane's landfall in Florida on Monday was mu ch greater than initially esti mated, insurers' losses there are likely to t otal less than Dollars 1bn, well below earlier expectations, a senior member of Lloyd's insurance market said yesterday. In Louisiana, the hurricane lan ded with wind speeds of about 120 miles per hour and caused severe damage in small coastal centres such as Morgan City, Franklin and New Iberia. Associa ted tornadoes devastated Laplace, 20 miles west of New Orleans. Then, howeve r, Andrew lost force as it moved north over land. By yesterday afternoon, it had been down-graded to tropical storm, in that its sustained windspeeds we re below 75 mph. Initial reports said at least one person had died, 75 been injured and thousands made homeless along the Louisiana coast, after 14 conf irmed deaths in Florida and three in the Bahamas. The storm caused little da mage to Louisiana's important oil-refining industry, although some plants ha d to halt production when electricity was cut. The Lloyd's member, in close contact with leading insurers in Florida, said that damage to insured proper ty was remarkably small. More than Dollars 15bn of damage may have been caus ed in all, but was mostly to uninsured property, he said. In north Miami, da mage is minimal. Worst affected is one hotel, whose basement was flooded. Mo st of the destruction occurred in a 10-mile band across Homestead, 25 miles to the south of Miami, where a typical house sells for Dollars 100,000 to Do llars 150,000. US insurers will face a bill in respect of such properties, b ut Lloyd's exposure there is minimal. Many destroyed power lines are thought to be uninsured, as are trees and shrubs uprooted across a wide area. Only one big hotel in that area has been badly damaged, a Holiday Inn. Across Flo rida, some 2m people remained without electric ity yesterday and health offi cials were warning the public to boil or chemically treat all water. Hurrica ne Hugo, which devastated much of South Carolina in 1989, cost the insurance industry some Dollars 4.2bn. Further uninsured losses may have raised the t otal to Dollars 6bn-Dollars 10bn. The Financial Times

London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 9 ============================================== Transaction #: 9 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:40:58 Selec. Rec. #: 2 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-12299 _AN-EKBD9AC3FT 941 102 FT 02 NOV 94 / Business and the Environment: Insurer s in a storm By NANCY DUNNE Fifteen catastrophic hurricanes, floods and storms cost worldwide insurers more tha n Dollars 80bn (Pounds 50bn) since a period of weather extremes set in five years ago, according to an article in the latest World Watch Institute's jou rnal. In 1992, Hurricane Andrew struck Florida and set a new record for dama ges at Dollars 25bn. The Mississippi floods in 1993 cost Dollars 12bn. Europ e was hit by four severe windstorms in 1990 which accumulated damages of Dol lars 10bn. Japan was struck in 1991 by Typhoon Mireille with nearly Dollars 5bn in damages. As the damages mount, insurers have begun to take seriously the global warming theory advanced by many scientists. The fear is that the warming, spurred by 'greenhouse gases', produced by fossil fuels, could seri ously disrupt the world's atmospheric and oceanic systems. Lack of agreement in the scientific community has made the insurers wary. But their interest is being applauded by environmentalists who see the insurers as a potential counterweight to the power of the oil and coal interests in the global warmi ng debate. Christopher Flavin, author of the World Watch article, is urging the insurers to enter the struggle over climate policy. 'Few industries are capable of doing battle with the likes of the fossil fuel lobby. But the ins urance industry is,' he says. 'On a worldwide basis the two are of roughly c omparable size and potential political clout.' The insurance industry could, for example, push government to tighten energy efficiency rules for new bui ldings. It could actively lobby for a stronger global climate pact. It could also use its investment capacity. 'If they (companies) were to dump some of their stocks in oil and coal companies or actively invest some of their fun ds in new, less carbon-intensive energy technologies (forming a sort of clim ate venture fund), insurance companies could spur the development of a less threatening energy system,' says Flavin. Unless the industry begins to use i ts clout in the struggle over climate policy, its future 'is likely to be st ormy indeed', said Flavin. Countries:- XAZ World. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance. P951 Environmental Quality. Types:- CMMT Comment & Analysis. The Financial Times London Page 18 ============= Transaction # 10 ============================================== Transaction #: 10 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:41:25 Selec. Rec. #: 3 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-3325 _AN-DCSB4AHPFT 9303 16 FT 16 MAR 93 / Winter storms kill over 100 in eastern US By NIKKI TAIT and LAURIE MORSE NEW YORK, CHICAGO BUSINESSES, commuters and home-o wners along the eastern US seaboard struggled to return to normality yesterd ay after a winter storm left a trail of devastation in its wake and cost up to 115 lives. In Florida, hard-hit by Hurricane Andrew last August, the stor m system spawned about 50 tornadoes; in the New Jersey, Connecticut and New York state region around 300,000 homes were left without electricity and up to 17ins of snow were recorded. In New York hundreds of motorists spent yest erday morning digging parked cars out from mountainous snow-drifts, many cre ated by the weekend's snow-ploughs. East Coast airports were crowded with pe ople trying to get away after being stranded through the weekend, when the n ation's air transport system suffered one of its worst-ever disruptions. Maj or motorways were reopening yesterday, but many smaller roads remained block ed, with some travellers still snowbound. Yesterday afternoon, A M Best, the US rating agency which specialises in the insurance sector, estimated that the storm produced about Dollars 800m in insured damages. However, some comp anies said it was too soon to attach a precise number to claims. 'We just do n't know at this stage,' said Allstate, the large Illinois-based insurer. Th e American Insurance Association, whose property-claims division provides in dustry-wide estimates of catastrophe losses, also said it was only just begi nning to receive reports from member firms. A M Best suggested the bulk of d amage would come in the southeastern states and central Florida. It estimate d that the storm which hit the Northeast in December was probably more damag ing to that region. The December storm caused more widespread flooding and c oastal damage, and resulted in around Dollars 650m of insured claims. The la test disaster comes after a run of heavy catastrophe losses for big US prope rty-casualty insurers and will exasperate the financial pressures on the ind ustry. The bomb blast under New York's World Trade Centre complex this month is estimated to have caused over Dollars 1bn in insured damages, while Hurr icane Andrew produced a record-breaking Dollars 16bn-worth of claims. In Flo rida, high winds battered grapefruit and orange crops, and frosts on Sunday and yesterday caused scattered damage to the fragile flowers that form next year's harvest, according to Mr Bobby McKown, of Florida Citrus Mutual, the state's largest growers' organisation. The damage was 'minor' in comparison to storms and freezes that devastated Florida citrus in the 1980s, he said. Storms lift sugar price, Commodities Page Countries:- USZ United States of America. Industries:- P6331 Fire , Marine, and Casualty Insurance. P99 Nonclassifiable Establishments. Types:- RES Natural resources. INS Insurance. The Financial Times London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 11 ============================================== Transaction #: 11 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:41:27 Selec. Rec. #: 2 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-12299 _AN-EKBD9AC3FT 941 102 FT 02 NOV 94 / Business and the Environment: Insurer s in a storm By NANCY DUNNE Fifteen catastrophic hurricanes, floods and storms cost worldwide insurers more tha n Dollars 80bn (Pounds 50bn) since a period of weather extremes set in five years ago, according to an article in the latest World Watch Institute's jou rnal. In 1992, Hurricane Andrew struck Florida and set a new record for dama ges at Dollars 25bn. The Mississippi floods in 1993 cost Dollars 12bn. Europ e was hit by four severe windstorms in 1990 which accumulated damages of Dol lars 10bn. Japan was struck in 1991 by Typhoon Mireille with nearly Dollars 5bn in damages. As the damages mount, insurers have begun to take seriously the global warming theory advanced by many scientists. The fear is that the warming, spurred by 'greenhouse gases', produced by fossil fuels, could seri ously disrupt the world's atmospheric and oceanic systems. Lack of agreement in the scientific community has made the insurers wary. But their interest is being applauded by environmentalists who see the insurers as a potential counterweight to the power of the oil and coal interests in the global warmi ng debate. Christopher Flavin, author of the World Watch article, is urging the insurers to enter the struggle over climate policy. 'Few industries are capable of doing battle with the likes of the fossil fuel lobby. But the ins urance industry is,' he says. 'On a worldwide basis the two are of roughly c omparable size and potential political clout.' The insurance industry could, for example, push government to tighten energy efficiency rules for new bui ldings. It could actively lobby for a stronger global climate pact. It could also use its investment capacity. 'If they (companies) were to dump some of their stocks in oil and coal companies or actively invest some of their fun ds in new, less carbon-intensive energy technologies (forming a sort of clim ate venture fund), insurance companies could spur the development of a less threatening energy system,' says Flavin. Unless the industry begins to use i ts clout in the struggle over climate policy, its future 'is likely to be st ormy indeed', said Flavin. Countries:- XAZ World. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance. P951 Environmental Quality. Types:- CMMT Comment & Analysis. The Financial Times London Page 18 ============= Transaction # 12 ============================================== Transaction #: 12 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:41:27 Selec. Rec. #: 2 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-12299 _AN-EKBD9AC3FT 941 102 FT 02 NOV 94 / Business and the Environment: Insurer s in a storm By NANCY DUNNE Fifteen catastrophic hurricanes, floods and storms cost worldwide insurers more tha n Dollars 80bn (Pounds 50bn) since a period of weather extremes set in five years ago, according to an article in the latest World Watch Institute's jou rnal. In 1992, Hurricane Andrew struck Florida and set a new record for dama ges at Dollars 25bn. The Mississippi floods in 1993 cost Dollars 12bn. Europ e was hit by four severe windstorms in 1990 which accumulated damages of Dol lars 10bn. Japan was struck in 1991 by Typhoon Mireille with nearly Dollars 5bn in damages. As the damages mount, insurers have begun to take seriously the global warming theory advanced by many scientists. The fear is that the warming, spurred by 'greenhouse gases', produced by fossil fuels, could seri ously disrupt the world's atmospheric and oceanic systems. Lack of agreement in the scientific community has made the insurers wary. But their interest is being applauded by environmentalists who see the insurers as a potential counterweight to the power of the oil and coal interests in the global warmi ng debate. Christopher Flavin, author of the World Watch article, is urging the insurers to enter the struggle over climate policy. 'Few industries are capable of doing battle with the likes of the fossil fuel lobby. But the ins urance industry is,' he says. 'On a worldwide basis the two are of roughly c omparable size and potential political clout.' The insurance industry could, for example, push government to tighten energy efficiency rules for new bui ldings. It could actively lobby for a stronger global climate pact. It could also use its investment capacity. 'If they (companies) were to dump some of their stocks in oil and coal companies or actively invest some of their fun ds in new, less carbon-intensive energy technologies (forming a sort of clim ate venture fund), insurance companies could spur the development of a less threatening energy system,' says Flavin. Unless the industry begins to use i ts clout in the struggle over climate policy, its future 'is likely to be st ormy indeed', said Flavin. Countries:- XAZ World. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance. P951 Environmental Quality. Types:- CMMT Comment & Analysis. The Financial Times London Page 18 ============= Transaction # 13 ============================================== Transaction #: 13 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:41:29 Selec. Rec. #: 1 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-6038 _AN-CH1BVABKFT 9208 27 FT 27 AUG 92 / Hurricane batters southern US but lets insurers off lightly By MARTIN DICKSON and ROBERT P ESTON NEW YORK, LONDON HURRICANE Andrew, claimed to be the costliest natural disaster in US history, yesterda y smashed its way through the state of Louisiana, inflicting severe damage o n rural communities but narrowly missing the low-lying city of New Orleans. The storm, which brought havoc to southern Florida on Monday and then headed north-west across the Gulf of Mexico, had made landfall late on Tuesday nig ht some 60 miles south-west of the city in the agricultural Cajun country. A lthough the damage from the hurricane's landfall in Florida on Monday was mu ch greater than initially esti mated, insurers' losses there are likely to t otal less than Dollars 1bn, well below earlier expectations, a senior member of Lloyd's insurance market said yesterday. In Louisiana, the hurricane lan ded with wind speeds of about 120 miles per hour and caused severe damage in small coastal centres such as Morgan City, Franklin and New Iberia. Associa ted tornadoes devastated Laplace, 20 miles west of New Orleans. Then, howeve r, Andrew lost force as it moved north over land. By yesterday afternoon, it had been down-graded to tropical storm, in that its sustained windspeeds we re below 75 mph. Initial reports said at least one person had died, 75 been injured and thousands made homeless along the Louisiana coast, after 14 conf irmed deaths in Florida and three in the Bahamas. The storm caused little da mage to Louisiana's important oil-refining industry, although some plants ha d to halt production when electricity was cut. The Lloyd's member, in close contact with leading insurers in Florida, said that damage to insured proper ty was remarkably small. More than Dollars 15bn of damage may have been caus ed in all, but was mostly to uninsured property, he said. In north Miami, da mage is minimal. Worst affected is one hotel, whose basement was flooded. Mo st of the destruction occurred in a 10-mile band across Homestead, 25 miles to the south of Miami, where a typical house sells for Dollars 100,000 to Do llars 150,000. US insurers will face a bill in respect of such properties, b ut Lloyd's exposure there is minimal. Many destroyed power lines are thought to be uninsured, as are trees and shrubs uprooted across a wide area. Only one big hotel in that area has been badly damaged, a Holiday Inn. Across Flo rida, some 2m people remained without electric ity yesterday and health offi cials were warning the public to boil or chemically treat all water. Hurrica ne Hugo, which devastated much of South Carolina in 1989, cost the insurance industry some Dollars 4.2bn. Further uninsured losses may have raised the t otal to Dollars 6bn-Dollars 10bn. The Financial Times

London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 14 ============================================== Transaction #: 14 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:41:29 Selec. Rec. #: 2 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-12299 _AN-EKBD9AC3FT 941 102 FT 02 NOV 94 / Business and the Environment: Insurer s in a storm By NANCY DUNNE Fifteen catastrophic hurricanes, floods and storms cost worldwide insurers more tha n Dollars 80bn (Pounds 50bn) since a period of weather extremes set in five years ago, according to an article in the latest World Watch Institute's jou rnal. In 1992, Hurricane Andrew struck Florida and set a new record for dama ges at Dollars 25bn. The Mississippi floods in 1993 cost Dollars 12bn. Europ e was hit by four severe windstorms in 1990 which accumulated damages of Dol lars 10bn. Japan was struck in 1991 by Typhoon Mireille with nearly Dollars 5bn in damages. As the damages mount, insurers have begun to take seriously the global warming theory advanced by many scientists. The fear is that the warming, spurred by 'greenhouse gases', produced by fossil fuels, could seri ously disrupt the world's atmospheric and oceanic systems. Lack of agreement in the scientific community has made the insurers wary. But their interest is being applauded by environmentalists who see the insurers as a potential counterweight to the power of the oil and coal interests in the global warmi ng debate. Christopher Flavin, author of the World Watch article, is urging the insurers to enter the struggle over climate policy. 'Few industries are capable of doing battle with the likes of the fossil fuel lobby. But the ins urance industry is,' he says. 'On a worldwide basis the two are of roughly c omparable size and potential political clout.' The insurance industry could, for example, push government to tighten energy efficiency rules for new bui ldings. It could actively lobby for a stronger global climate pact. It could also use its investment capacity. 'If they (companies) were to dump some of their stocks in oil and coal companies or actively invest some of their fun ds in new, less carbon-intensive energy technologies (forming a sort of clim ate venture fund), insurance companies could spur the development of a less threatening energy system,' says Flavin. Unless the industry begins to use i ts clout in the struggle over climate policy, its future 'is likely to be st ormy indeed', said Flavin. Countries:- XAZ World. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance. P951 Environmental Quality. Types:- CMMT Comment & Analysis. The Financial Times London Page 18 ============= Transaction # 15 ============================================== Transaction #: 15 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:41:33 Selec. Rec. #: 3 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-3325 _AN-DCSB4AHPFT 9303 16 FT 16 MAR 93 / Winter storms kill over 100 in eastern US By NIKKI TAIT and LAURIE MORSE NEW YORK, CHICAGO BUSINESSES, commuters and home-o wners along the eastern US seaboard struggled to return to normality yesterd ay after a winter storm left a trail of devastation in its wake and cost up to 115 lives. In Florida, hard-hit by Hurricane Andrew last August, the stor m system spawned about 50 tornadoes; in the New Jersey, Connecticut and New York state region around 300,000 homes were left without electricity and up to 17ins of snow were recorded. In New York hundreds of motorists spent yest erday morning digging parked cars out from mountainous snow-drifts, many cre ated by the weekend's snow-ploughs. East Coast airports were crowded with pe ople trying to get away after being stranded through the weekend, when the n ation's air transport system suffered one of its worst-ever disruptions. Maj or motorways were reopening yesterday, but many smaller roads remained block ed, with some travellers still snowbound. Yesterday afternoon, A M Best, the US rating agency which specialises in the insurance sector, estimated that the storm produced about Dollars 800m in insured damages. However, some comp anies said it was too soon to attach a precise number to claims. 'We just do n't know at this stage,' said Allstate, the large Illinois-based insurer. Th e American Insurance Association, whose property-claims division provides in dustry-wide estimates of catastrophe losses, also said it was only just begi nning to receive reports from member firms. A M Best suggested the bulk of d amage would come in the southeastern states and central Florida. It estimate d that the storm which hit the Northeast in December was probably more damag ing to that region. The December storm caused more widespread flooding and c oastal damage, and resulted in around Dollars 650m of insured claims. The la test disaster comes after a run of heavy catastrophe losses for big US prope rty-casualty insurers and will exasperate the financial pressures on the ind ustry. The bomb blast under New York's World Trade Centre complex this month is estimated to have caused over Dollars 1bn in insured damages, while Hurr icane Andrew produced a record-breaking Dollars 16bn-worth of claims. In Flo rida, high winds battered grapefruit and orange crops, and frosts on Sunday and yesterday caused scattered damage to the fragile flowers that form next year's harvest, according to Mr Bobby McKown, of Florida Citrus Mutual, the state's largest growers' organisation. The damage was 'minor' in comparison to storms and freezes that devastated Florida citrus in the 1980s, he said. Storms lift sugar price, Commodities Page Countries:- USZ United States of America. Industries:- P6331 Fire , Marine, and Casualty Insurance. P99 Nonclassifiable Establishments. Types:- RES Natural resources. INS Insurance. The Financial Times London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 16 ============================================== Transaction #: 16 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:41:51 Selec. Rec. #: 4 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-7520 _AN-DBXCKACQFT 9302 24 FT 24 FEB 93 / Business and the Environment: Weather wise - Typhoons, hurricanes and the threat of global warming are pushing up insurance rates By RICHARD LAPPER and BRONWEN MADDOX 'WE GET zapped every five minutes,' says Richard Keeling, underwriter with Lloyd's syndicate 362, reviewing the impact of recent hurri canes, gales and typhoons on the London insurance market. Recent storms, eac h more damaging than the last, culminated in last year's hurricane Andrew, w hich devastated parts of Louisiana and Florida and caused losses estimated t o be at least Dollars 16bn and perhaps as much as Dollars 20bn (Pounds 14bn) , the United States's biggest-ever insured loss. That has triggered tough ba rgaining in the London insurance market and one of the hardest 'renewal' sea sons, as reinsurers seek to impose big rate increases. Most significantly, i n a move that could lead to higher insurance rates for many years, insurers are also beginning to ask whether recent storms are a sign of global warming or other long-term shifts in weather patterns. The question has led to an u nlikely convergence with environmental pressure groups such as Greenpeace, w hich last month published a long report welcoming insurers' alertness to the risk. In the recent round of negotiations, brokers buying cover for US clie nts - who have avoided heavy increases in recent years - have found the goin g toughest. However, across the board, direct insurers are now paying more f or their reinsurance. Keeling says that since October 1987, reinsurance rate s have increased by 650 per cent for European insurers, 450 per cent for US buyers and by 1,000 per cent for Japanese companies. The increases partly re flect reinsurers' efforts to restore profitability after heavy losses from w eather and from other disasters such as the 1988 Piper Alpha oil rig explosi on and the Exxon Valdez oil spill the following year. Both Swiss Re and Muni ch Re, the world's two biggest reinsurers, have seen profits dented and have been forced to draw deep into their reserves to meet claims, especially fro m the European storms of 1990. Many smaller reinsurers have withdrawn from t he market. More than a third of Lloyd's Names and nearly half the syndicates have left the market since 1989. As competition for business has dwindled, bigger players have found it easier to force through rate increases. Underwr iters are also now beginning to take a deeper look at the risk of storm dama ge. They recognise that denser population in potentially exposed regions, su ch as the south-eastern coast of the US, is partly responsible for the rise in losses. 'Windstorm' cover has also become a more common element of househ olders' policies over the last two decades in most countries. And increasing ly many are questioning whether the recent increases in land and sea tempera tures are leading to greater atmospheric instability and more frequent and i ntense winds. Scientists have warned for several years that gases such as ca rbon dioxide, emitted from burning fossil fuels, could cause global warming. The United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, set up to in vestigate the phenomenon, has suggested the average increase could be somewh ere between 1.5'C and 3.5'C over the next 100 years. However, scientists hav e emphasised there is still uncertainty about the processes involved - the m odels find it hard to take account of clouds, which could slow down warming. They also say it is impossible to conclude from recent storms and warm summ ers that climate change is already happening. Despite scientific uncertainty , insurers feel they need to protect themselves. Walter Kielholz, general ma nager of Swiss Re, one of the first insurance companies to question whether global warming could be responsible for worsening weather, agrees that 'the statistical data is too short to conclusively prove that there is a trend'. But he adds: 'It might just be a hiccup but we can't afford to wait for the long-term before taking action.' Research commissioned by Keeling and severa l other Lloyd's underwriters by the University of East Anglia's climatology department also concludes: 'The possibility that the trend (of more frequent gales in north-western Europe) is related to global warming cannot be rejec ted.' Insurers should assume that 'gale frequencies will remain at the level of the 1980s' and could rise further, the report says. In Greenpeace's rece nt study, the pressure group called for insurers to join the lobby for limit s on the emission of 'greenhouse gases'. Keeling acknowledges: 'We have to d o something constructive but the insurance industry will never be a lobby. W e are too diffused.' Instead, as well as increasing rates insurers have begu n to toughen the terms of storm insurance. Kielholz says that since 1990 Swi ss Re has begun to isolate the risk of 'windstorm' from other exposures it u nderwrites. The group now likes to cover windstorm through an excess of loss reinsurance contract (in which the reinsurer covers a tranche of risk up to a pre-set limit) rather than by covering it alongside other risks as part o f a proportional reinsurance deal (in which the reinsurer accepts an agreed percentage of exposure). 'Reinsurers have become more and more reluctant to include windstorm in proportional property treaties,' says Kielholz. Reinsur ers are also urging direct insurers to make policyholders pay the first port ion of any loss themselves, as an incentive to protect their property agains t storms. Householders would then be more likely to carry out essential main tenance and commercial customers to follow building codes more strictly, the y argue. During Hurricane Andrew many new buildings, especially those with s teel frames and metal casings, proved to be particularly vulnerable to wind damage, according to Swiss Re. Higher rates and tougher terms are the insura nce industry's perhaps unsurprising response to recent storms and the potent ial threat of global warming. The environmental movement has shown itself re luctant to acknowledge scientific doubts about climate change, while climato logists - who might stress that uncertainty - have few reasons to get involv ed in debates on insurance charges. Customers may have to hope the new highe r rates help preserve some of the financially weaker groups, and so preserve competition in the industry. --------------------------------------------- -------------------- THE COST OF RECENT STORMS --------- -------------------------------------------------------- Aug 1992 US Cyclone Iniki Dollars 1.4bn Aug 1992 US Hurricane Andrew Dollars 20.0bn Sep 1991 Japan Typhoon Mi reille Dollars 4.8bn Jul 1990 US Colorado storms Do llars 1.0bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Wibke Dollars 1.3b n Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Vivian Dollars 3.2bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Herta Dollars 1.3bn Jan 1990 NW Europ e Windstorm Daria Dollars 4.6bn Sep 1989 US Hurricane Hugo Dollars 5.8bn Oct 1987 NW Europe Un-named wi ndstorm Dollars 2.5bn ---------------------------------------------------- ------------- Source: Greenpeace ------------------------------------------ ----------------------- Countries:- GBZ United Kingd om, EC. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty I nsurance. P6411 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service. Types :- RES Natural resources. COSTS Costs & Prices. MKTS Ma rket data. The Financial Times London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 17 ============================================== Transaction #: 17 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:42:43 Selec. Rec. #: 4 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-7520 _AN-DBXCKACQFT 9302 24 FT 24 FEB 93 / Business and the Environment: Weather wise - Typhoons, hurricanes and the threat of global warming are pushing up insurance rates By RICHARD LAPPER and BRONWEN MADDOX 'WE GET zapped every five minutes,' says Richard Keeling, underwriter with Lloyd's syndicate 362, reviewing the impact of recent hurri canes, gales and typhoons on the London insurance market. Recent storms, eac h more damaging than the last, culminated in last year's hurricane Andrew, w hich devastated parts of Louisiana and Florida and caused losses estimated t o be at least Dollars 16bn and perhaps as much as Dollars 20bn (Pounds 14bn) , the United States's biggest-ever insured loss. That has triggered tough ba rgaining in the London insurance market and one of the hardest 'renewal' sea sons, as reinsurers seek to impose big rate increases. Most significantly, i n a move that could lead to higher insurance rates for many years, insurers are also beginning to ask whether recent storms are a sign of global warming or other long-term shifts in weather patterns. The question has led to an u nlikely convergence with environmental pressure groups such as Greenpeace, w hich last month published a long report welcoming insurers' alertness to the risk. In the recent round of negotiations, brokers buying cover for US clie nts - who have avoided heavy increases in recent years - have found the goin g toughest. However, across the board, direct insurers are now paying more f or their reinsurance. Keeling says that since October 1987, reinsurance rate s have increased by 650 per cent for European insurers, 450 per cent for US buyers and by 1,000 per cent for Japanese companies. The increases partly re flect reinsurers' efforts to restore profitability after heavy losses from w eather and from other disasters such as the 1988 Piper Alpha oil rig explosi on and the Exxon Valdez oil spill the following year. Both Swiss Re and Muni ch Re, the world's two biggest reinsurers, have seen profits dented and have been forced to draw deep into their reserves to meet claims, especially fro m the European storms of 1990. Many smaller reinsurers have withdrawn from t he market. More than a third of Lloyd's Names and nearly half the syndicates have left the market since 1989. As competition for business has dwindled, bigger players have found it easier to force through rate increases. Underwr iters are also now beginning to take a deeper look at the risk of storm dama ge. They recognise that denser population in potentially exposed regions, su ch as the south-eastern coast of the US, is partly responsible for the rise in losses. 'Windstorm' cover has also become a more common element of househ olders' policies over the last two decades in most countries. And increasing ly many are questioning whether the recent increases in land and sea tempera tures are leading to greater atmospheric instability and more frequent and i ntense winds. Scientists have warned for several years that gases such as ca rbon dioxide, emitted from burning fossil fuels, could cause global warming. The United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, set up to in vestigate the phenomenon, has suggested the average increase could be somewh ere between 1.5'C and 3.5'C over the next 100 years. However, scientists hav e emphasised there is still uncertainty about the processes involved - the m odels find it hard to take account of clouds, which could slow down warming. They also say it is impossible to conclude from recent storms and warm summ ers that climate change is already happening. Despite scientific uncertainty , insurers feel they need to protect themselves. Walter Kielholz, general ma nager of Swiss Re, one of the first insurance companies to question whether global warming could be responsible for worsening weather, agrees that 'the statistical data is too short to conclusively prove that there is a trend'. But he adds: 'It might just be a hiccup but we can't afford to wait for the long-term before taking action.' Research commissioned by Keeling and severa l other Lloyd's underwriters by the University of East Anglia's climatology department also concludes: 'The possibility that the trend (of more frequent gales in north-western Europe) is related to global warming cannot be rejec ted.' Insurers should assume that 'gale frequencies will remain at the level of the 1980s' and could rise further, the report says. In Greenpeace's rece nt study, the pressure group called for insurers to join the lobby for limit s on the emission of 'greenhouse gases'. Keeling acknowledges: 'We have to d o something constructive but the insurance industry will never be a lobby. W e are too diffused.' Instead, as well as increasing rates insurers have begu n to toughen the terms of storm insurance. Kielholz says that since 1990 Swi ss Re has begun to isolate the risk of 'windstorm' from other exposures it u nderwrites. The group now likes to cover windstorm through an excess of loss reinsurance contract (in which the reinsurer covers a tranche of risk up to a pre-set limit) rather than by covering it alongside other risks as part o f a proportional reinsurance deal (in which the reinsurer accepts an agreed percentage of exposure). 'Reinsurers have become more and more reluctant to include windstorm in proportional property treaties,' says Kielholz. Reinsur ers are also urging direct insurers to make policyholders pay the first port ion of any loss themselves, as an incentive to protect their property agains t storms. Householders would then be more likely to carry out essential main tenance and commercial customers to follow building codes more strictly, the y argue. During Hurricane Andrew many new buildings, especially those with s teel frames and metal casings, proved to be particularly vulnerable to wind damage, according to Swiss Re. Higher rates and tougher terms are the insura nce industry's perhaps unsurprising response to recent storms and the potent ial threat of global warming. The environmental movement has shown itself re luctant to acknowledge scientific doubts about climate change, while climato logists - who might stress that uncertainty - have few reasons to get involv ed in debates on insurance charges. Customers may have to hope the new highe r rates help preserve some of the financially weaker groups, and so preserve competition in the industry. --------------------------------------------- -------------------- THE COST OF RECENT STORMS --------- -------------------------------------------------------- Aug 1992 US Cyclone Iniki Dollars 1.4bn Aug 1992 US Hurricane Andrew Dollars 20.0bn Sep 1991 Japan Typhoon Mi reille Dollars 4.8bn Jul 1990 US Colorado storms Do llars 1.0bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Wibke Dollars 1.3b n Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Vivian Dollars 3.2bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Herta Dollars 1.3bn Jan 1990 NW Europ e Windstorm Daria Dollars 4.6bn Sep 1989 US Hurricane Hugo Dollars 5.8bn Oct 1987 NW Europe Un-named wi ndstorm Dollars 2.5bn ---------------------------------------------------- ------------- Source: Greenpeace ------------------------------------------ ----------------------- Countries:- GBZ United Kingd om, EC. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty I nsurance. P6411 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service. Types :- RES Natural resources. COSTS Costs & Prices. MKTS Ma rket data. The Financial Times London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 18 ============================================== Transaction #: 18 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:42:44 Selec. Rec. #: 4 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-7520 _AN-DBXCKACQFT 9302 24 FT 24 FEB 93 / Business and the Environment: Weather wise - Typhoons, hurricanes and the threat of global warming are pushing up insurance rates By RICHARD LAPPER and BRONWEN MADDOX 'WE GET zapped every five minutes,' says Richard Keeling, underwriter with Lloyd's syndicate 362, reviewing the impact of recent hurri canes, gales and typhoons on the London insurance market. Recent storms, eac h more damaging than the last, culminated in last year's hurricane Andrew, w hich devastated parts of Louisiana and Florida and caused losses estimated t o be at least Dollars 16bn and perhaps as much as Dollars 20bn (Pounds 14bn) , the United States's biggest-ever insured loss. That has triggered tough ba rgaining in the London insurance market and one of the hardest 'renewal' sea sons, as reinsurers seek to impose big rate increases. Most significantly, i n a move that could lead to higher insurance rates for many years, insurers are also beginning to ask whether recent storms are a sign of global warming or other long-term shifts in weather patterns. The question has led to an u nlikely convergence with environmental pressure groups such as Greenpeace, w hich last month published a long report welcoming insurers' alertness to the risk. In the recent round of negotiations, brokers buying cover for US clie nts - who have avoided heavy increases in recent years - have found the goin g toughest. However, across the board, direct insurers are now paying more f or their reinsurance. Keeling says that since October 1987, reinsurance rate s have increased by 650 per cent for European insurers, 450 per cent for US buyers and by 1,000 per cent for Japanese companies. The increases partly re flect reinsurers' efforts to restore profitability after heavy losses from w eather and from other disasters such as the 1988 Piper Alpha oil rig explosi on and the Exxon Valdez oil spill the following year. Both Swiss Re and Muni ch Re, the world's two biggest reinsurers, have seen profits dented and have been forced to draw deep into their reserves to meet claims, especially fro m the European storms of 1990. Many smaller reinsurers have withdrawn from t he market. More than a third of Lloyd's Names and nearly half the syndicates have left the market since 1989. As competition for business has dwindled, bigger players have found it easier to force through rate increases. Underwr iters are also now beginning to take a deeper look at the risk of storm dama ge. They recognise that denser population in potentially exposed regions, su ch as the south-eastern coast of the US, is partly responsible for the rise in losses. 'Windstorm' cover has also become a more common element of househ olders' policies over the last two decades in most countries. And increasing ly many are questioning whether the recent increases in land and sea tempera tures are leading to greater atmospheric instability and more frequent and i ntense winds. Scientists have warned for several years that gases such as ca rbon dioxide, emitted from burning fossil fuels, could cause global warming. The United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, set up to in vestigate the phenomenon, has suggested the average increase could be somewh ere between 1.5'C and 3.5'C over the next 100 years. However, scientists hav e emphasised there is still uncertainty about the processes involved - the m odels find it hard to take account of clouds, which could slow down warming. They also say it is impossible to conclude from recent storms and warm summ ers that climate change is already happening. Despite scientific uncertainty , insurers feel they need to protect themselves. Walter Kielholz, general ma nager of Swiss Re, one of the first insurance companies to question whether global warming could be responsible for worsening weather, agrees that 'the statistical data is too short to conclusively prove that there is a trend'. But he adds: 'It might just be a hiccup but we can't afford to wait for the long-term before taking action.' Research commissioned by Keeling and severa l other Lloyd's underwriters by the University of East Anglia's climatology department also concludes: 'The possibility that the trend (of more frequent gales in north-western Europe) is related to global warming cannot be rejec ted.' Insurers should assume that 'gale frequencies will remain at the level of the 1980s' and could rise further, the report says. In Greenpeace's rece nt study, the pressure group called for insurers to join the lobby for limit s on the emission of 'greenhouse gases'. Keeling acknowledges: 'We have to d o something constructive but the insurance industry will never be a lobby. W e are too diffused.' Instead, as well as increasing rates insurers have begu n to toughen the terms of storm insurance. Kielholz says that since 1990 Swi ss Re has begun to isolate the risk of 'windstorm' from other exposures it u nderwrites. The group now likes to cover windstorm through an excess of loss reinsurance contract (in which the reinsurer covers a tranche of risk up to a pre-set limit) rather than by covering it alongside other risks as part o f a proportional reinsurance deal (in which the reinsurer accepts an agreed percentage of exposure). 'Reinsurers have become more and more reluctant to include windstorm in proportional property treaties,' says Kielholz. Reinsur ers are also urging direct insurers to make policyholders pay the first port ion of any loss themselves, as an incentive to protect their property agains t storms. Householders would then be more likely to carry out essential main tenance and commercial customers to follow building codes more strictly, the y argue. During Hurricane Andrew many new buildings, especially those with s teel frames and metal casings, proved to be particularly vulnerable to wind damage, according to Swiss Re. Higher rates and tougher terms are the insura nce industry's perhaps unsurprising response to recent storms and the potent ial threat of global warming. The environmental movement has shown itself re luctant to acknowledge scientific doubts about climate change, while climato logists - who might stress that uncertainty - have few reasons to get involv ed in debates on insurance charges. Customers may have to hope the new highe r rates help preserve some of the financially weaker groups, and so preserve competition in the industry. --------------------------------------------- -------------------- THE COST OF RECENT STORMS --------- -------------------------------------------------------- Aug 1992 US Cyclone Iniki Dollars 1.4bn Aug 1992 US Hurricane Andrew Dollars 20.0bn Sep 1991 Japan Typhoon Mi reille Dollars 4.8bn Jul 1990 US Colorado storms Do llars 1.0bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Wibke Dollars 1.3b n Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Vivian Dollars 3.2bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Herta Dollars 1.3bn Jan 1990 NW Europ e Windstorm Daria Dollars 4.6bn Sep 1989 US Hurricane Hugo Dollars 5.8bn Oct 1987 NW Europe Un-named wi ndstorm Dollars 2.5bn ---------------------------------------------------- ------------- Source: Greenpeace ------------------------------------------ ----------------------- Countries:- GBZ United Kingd om, EC. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty I nsurance. P6411 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service. Types :- RES Natural resources. COSTS Costs & Prices. MKTS Ma rket data. The Financial Times London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 19 ============================================== Transaction #: 19 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:43:25 Selec. Rec. #: 5 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-6110 _AN-CH0BVADPFT 9208 26 FT 26 AUG 92 / Hurricane damage put at Dollars 20bn a s 2m people told to leave homes By MARTIN DICKSON an d NORMA COHEN NEW YORK, LONDON DA MAGE CAUSED by Hurricane Andrew could rise to Dollars 20bn, it was estimated yesterday, as one of the costliest US storms this century threatened a furt her devastating landfall near the city of New Orleans. Government officials in Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas yesterday advised or ordered more than 2 m people to evacuate coastal areas. The hurricane tore through southern Flor ida early on Monday morning, causing billions of dollars of property damage and at least 12 deaths, and yesterday was moving north-west across the Gulf of Mexico with winds of about 140 miles an hour. At least three people died on Sunday when Hurricane Andrew crossed the Bahamas. Ms Kate Hale, director of emergency services in Florida's Dade County, which bore the brunt of the storm, estimated that Andrew had already caused Dollars 15bn to Dollars 20bn (Pounds 7.5bn-Pounds 10bn) of damage. However, insurance industry analysts cautioned that it was too early to assess the costs accurately. The US indus try's Property Claims Service, the official compiler of disaster losses, had yet to compile a preliminary tally of the Florida bill. A hurricane warning was in effect yesterday along 470 miles of Gulf coast from Pascagoula, Miss issippi, to Galvestone, Texas. Several forecasting agencies suggested the li keliest landfall was in central Louisiana, to the west of New Orleans, possi bly late last night or this morning. New Orleans, with a population of 1.6m, is particularly vulnerable because the city lies below sea level, has the M ississippi River running through its centre and a large lake immediately to the north. Much of America's oil refining industry is concentrated along coa stal Texas and Louisiana and several refineries were yesterday partially shu t down. These included British Petroleum's Belle Chasse plant in Louisiana. In Florida, Andrew caused greatest havoc in a largely suburban swathe some 1 0-15 miles south of Miami. The town of Homestead, near the centre of the sto rm, was largely flattened, including a local air force base. Miami's city ce ntre escaped with relatively light damage. More than 24 hours after the hurr icane, some 825,000 households and businesses were still without power. The brunt of insurance claims from the Florida storm will fall on the US industr y, and companies with a heavy local exposure include the State Farm Group an d the Allstate Insurance unit of Sears Roebuck. These are also the leading p roperty/casualty and home insurance groups in Louisiana, together with Ameri can International Group. A spokesman for State Farm Insurance said he believ ed the company had roughly 20 per cent of the Florida market. The mutually-o wned company has no reinsurance. Its size has made obtaining reinsurance cov er difficult and its reserves, at about Dollars 24bn, have made it unnecessa ry. According to Balcombe Group, a UK-based claims adjustment firm, other in surers with large exposure in the hurricane-hit area are Hartford Insurance, Aetna and Travellers. Travellers said it had flown 50 claims adjusters in t o Florida late on Monday and was assessing losses. About 12 per cent of Trav ellers' home insurance premium income came from Florida last year, and 4.6 p er cent of its commercial insurance premiums. The last serious US hurricane, Hugo, which struck South Carolina in 1989, cost the industry Dollars 4.2bn from insured losses, though estimates of the total damage caused ranged betw een Dollars 6bn and Dollars 10bn. The Financial Times

London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 20 ============================================== Transaction #: 20 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:43:37 Selec. Rec. #: 6 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT943-15195 _AN-EGKDTACRFT 940 711 FT 11 JUL 94 / Business Travel (Update): Taiwan typh oon By DAVID OWEN Typhoon Tim lashe d eastern Taiwan with strong winds and heavy rain yesterday, forcing the sus pension of flights to two offshore islets. Taiwanese officials said an impor tant highway in Hualien city was closed because of landslides set off by the torrential downpour. In the Philippines, the Manila weather bureau said ano ther tropical storm, Vanessa, had developed in the South China Sea and was b ringing strong winds and heavy rains to the main Philippine island, Luzon. < /TEXT> Countries:- TWZ Taiwan, Asia. PHZ Philippines, A sia. Industries:- P9229 Public Order and Safety, NEC. < /IN> Types:- RES Natural resources. The Financial Times London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 21 ============================================== Transaction #: 21 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:43:49 Selec. Rec. #: 6 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT943-15195 _AN-EGKDTACRFT 940 711 FT 11 JUL 94 / Business Travel (Update): Taiwan typh oon By DAVID OWEN Typhoon Tim lashe d eastern Taiwan with strong winds and heavy rain yesterday, forcing the sus pension of flights to two offshore islets. Taiwanese officials said an impor tant highway in Hualien city was closed because of landslides set off by the torrential downpour. In the Philippines, the Manila weather bureau said ano ther tropical storm, Vanessa, had developed in the South China Sea and was b ringing strong winds and heavy rains to the main Philippine island, Luzon. < /TEXT> Countries:- TWZ Taiwan, Asia. PHZ Philippines, A sia. Industries:- P9229 Public Order and Safety, NEC. < /IN> Types:- RES Natural resources. The Financial Times London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 22 ============================================== Transaction #: 22 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:43:50 Selec. Rec. #: 6 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT943-15195 _AN-EGKDTACRFT 940 711 FT 11 JUL 94 / Business Travel (Update): Taiwan typh oon By DAVID OWEN Typhoon Tim lashe d eastern Taiwan with strong winds and heavy rain yesterday, forcing the sus pension of flights to two offshore islets. Taiwanese officials said an impor tant highway in Hualien city was closed because of landslides set off by the torrential downpour. In the Philippines, the Manila weather bureau said ano ther tropical storm, Vanessa, had developed in the South China Sea and was b ringing strong winds and heavy rains to the main Philippine island, Luzon. < /TEXT> Countries:- TWZ Taiwan, Asia. PHZ Philippines, A sia. Industries:- P9229 Public Order and Safety, NEC. < /IN> Types:- RES Natural resources. The Financial Times London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 23 ============================================== Transaction #: 23 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:44:00 Selec. Rec. #: 7 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-4394 _AN-CIGBWADKFT 9209 07 FT 07 SEP 92 / Survey of Reinsurance (7): Storm warni ng for insurers / Examining the rising trend in catastrophe losses By SIMON REYNOLDS KLAUS CONRAD, a member of Munich Re's board of management, advises insurers: 'Beware of a catastrophe reinsurer who asks no questions . . . who does not ask to be paid a fair pri ce for his goods and services; they may turn out to be worthless.' This is s ound advice: many reinsurers who did not ask questions or a fair price have in recent years been hit by the rising trend in catastrophe losses. The comp act but intense Hurricane Andrew, the first big storm of the 1992 Atlantic h urricane season, is one more example of nature's destructive potential. In i ts recent review of 1991 catastrophe losses the large international reinsure r Swiss Re argues that 'the last five years have shown a loss burden above t he long-term trend, both in the natural catastrophe and major man-made loss sectors. If this development continues, the world insurance system will face a huge challenge.' A similar review of natural catastrophes from Munich Re, the world's largest reinsurer, 'confirms a continuation in 1991 of the tren d that has been observed for more than 30 years: natural disasters are becom ing more and more costly,' in terms of overall economic loss and insured los s. Since the mid-1980s insured damage from natural catastrophes have far out stripped significant man-made losses. Typhoon Mireille which swept Japan for two days in September 1991 caused insured damage of Dollars 5.2bn - the lar gest insured loss from a single storm. For the third year a wind storm produ ced a Dollars 4bn plus loss, following Hurricane Hugo in September 1989, and the storm Daria in western Europe in January 1990. Insured wind storm damag e throughout North America totalled more than Dollars 3bn in 1991, while a b ush fire in California in October 1991 caused an insured loss of Dollars 1.2 bn. Looking at man-made catastrophe losses the trend is similar: more losses costing more money. Swiss Re's survey argues that in totalling more than Do llars 3.2bn in 1991 'man-made insured damage is still clearly above the long -term average'. The biggest losses in this category were the sinking of the Sleipner A gas platform while still in Grandafjord off Stavanger, Norway (in sured loss Dollars 334.5m), and the fire during construction of the London U nderwriting Centre (Dollars 290m). The latter highlighted the increasing ris k of construction site losses developed countries. According to Munich Re, i nsurers' real claims burdens from natural disasters in the decade to 1991 we re eight times heavier than during the 1960s. Figures from Swiss Re, show th at total insured damage from natural disasters and large man-made losses tog ether bounced around between Dollars 2bn and Dollars 6bn (at 1991 prices) be tween 1970 and 1985. Since then the yearly totals have been sharply higher: reaching Dollars 14bn in 1889, Dollars 18bn in 1990, Dollars 15bn in 1991. T hese figures are small in comparison with the overall Dollars 1,200bn taken in premiums each year by insurers world-wide. However, the recent trend in f requency and value of catastrophe losses is of concern because of its uncert ainty. Is the trend going to be the norm for future years? And how far will the figures rise? Piper Alpha was an old platform (169 people died in the 19 88 disaster and the insured loss was Dollars 1.4bn) - the newer North Sea pl atforms are multi-billion dollar structures. Insurance market estimates of p ossible future natural catastrophe incidents make grim reading. A large eart hquake in Tokyo or San Francisco could lead to a Dollars 50-Dollars 100bn do llar loss. If a Hugo-intensity storm had landed farther north up the US east coast in New York, the loss could have been twice that actually suffered. A ccording to Andrew Dlugolecki, chief manager operations at General Accident, there are many factors driving these trends of rising cost and frequency. O ne significant factor may be that the weather trends of the 1950s, 1960s and 1970s were milder than the long-term trend, and recent storm developments a re a return towards that longer-term trend. Other factors raising catastroph e losses include: Increasing concentration of values: industries have tended to build increasingly expensive plant, of higher output, with greater produ ct inventory on site. Increasing business interruption (B/I): more businesse s are buying B/I insurance cover, and B/I insured losses are rising at a fas ter rate than property losses. Larger, higher output plant take longer to re build in the event of a disaster. New business practices: the development of just-in-time (jit) techniques is one facet of increasing dependencies betwe en suppliers and customers. In recognition of this more supplier/customer B/ I extensions to cover are being purchased. New construction techniques: fast track and unitary methods mean a higher percentage of high value finished f ixtures and fittings are on site during earlier stages of building construct ion, possibly a time of raised risk from fire. Increasing population density : cities are becoming larger and, on average, richer. If a natural disaster hits, losses are increased. Much of the loss from a large wind storm is acco unted for by many, relatively small claims from householders. New geographic al areas: both industry and populations are moving into increasingly risky a reas, especially coastal regions more susceptible to storms, storm surges, t sunamis (huge sea waves). Increasing insurance density: greater demand from customers has led to more insurance purchasing. It was easy to sell wind sto rm cover in Europe after the 1987 and 1990 storms. A corresponding push from insurers selling cheaply in a soft market added to the trend. Changes in cl imate: natural variation in climate alters the propensity for climatic event s. The jury is still out on global warming, but scientists argue that if the troposphere is warming, the earth's weather system will contain more energy leading to greater intensity of climatic events. What is to be done? Mr Con rad argues that 'private fortunes gathered over generations, were lost by Ll oyd's names, reinsurers mobilised their emergency reserves, retrocessionaire s started selling their nest eggs. (Premiums) apparently had been too low, o therwise one would not have lost in five years, what it had taken 50 to coll ect'. His solution is simple: a return to insurance basics; premiums rates c ommensurate with risk, appropriate levels of deductibles, proper calculation of probable and possible catastrophe scenarios, proper loss prevention, los s mitigation, and accumulation control. The Financial Times

London Page 30
============= Transaction # 24 ============================================== Transaction #: 24 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:44:46 Selec. Rec. #: 10 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-16873 _AN-EJKDGAFQFT 941 011 FT 11 OCT 94 / Commodities and Agriculture: St Lucia looks for alternatives after banana disaster By DEB ORAH HARGREAVES The West Indies island of St Lucia lost 70, 000 tonnes of bananas or 68 per cent of its crop in the recent tropical stor m that ravaged the Windward Islands. It will cost Pounds 60m and take about two years to repair the damage and get the island's agriculture industry bac k on its feet again, said Mr John Compton, prime minister, last week. But he stressed that the country was using the damage wrought by tropical storm De bbie to step up its programme of agricultural diversification. 'We're lookin g at tree crops such as mangoes and avocado pears to grow in the hills for n iche markets in Europe,' Mr Compton said. Bananas have traditionally been a mainstay of St Lucia's economy with most destined for the British market. Bu t Mr Compton believes Caribbean producers must become more competitive and d iversify their farm industries. 'We plan to re-organise the whole structure of our banana industry as we realise that competition in Europe will continu e to be strong,' he said. The country is looking for around Pounds 10m in ai d from European Union programmes to assist in increasing production and prod uctivity in bananas as well as diversifying. Mr Compton believes producers i n St Lucia can increase productivity by 50 per cent in fertile valleys by us ing irrigation methods, better drainage, better disease and pest control. He aims to produce the country's quota to the EU market - 127,000 tonnes - on less acreage. But the storm caused major structural damage, altering the cou rse of rivers, knocking out all but one of the island's water supplies. and silting up some rivers. Mr Compton reckons that 20 per cent of the island's fertile valley land is irrecoverably damaged. 'The storm has set back our ef forts considerably, but we want to use this opportunity to go ahead and prop erly re-organise our farming industry,' Mr Compton said. In the meantime, th e Windward Islands, which supply 3 to 4 per cent of EU bananas are looking t o buy in bananas from elsewhere to fulfil their quota and hold on to market share. But the commission has yet to approve the request. Belize is asking f or an increase in its EU quota to reflect the growth in its own banana indus try - the country has a quota for 40,000 tonnes, but production will exceed 55,000 tonnes this year. Countries:- LCZ St Lucia, C aribbean. BZZ Belize, Central America. Industries:- P0179 Fruits and Tree Nuts, NEC. Types:- MKTS Produc tion. MKTS Foreign trade. The Financial Times London Page 31 ============= Transaction # 25 ============================================== Transaction #: 25 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:45:18 Selec. Rec. #: 10 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-16873 _AN-EJKDGAFQFT 941 011 FT 11 OCT 94 / Commodities and Agriculture: St Lucia looks for alternatives after banana disaster By DEB ORAH HARGREAVES The West Indies island of St Lucia lost 70, 000 tonnes of bananas or 68 per cent of its crop in the recent tropical stor m that ravaged the Windward Islands. It will cost Pounds 60m and take about two years to repair the damage and get the island's agriculture industry bac k on its feet again, said Mr John Compton, prime minister, last week. But he stressed that the country was using the damage wrought by tropical storm De bbie to step up its programme of agricultural diversification. 'We're lookin g at tree crops such as mangoes and avocado pears to grow in the hills for n iche markets in Europe,' Mr Compton said. Bananas have traditionally been a mainstay of St Lucia's economy with most destined for the British market. Bu t Mr Compton believes Caribbean producers must become more competitive and d iversify their farm industries. 'We plan to re-organise the whole structure of our banana industry as we realise that competition in Europe will continu e to be strong,' he said. The country is looking for around Pounds 10m in ai d from European Union programmes to assist in increasing production and prod uctivity in bananas as well as diversifying. Mr Compton believes producers i n St Lucia can increase productivity by 50 per cent in fertile valleys by us ing irrigation methods, better drainage, better disease and pest control. He aims to produce the country's quota to the EU market - 127,000 tonnes - on less acreage. But the storm caused major structural damage, altering the cou rse of rivers, knocking out all but one of the island's water supplies. and silting up some rivers. Mr Compton reckons that 20 per cent of the island's fertile valley land is irrecoverably damaged. 'The storm has set back our ef forts considerably, but we want to use this opportunity to go ahead and prop erly re-organise our farming industry,' Mr Compton said. In the meantime, th e Windward Islands, which supply 3 to 4 per cent of EU bananas are looking t o buy in bananas from elsewhere to fulfil their quota and hold on to market share. But the commission has yet to approve the request. Belize is asking f or an increase in its EU quota to reflect the growth in its own banana indus try - the country has a quota for 40,000 tonnes, but production will exceed 55,000 tonnes this year. Countries:- LCZ St Lucia, C aribbean. BZZ Belize, Central America. Industries:- P0179 Fruits and Tree Nuts, NEC. Types:- MKTS Produc tion. MKTS Foreign trade. The Financial Times London Page 31 ============= Transaction # 26 ============================================== Transaction #: 26 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:45:22 Selec. Rec. #: 10 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-16873 _AN-EJKDGAFQFT 941 011 FT 11 OCT 94 / Commodities and Agriculture: St Lucia looks for alternatives after banana disaster By DEB ORAH HARGREAVES The West Indies island of St Lucia lost 70, 000 tonnes of bananas or 68 per cent of its crop in the recent tropical stor m that ravaged the Windward Islands. It will cost Pounds 60m and take about two years to repair the damage and get the island's agriculture industry bac k on its feet again, said Mr John Compton, prime minister, last week. But he stressed that the country was using the damage wrought by tropical storm De bbie to step up its programme of agricultural diversification. 'We're lookin g at tree crops such as mangoes and avocado pears to grow in the hills for n iche markets in Europe,' Mr Compton said. Bananas have traditionally been a mainstay of St Lucia's economy with most destined for the British market. Bu t Mr Compton believes Caribbean producers must become more competitive and d iversify their farm industries. 'We plan to re-organise the whole structure of our banana industry as we realise that competition in Europe will continu e to be strong,' he said. The country is looking for around Pounds 10m in ai d from European Union programmes to assist in increasing production and prod uctivity in bananas as well as diversifying. Mr Compton believes producers i n St Lucia can increase productivity by 50 per cent in fertile valleys by us ing irrigation methods, better drainage, better disease and pest control. He aims to produce the country's quota to the EU market - 127,000 tonnes - on less acreage. But the storm caused major structural damage, altering the cou rse of rivers, knocking out all but one of the island's water supplies. and silting up some rivers. Mr Compton reckons that 20 per cent of the island's fertile valley land is irrecoverably damaged. 'The storm has set back our ef forts considerably, but we want to use this opportunity to go ahead and prop erly re-organise our farming industry,' Mr Compton said. In the meantime, th e Windward Islands, which supply 3 to 4 per cent of EU bananas are looking t o buy in bananas from elsewhere to fulfil their quota and hold on to market share. But the commission has yet to approve the request. Belize is asking f or an increase in its EU quota to reflect the growth in its own banana indus try - the country has a quota for 40,000 tonnes, but production will exceed 55,000 tonnes this year. Countries:- LCZ St Lucia, C aribbean. BZZ Belize, Central America. Industries:- P0179 Fruits and Tree Nuts, NEC. Types:- MKTS Produc tion. MKTS Foreign trade. The Financial Times London Page 31 ============= Transaction # 27 ============================================== Transaction #: 27 Transaction Code: 8 (Mixed Bool./Dir. Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:45:42 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 1 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 7 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {tropical storms storm hurricanes typhoons damage}) and (dat e {1960})" ============= Transaction # 28 ============================================== Transaction #: 28 Transaction Code: 37 (General (non-Tcl) Error) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:45:45 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: {ERR {Status 1} {Hits 0} {Received 0} {Set Default}} {No matching records fo und} ============= Transaction # 29 ============================================== Transaction #: 29 Transaction Code: 8 (Mixed Bool./Dir. Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:45:50 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 1 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 7 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {tropical storms storm hurricanes typhoons damage}) and (dat e {1990})" ============= Transaction # 30 ============================================== Transaction #: 30 Transaction Code: 37 (General (non-Tcl) Error) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:45:53 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: {ERR {Status 1} {Hits 0} {Received 0} {Set Default}} {No matching records fo und} ============= Transaction # 31 ============================================== Transaction #: 31 Transaction Code: 8 (Mixed Bool./Dir. Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:45:57 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 1 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 7 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {tropical storms storm hurricanes typhoons damage}) and (dat e {1991})" ============= Transaction # 32 ============================================== Transaction #: 32 Transaction Code: 37 (General (non-Tcl) Error) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:46:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: {ERR {Status 1} {Hits 0} {Received 0} {Set Default}} {No matching records fo und} ============= Transaction # 33 ============================================== Transaction #: 33 Transaction Code: 8 (Mixed Bool./Dir. Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:46:21 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 1 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 7 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {tropical storms storm hurricanes typhoons damage}) and (top ic {1980})" ============= Transaction # 34 ============================================== Transaction #: 34 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:46:25 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 210 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 35 ============================================== Transaction #: 35 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:46:33 Selec. Rec. #: 1 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT911-1725 _AN-BECBBACPFT 9105 03 FT 03 MAY 91 / FT Law Report: Arbitrators cannot hear claim By RACHEL DAVIES, Barrister WORLD ERA Queen's Bench Division (Commercial Court): Mr Justice Hobhouse: Ma rch 27 1991 AN ARBITRATOR'S jurisdiction on a reference asserting loss to ch arterers in their own right by shipowners' breach of charterparty, is limite d to that cause of action; and he therefore has no jurisdiction to hear an a mended claim arising out of a different cause of action in that the chartere rs claim as agents for loss suffered by their principals as a result of the same breach. Mr Justice Hobhouse so held when making a limited declaration i n favour of the plaintiffs, Leif Heogh and Co A/S, disponent owners of World Era, that arbitrators on a claim by the defendant charterers, Petrolsea Inc , had no jurisdiction to hear amendments to the Points of Claim in so far as Petrolsea claimed as agents for an undisclosed principal. He rejected the p laintiffs' claim that the arbitrators had no jurisdiction on the ground that the amendments were time-barred. HIS LORDSHIP said that a tanker voyage cha rterparty dated October 24 1980 between disponent owners of World Era and th e charterers, was one of a tier of charterparties. The actual owners had cha rtered the vessel to the disponent owners on terms similar to those between the disponent owners and the charterers. The charterers subchartered the ves sel on back to back terms. The charterers and sub-charterers were both subsi diaries of companies in the Marc Rich & Co AG group. In November 1980 the ve ssel loaded cargo at two Gulf ports for carriage to ports in Italy and Sardi nia, issuing bills of lading naming those discharge ports. After the vessel had sailed, the charterers ordered the vessel to discharge at Durban in Sout h Africa. They contended that under their charterparty with the disponent ow ners they were entitled to give that order. The disponent owners passed on t he order to the head owners who refused to accept it, and the disponent owne rs passed that refusal back to the charterers. The upshot was that the cargo was eventually discharged at Bonaire in the Caribbean. The charterers said that certain expenses had been incurred in supplying substitute cargo to Sou th African purchasers. In 1981 arbitrators were appointed in respect of a cl aim by the charterers against the disponent owners for damages for breach of the charterparty in refusing the order to discharge in South Africa. Points of Claim were served in November 1984. They described the arbitration as be tween charterers as claimants and disponent owners as respondents; and refer red to the charterparty an agreement between claimant charterers and respond ent disponent owners. It was pleaded that by reason of the disponent owners' breach of charter in refusing to discharge at Durban, the claimants had suf fered loss and damage and/or had incurred liability to indemnify the sub-cha rterers. The claim amounted to about Dollars 4,784. The disponent owners rai sed defences and counterclaims. In preparing their case as the years passed by, it occurred to those acting for the charterers that they might have diff iculty in substantiating and proving their claim as alleged. The charterers discovered after all that time that they had not been contracting on their o wn behalf but on behalf of Marc Rich, a fact not previously disclosed. In Ma rch 1990 they sent the disponent owners draft amended Points of Claim. The a mendments did not seek to alter the parties to the arbitration. They remaine d charterers as claimants and disponent owners as respondents. They did not alter the previous allegations with regard to the charterparty and the parti es to it. However, they added an allegation that 'the charterparty was made by the claimants as agents for undisclosed principals, Marc Rich'. The damag es claim was recast. It was alleged that the claimants 'and/or their princip als Marc Rich' had suffered loss and damage and/or the claimants had incurre d a liability to indemnify the sub-charterers 'and/or Marc Rich' in respect of loss and damage suffered by them. All the previous particulars were delet ed. Allegations were substituted regarding Marc Rich's liabilities to a Sout h African company, and the agency relationship. The final particular alleged in the alternative that if, contrary to the claimant's case, the claimants were not agents for Marc Rich, they were principals and the loss was suffere d by them as such. On the present originating summons the disponent owners a sked for a declaration that the arbitrators had no jurisdiction to hear the amendments, on the ground that they were outside the terms of the reference to arbitration, or were time-barred. Section 5 of the Limitation Act 1980, a nd its predecessor in the 1939 Act, provided that an action founded on simpl e contract should not be brought after six years from when the cause of acti on accrued. By section 34(3) an arbitration commenced where the appropriate steps to appoint, or to require the appointment of an arbitrator had been ca rried out. The character of the time limit did not go to jurisdiction. It me rely provided a defence to the claim. If the defence was disputed, as it was here, the arbitrators must decide it. It followed that in so far as the att ack on jurisdiction was founded on time bar, it was misconceived and must fa il. The disponent owners accepted that all the matters now within the amende d Points of Claim could have been referred to arbitration by the charterers in 1981. They said they were not so referred. The cause of action on which t he charterers relied in 1981 when referring the dispute to arbitration and a ppointing their arbitrator, was the disponent owners' alleged breach of char ter in declining to deliver in South Africa. That was the original cause of action, in respect of which the arbitrators were appointed. Subject to one p oint it remained the cause of action which the charterers sought to enforce. No new breach of charterparty was alleged or relied on. That was sufficient to dispose of most of the points on which the disponent owners relied in th eir attack on jurisdiction. But, in one respect the charterers, although sti ll putting themselves forward as the only claimant in the arbitration, did p urport to raise a new or different cause of action. That was the allegation that they were entitled to recover not only in their own right, but in right of Marc Rich. In the clause pleading loss and damage, in so far as the char terers alleged that they had incurred liability to indemnify the sub-charter ers and/or Marc Rich, those were matters properly pleaded and relevant to th eir claim. In so far as they also alleged that 'their principals, Marc Rich' had suffered loss and damage, the charterers were going beyond what they co uld claim by their asserted cause of action. To recover in the right of anot her was to assert a cause of action of that other person. Such cause of acti on had not been referred to prior to delivery of the draft amendments in 199 0. On the face of it it was a new cause of action not included in the origin al reference. The only entity that had claimed arbitration and referred its claim to the arbitrators was the charterers. Marc Rich chose not to make a r eference. All it had done was to cause its agents, the charterers, to claim in the right of Marc Rich. That was not permissible within the existing refe rence. In the absence of a further reference, that claim must be excluded. O nce one had identified that a claim in the right of Marc Rich was not within the reference, questions of the extent of recovery to which the charterers were entitled in their own right, fell within the arbitrators' jurisdiction. In so far as the amended Points of Claim alleged that the charterers were c ontracting agents for undisclosed principals, that the principals suffered l oss and damage, and that the charterers were entitled to recover damages in the right of the sub-charterers and Marc Rich, they made claims and raised d isputes which had not been referred and which the arbitrators did not have j urisdiction to decide. For the plaintiff disponent owners: Bernard Eder QC a nd John Lockey (Sinclairs). For the defendant charterers: Michael Howard QC and Nigel Meeson (Clyde & Co). The Financial Times London Page 29 ============= Transaction # 36 ============================================== Transaction #: 36 Transaction Code: 8 (Mixed Bool./Dir. Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:47:05 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 1 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: Yes Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 7 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {tropical storms storm hurricanes typhoons damage}) and (top ic {1980})" ============= Transaction # 37 ============================================== Transaction #: 37 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:47:08 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 210 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 38 ============================================== Transaction #: 38 Transaction Code: 8 (Mixed Bool./Dir. Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:47:39 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 1 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: Yes Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 7 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {tropical storms storm hurricanes typhoons damage}) not (top ic {andrew})" ============= Transaction # 39 ============================================== Transaction #: 39 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:47:42 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 10500 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 40 ============================================== Transaction #: 40 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:48:00 Selec. Rec. #: 6 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT943-1514 _AN-EIWEEAFMFT 9409 23 FT 23 SEP 94 / UK Company News: Geest warns of second half loss - Shares fall as damage to banana production takes toll By DAVID BLACKWELL The aftermath of the trop ical storm that severely damaged banana production in the Windward Islands w ill push Geest, the fresh and chilled food group, into the red in the second half. Shares fell 30p to 190p yesterday following the warning from Mr David Sugden, chief executive, who presented a strong set of interim results. Pre -tax profits rose from Pounds 3m to Pounds 17.9m for the six months to July 2 on turnover ahead at Pounds 353.8m (Pounds 332.7m). 'The business has been performing well, but is overshadowed by considerable uncertainty,' said Mr Sugden, referring to the European Commission's laxity in responding to the c ompany's plea for permission to purchase replacement bananas in Latin Americ a. The EC banana management committee failed to agree on Wednesday on measur es that would allow Geest to purchase alternative bananas from Latin America under the EC quota system. The committee does not meet again until October 5. Tropical Storm Debbie hit the Windward Islands earlier this month, causin g extensive flooding around St Lucia and damage to roads and bridges. Geest, which is under contract to ship all the islands' bananas, estimates that ou tput will be 40 per cent down. Last week the first ship to arrive since the storm was half full. The company is expecting to load only 2,400 tonnes a we ek, compared with a normal load of 4,000 tonnes. The first half, however, sh owed the company recovering from the uncertainties surrounding the EC banana regime, introduced last July, as well as an attack of disease on its Costa Rican plantations, which left it Pounds 5.4m in the red at the end of last y ear. Operating profits in the fresh produce division improved from Pounds 2m to Pounds 15m on sales of Pounds 285.6m (Pounds 276.5m). The food preparati on division, which supplies chilled salads and other products, lifted operat ing profits from Pounds 3.3m to Pounds 4.2m on sales of Pounds 66.6m (Pounds 54.4m). The result this time included an exceptional gain of Pounds 2.5m fr om a disposal. Net interest payable rose from Pounds 500,000 to Pounds 3.2m. Earnings per share were 18.9p (2.7p). The interim dividend is unchanged at 3.7p. COMMENT While the problems of disease in Costa Rica appear to have gon e away, Geest's troubles with the European Commission and the banana regime are not over yet, thanks to Tropical Storm Debbie. In spite of its successfu l efforts to boost its food preparation division, the group remains vulnerab le to the banana industry, which is highly political and subject to natural disaster. It has also only two main areas of supply, leaving it looking infl exible beside companies that source more widely. Adding to its problems is g earing of more than 100 per cent. Best guesses at this year's final outcome seem to be around Pounds 9m of profits - better than last year but a far cry from 1991's Pounds 26.2m. See Commodities Companies:- Geest. Countries:- GBZ United Kingdom, EC. Industries:- P5148 Fresh Fruits and Vegetables. Types :- FIN Interim results. CMMT Comment & Analysis. MKTS P roduction. The Financial Times London Page 28 ============= Transaction # 41 ============================================== Transaction #: 41 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:48:19 Selec. Rec. #: 7 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT932-7277 _AN-DEYCHACEFT 9305 25 FT 25 MAY 93 / Insurers told to cut storm cover By RICHARD LAPPER INSURERS could come un der pressure to reduce cover for storm damage to homes, a conference on glob al warming and catastrophic weather losses was told yesterday. Mr Jeremy Hin dle, a senior underwriter with Swiss Re, the world's second largest reinsura nce company, said that the excess (the amount a policyholder pays of any cla im) on household buildings policies 'must be raised to Pounds 250 immediatel y, with a move to Pounds 1,000 being the target.' Swiss Re is one of a numbe r of reinsurers providing cover to UK insurers. Insurers have introduced hig her excesses for subsidence but for most claims householders pay a compulsor y excess of about Pounds 50. Some insurers offer lower premiums for customer s who choose to take a higher excess. Household insurance premiums have rise n in recent years, partly reflecting steep rises in rates charged by reinsur ers to insurance companies. Mr Hindle told the conference, organised by envi ronmental pressure group Greenpeace, that changes in terms and conditions of buildings policies were needed to reduce exposure to storm damage. Reinsure rs have put the UK in the list of five international regions most exposed to catastrophic weather or earthquake risk, after two of the costliest storms on record in the past six years. But he said reinsurers could also press for further changes. Insurers could restrict coverage to a percentage of the su m insured in some areas or follow the example of insurers in the Virgin Isla nds - badly hit by hurricane Hugo in 1989 - where excesses are a percentage of the property's value. AA Insurance, one of the UK's biggest brokers, crit icised the move to raise excesses. Mr Noel Privett, AA head of information, said such it would represent 'a huge overreaction. A more creative solution is called for'. Countries:- GBZ United Kingdom, EC. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance . Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times London Page 12 ============= Transaction # 42 ============================================== Transaction #: 42 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:48:46 Selec. Rec. #: 9 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT933-6576 _AN-DH0CBAAAFT 9308 27 FT 27 AUG 93 / World News in Brief: Tokyo under typho on threat Storm warnings were issued in central Japan abo ut Typhoon Vernon, which weather experts said could hit land near Tokyo toda y with winds of 79mph. Countries:- JPZ Japan, Asia. Industries:- P9229 Public Order and Safety, NEC. Types:- RES Natural resources. The Financial Time s London Page 1 ============= Transaction # 43 ============================================== Transaction #: 43 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:49:16 Selec. Rec. #: 9 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT933-6576 _AN-DH0CBAAAFT 9308 27 FT 27 AUG 93 / World News in Brief: Tokyo under typho on threat Storm warnings were issued in central Japan abo ut Typhoon Vernon, which weather experts said could hit land near Tokyo toda y with winds of 79mph. Countries:- JPZ Japan, Asia. Industries:- P9229 Public Order and Safety, NEC. Types:- RES Natural resources. The Financial Time s London Page 1 ============= Transaction # 44 ============================================== Transaction #: 44 Transaction Code: 8 (Mixed Bool./Dir. Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:49:40 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 1 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 7 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {tropical storms storm hurricanes typhoons damage}) not (top ic {vernon})" ============= Transaction # 45 ============================================== Transaction #: 45 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:49:43 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 11339 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 46 ============================================== Transaction #: 46 Transaction Code: 8 (Mixed Bool./Dir. Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:49:55 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 1 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 2 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {vernon}) not (topic {vernon})" ============= Transaction # 47 ============================================== Transaction #: 47 Transaction Code: 37 (General (non-Tcl) Error) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:49:56 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: {ERR {Status 1} {Hits 0} {Received 0} {Set Default}} {No matching records fo und} ============= Transaction # 48 ============================================== Transaction #: 48 Transaction Code: 8 (Mixed Bool./Dir. Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:50:31 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 1 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 5 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {storm hurricanes typhoons damage}) not (topic {vernon})" ============= Transaction # 49 ============================================== Transaction #: 49 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:50:34 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 10963 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 50 ============================================== Transaction #: 50 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:50:38 Selec. Rec. #: 1 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-12299 _AN-EKBD9AC3FT 941 102 FT 02 NOV 94 / Business and the Environment: Insurer s in a storm By NANCY DUNNE Fifteen catastrophic hurricanes, floods and storms cost worldwide insurers more tha n Dollars 80bn (Pounds 50bn) since a period of weather extremes set in five years ago, according to an article in the latest World Watch Institute's jou rnal. In 1992, Hurricane Andrew struck Florida and set a new record for dama ges at Dollars 25bn. The Mississippi floods in 1993 cost Dollars 12bn. Europ e was hit by four severe windstorms in 1990 which accumulated damages of Dol lars 10bn. Japan was struck in 1991 by Typhoon Mireille with nearly Dollars 5bn in damages. As the damages mount, insurers have begun to take seriously the global warming theory advanced by many scientists. The fear is that the warming, spurred by 'greenhouse gases', produced by fossil fuels, could seri ously disrupt the world's atmospheric and oceanic systems. Lack of agreement in the scientific community has made the insurers wary. But their interest is being applauded by environmentalists who see the insurers as a potential counterweight to the power of the oil and coal interests in the global warmi ng debate. Christopher Flavin, author of the World Watch article, is urging the insurers to enter the struggle over climate policy. 'Few industries are capable of doing battle with the likes of the fossil fuel lobby. But the ins urance industry is,' he says. 'On a worldwide basis the two are of roughly c omparable size and potential political clout.' The insurance industry could, for example, push government to tighten energy efficiency rules for new bui ldings. It could actively lobby for a stronger global climate pact. It could also use its investment capacity. 'If they (companies) were to dump some of their stocks in oil and coal companies or actively invest some of their fun ds in new, less carbon-intensive energy technologies (forming a sort of clim ate venture fund), insurance companies could spur the development of a less threatening energy system,' says Flavin. Unless the industry begins to use i ts clout in the struggle over climate policy, its future 'is likely to be st ormy indeed', said Flavin. Countries:- XAZ World. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance. P951 Environmental Quality. Types:- CMMT Comment & Analysis. The Financial Times London Page 18 ============= Transaction # 51 ============================================== Transaction #: 51 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:50:50 Selec. Rec. #: 2 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-7520 _AN-DBXCKACQFT 9302 24 FT 24 FEB 93 / Business and the Environment: Weather wise - Typhoons, hurricanes and the threat of global warming are pushing up insurance rates By RICHARD LAPPER and BRONWEN MADDOX 'WE GET zapped every five minutes,' says Richard Keeling, underwriter with Lloyd's syndicate 362, reviewing the impact of recent hurri canes, gales and typhoons on the London insurance market. Recent storms, eac h more damaging than the last, culminated in last year's hurricane Andrew, w hich devastated parts of Louisiana and Florida and caused losses estimated t o be at least Dollars 16bn and perhaps as much as Dollars 20bn (Pounds 14bn) , the United States's biggest-ever insured loss. That has triggered tough ba rgaining in the London insurance market and one of the hardest 'renewal' sea sons, as reinsurers seek to impose big rate increases. Most significantly, i n a move that could lead to higher insurance rates for many years, insurers are also beginning to ask whether recent storms are a sign of global warming or other long-term shifts in weather patterns. The question has led to an u nlikely convergence with environmental pressure groups such as Greenpeace, w hich last month published a long report welcoming insurers' alertness to the risk. In the recent round of negotiations, brokers buying cover for US clie nts - who have avoided heavy increases in recent years - have found the goin g toughest. However, across the board, direct insurers are now paying more f or their reinsurance. Keeling says that since October 1987, reinsurance rate s have increased by 650 per cent for European insurers, 450 per cent for US buyers and by 1,000 per cent for Japanese companies. The increases partly re flect reinsurers' efforts to restore profitability after heavy losses from w eather and from other disasters such as the 1988 Piper Alpha oil rig explosi on and the Exxon Valdez oil spill the following year. Both Swiss Re and Muni ch Re, the world's two biggest reinsurers, have seen profits dented and have been forced to draw deep into their reserves to meet claims, especially fro m the European storms of 1990. Many smaller reinsurers have withdrawn from t he market. More than a third of Lloyd's Names and nearly half the syndicates have left the market since 1989. As competition for business has dwindled, bigger players have found it easier to force through rate increases. Underwr iters are also now beginning to take a deeper look at the risk of storm dama ge. They recognise that denser population in potentially exposed regions, su ch as the south-eastern coast of the US, is partly responsible for the rise in losses. 'Windstorm' cover has also become a more common element of househ olders' policies over the last two decades in most countries. And increasing ly many are questioning whether the recent increases in land and sea tempera tures are leading to greater atmospheric instability and more frequent and i ntense winds. Scientists have warned for several years that gases such as ca rbon dioxide, emitted from burning fossil fuels, could cause global warming. The United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, set up to in vestigate the phenomenon, has suggested the average increase could be somewh ere between 1.5'C and 3.5'C over the next 100 years. However, scientists hav e emphasised there is still uncertainty about the processes involved - the m odels find it hard to take account of clouds, which could slow down warming. They also say it is impossible to conclude from recent storms and warm summ ers that climate change is already happening. Despite scientific uncertainty , insurers feel they need to protect themselves. Walter Kielholz, general ma nager of Swiss Re, one of the first insurance companies to question whether global warming could be responsible for worsening weather, agrees that 'the statistical data is too short to conclusively prove that there is a trend'. But he adds: 'It might just be a hiccup but we can't afford to wait for the long-term before taking action.' Research commissioned by Keeling and severa l other Lloyd's underwriters by the University of East Anglia's climatology department also concludes: 'The possibility that the trend (of more frequent gales in north-western Europe) is related to global warming cannot be rejec ted.' Insurers should assume that 'gale frequencies will remain at the level of the 1980s' and could rise further, the report says. In Greenpeace's rece nt study, the pressure group called for insurers to join the lobby for limit s on the emission of 'greenhouse gases'. Keeling acknowledges: 'We have to d o something constructive but the insurance industry will never be a lobby. W e are too diffused.' Instead, as well as increasing rates insurers have begu n to toughen the terms of storm insurance. Kielholz says that since 1990 Swi ss Re has begun to isolate the risk of 'windstorm' from other exposures it u nderwrites. The group now likes to cover windstorm through an excess of loss reinsurance contract (in which the reinsurer covers a tranche of risk up to a pre-set limit) rather than by covering it alongside other risks as part o f a proportional reinsurance deal (in which the reinsurer accepts an agreed percentage of exposure). 'Reinsurers have become more and more reluctant to include windstorm in proportional property treaties,' says Kielholz. Reinsur ers are also urging direct insurers to make policyholders pay the first port ion of any loss themselves, as an incentive to protect their property agains t storms. Householders would then be more likely to carry out essential main tenance and commercial customers to follow building codes more strictly, the y argue. During Hurricane Andrew many new buildings, especially those with s teel frames and metal casings, proved to be particularly vulnerable to wind damage, according to Swiss Re. Higher rates and tougher terms are the insura nce industry's perhaps unsurprising response to recent storms and the potent ial threat of global warming. The environmental movement has shown itself re luctant to acknowledge scientific doubts about climate change, while climato logists - who might stress that uncertainty - have few reasons to get involv ed in debates on insurance charges. Customers may have to hope the new highe r rates help preserve some of the financially weaker groups, and so preserve competition in the industry. --------------------------------------------- -------------------- THE COST OF RECENT STORMS --------- -------------------------------------------------------- Aug 1992 US Cyclone Iniki Dollars 1.4bn Aug 1992 US Hurricane Andrew Dollars 20.0bn Sep 1991 Japan Typhoon Mi reille Dollars 4.8bn Jul 1990 US Colorado storms Do llars 1.0bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Wibke Dollars 1.3b n Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Vivian Dollars 3.2bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Herta Dollars 1.3bn Jan 1990 NW Europ e Windstorm Daria Dollars 4.6bn Sep 1989 US Hurricane Hugo Dollars 5.8bn Oct 1987 NW Europe Un-named wi ndstorm Dollars 2.5bn ---------------------------------------------------- ------------- Source: Greenpeace ------------------------------------------ ----------------------- Countries:- GBZ United Kingd om, EC. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty I nsurance. P6411 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service. Types :- RES Natural resources. COSTS Costs & Prices. MKTS Ma rket data. The Financial Times London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 52 ============================================== Transaction #: 52 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:51:07 Selec. Rec. #: 6 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-6110 _AN-CH0BVADPFT 9208 26 FT 26 AUG 92 / Hurricane damage put at Dollars 20bn a s 2m people told to leave homes By MARTIN DICKSON an d NORMA COHEN NEW YORK, LONDON DA MAGE CAUSED by Hurricane Andrew could rise to Dollars 20bn, it was estimated yesterday, as one of the costliest US storms this century threatened a furt her devastating landfall near the city of New Orleans. Government officials in Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas yesterday advised or ordered more than 2 m people to evacuate coastal areas. The hurricane tore through southern Flor ida early on Monday morning, causing billions of dollars of property damage and at least 12 deaths, and yesterday was moving north-west across the Gulf of Mexico with winds of about 140 miles an hour. At least three people died on Sunday when Hurricane Andrew crossed the Bahamas. Ms Kate Hale, director of emergency services in Florida's Dade County, which bore the brunt of the storm, estimated that Andrew had already caused Dollars 15bn to Dollars 20bn (Pounds 7.5bn-Pounds 10bn) of damage. However, insurance industry analysts cautioned that it was too early to assess the costs accurately. The US indus try's Property Claims Service, the official compiler of disaster losses, had yet to compile a preliminary tally of the Florida bill. A hurricane warning was in effect yesterday along 470 miles of Gulf coast from Pascagoula, Miss issippi, to Galvestone, Texas. Several forecasting agencies suggested the li keliest landfall was in central Louisiana, to the west of New Orleans, possi bly late last night or this morning. New Orleans, with a population of 1.6m, is particularly vulnerable because the city lies below sea level, has the M ississippi River running through its centre and a large lake immediately to the north. Much of America's oil refining industry is concentrated along coa stal Texas and Louisiana and several refineries were yesterday partially shu t down. These included British Petroleum's Belle Chasse plant in Louisiana. In Florida, Andrew caused greatest havoc in a largely suburban swathe some 1 0-15 miles south of Miami. The town of Homestead, near the centre of the sto rm, was largely flattened, including a local air force base. Miami's city ce ntre escaped with relatively light damage. More than 24 hours after the hurr icane, some 825,000 households and businesses were still without power. The brunt of insurance claims from the Florida storm will fall on the US industr y, and companies with a heavy local exposure include the State Farm Group an d the Allstate Insurance unit of Sears Roebuck. These are also the leading p roperty/casualty and home insurance groups in Louisiana, together with Ameri can International Group. A spokesman for State Farm Insurance said he believ ed the company had roughly 20 per cent of the Florida market. The mutually-o wned company has no reinsurance. Its size has made obtaining reinsurance cov er difficult and its reserves, at about Dollars 24bn, have made it unnecessa ry. According to Balcombe Group, a UK-based claims adjustment firm, other in surers with large exposure in the hurricane-hit area are Hartford Insurance, Aetna and Travellers. Travellers said it had flown 50 claims adjusters in t o Florida late on Monday and was assessing losses. About 12 per cent of Trav ellers' home insurance premium income came from Florida last year, and 4.6 p er cent of its commercial insurance premiums. The last serious US hurricane, Hugo, which struck South Carolina in 1989, cost the industry Dollars 4.2bn from insured losses, though estimates of the total damage caused ranged betw een Dollars 6bn and Dollars 10bn. The Financial Times

London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 53 ============================================== Transaction #: 53 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:51:18 Selec. Rec. #: 7 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-17187 _AN-EJJD1ACJFT 941 010 FT 10 OCT 94 / Business Travel (Update): Typhoon hit s Taiwan Typhoon Seth, with winds of 107mph, struck Taiwa n yesterday, leaving one person dead. Four domestic airports in eastern Taiw an were closed but international airports stayed open. A highway in eastern Taiwan was closed following landslides. Officials were considering whether t o cancel today's National Day celebrations. Seth is the sixth typhoon to hit Taiwan since early July. Storms have killed 30 people and caused extensive damage. Countries:- TWZ Taiwan, Asia. Ind ustries:- P9511 Air, Water, and Solid Waste Management. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 54 ============================================== Transaction #: 54 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:51:32 Selec. Rec. #: 7 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-17187 _AN-EJJD1ACJFT 941 010 FT 10 OCT 94 / Business Travel (Update): Typhoon hit s Taiwan Typhoon Seth, with winds of 107mph, struck Taiwa n yesterday, leaving one person dead. Four domestic airports in eastern Taiw an were closed but international airports stayed open. A highway in eastern Taiwan was closed following landslides. Officials were considering whether t o cancel today's National Day celebrations. Seth is the sixth typhoon to hit Taiwan since early July. Storms have killed 30 people and caused extensive damage. Countries:- TWZ Taiwan, Asia. Ind ustries:- P9511 Air, Water, and Solid Waste Management. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 55 ============================================== Transaction #: 55 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:51:33 Selec. Rec. #: 7 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-17187 _AN-EJJD1ACJFT 941 010 FT 10 OCT 94 / Business Travel (Update): Typhoon hit s Taiwan Typhoon Seth, with winds of 107mph, struck Taiwa n yesterday, leaving one person dead. Four domestic airports in eastern Taiw an were closed but international airports stayed open. A highway in eastern Taiwan was closed following landslides. Officials were considering whether t o cancel today's National Day celebrations. Seth is the sixth typhoon to hit Taiwan since early July. Storms have killed 30 people and caused extensive damage. Countries:- TWZ Taiwan, Asia. Ind ustries:- P9511 Air, Water, and Solid Waste Management. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 56 ============================================== Transaction #: 56 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:51:46 Selec. Rec. #: 5 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-3325 _AN-DCSB4AHPFT 9303 16 FT 16 MAR 93 / Winter storms kill over 100 in eastern US By NIKKI TAIT and LAURIE MORSE NEW YORK, CHICAGO BUSINESSES, commuters and home-o wners along the eastern US seaboard struggled to return to normality yesterd ay after a winter storm left a trail of devastation in its wake and cost up to 115 lives. In Florida, hard-hit by Hurricane Andrew last August, the stor m system spawned about 50 tornadoes; in the New Jersey, Connecticut and New York state region around 300,000 homes were left without electricity and up to 17ins of snow were recorded. In New York hundreds of motorists spent yest erday morning digging parked cars out from mountainous snow-drifts, many cre ated by the weekend's snow-ploughs. East Coast airports were crowded with pe ople trying to get away after being stranded through the weekend, when the n ation's air transport system suffered one of its worst-ever disruptions. Maj or motorways were reopening yesterday, but many smaller roads remained block ed, with some travellers still snowbound. Yesterday afternoon, A M Best, the US rating agency which specialises in the insurance sector, estimated that the storm produced about Dollars 800m in insured damages. However, some comp anies said it was too soon to attach a precise number to claims. 'We just do n't know at this stage,' said Allstate, the large Illinois-based insurer. Th e American Insurance Association, whose property-claims division provides in dustry-wide estimates of catastrophe losses, also said it was only just begi nning to receive reports from member firms. A M Best suggested the bulk of d amage would come in the southeastern states and central Florida. It estimate d that the storm which hit the Northeast in December was probably more damag ing to that region. The December storm caused more widespread flooding and c oastal damage, and resulted in around Dollars 650m of insured claims. The la test disaster comes after a run of heavy catastrophe losses for big US prope rty-casualty insurers and will exasperate the financial pressures on the ind ustry. The bomb blast under New York's World Trade Centre complex this month is estimated to have caused over Dollars 1bn in insured damages, while Hurr icane Andrew produced a record-breaking Dollars 16bn-worth of claims. In Flo rida, high winds battered grapefruit and orange crops, and frosts on Sunday and yesterday caused scattered damage to the fragile flowers that form next year's harvest, according to Mr Bobby McKown, of Florida Citrus Mutual, the state's largest growers' organisation. The damage was 'minor' in comparison to storms and freezes that devastated Florida citrus in the 1980s, he said. Storms lift sugar price, Commodities Page Countries:- USZ United States of America. Industries:- P6331 Fire , Marine, and Casualty Insurance. P99 Nonclassifiable Establishments. Types:- RES Natural resources. INS Insurance. The Financial Times London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 57 ============================================== Transaction #: 57 Transaction Code: 6 (Direct Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:52:21 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 6 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {storm hurricanes typhoons damage insurers list})" ============= Transaction # 58 ============================================== Transaction #: 58 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:52:27 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 33892 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 59 ============================================== Transaction #: 59 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:52:33 Selec. Rec. #: 1 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-12299 _AN-EKBD9AC3FT 941 102 FT 02 NOV 94 / Business and the Environment: Insurer s in a storm By NANCY DUNNE Fifteen catastrophic hurricanes, floods and storms cost worldwide insurers more tha n Dollars 80bn (Pounds 50bn) since a period of weather extremes set in five years ago, according to an article in the latest World Watch Institute's jou rnal. In 1992, Hurricane Andrew struck Florida and set a new record for dama ges at Dollars 25bn. The Mississippi floods in 1993 cost Dollars 12bn. Europ e was hit by four severe windstorms in 1990 which accumulated damages of Dol lars 10bn. Japan was struck in 1991 by Typhoon Mireille with nearly Dollars 5bn in damages. As the damages mount, insurers have begun to take seriously the global warming theory advanced by many scientists. The fear is that the warming, spurred by 'greenhouse gases', produced by fossil fuels, could seri ously disrupt the world's atmospheric and oceanic systems. Lack of agreement in the scientific community has made the insurers wary. But their interest is being applauded by environmentalists who see the insurers as a potential counterweight to the power of the oil and coal interests in the global warmi ng debate. Christopher Flavin, author of the World Watch article, is urging the insurers to enter the struggle over climate policy. 'Few industries are capable of doing battle with the likes of the fossil fuel lobby. But the ins urance industry is,' he says. 'On a worldwide basis the two are of roughly c omparable size and potential political clout.' The insurance industry could, for example, push government to tighten energy efficiency rules for new bui ldings. It could actively lobby for a stronger global climate pact. It could also use its investment capacity. 'If they (companies) were to dump some of their stocks in oil and coal companies or actively invest some of their fun ds in new, less carbon-intensive energy technologies (forming a sort of clim ate venture fund), insurance companies could spur the development of a less threatening energy system,' says Flavin. Unless the industry begins to use i ts clout in the struggle over climate policy, its future 'is likely to be st ormy indeed', said Flavin. Countries:- XAZ World. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance. P951 Environmental Quality. Types:- CMMT Comment & Analysis. The Financial Times London Page 18 ============= Transaction # 60 ============================================== Transaction #: 60 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:52:50 Selec. Rec. #: 2 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT932-7277 _AN-DEYCHACEFT 9305 25 FT 25 MAY 93 / Insurers told to cut storm cover By RICHARD LAPPER INSURERS could come un der pressure to reduce cover for storm damage to homes, a conference on glob al warming and catastrophic weather losses was told yesterday. Mr Jeremy Hin dle, a senior underwriter with Swiss Re, the world's second largest reinsura nce company, said that the excess (the amount a policyholder pays of any cla im) on household buildings policies 'must be raised to Pounds 250 immediatel y, with a move to Pounds 1,000 being the target.' Swiss Re is one of a numbe r of reinsurers providing cover to UK insurers. Insurers have introduced hig her excesses for subsidence but for most claims householders pay a compulsor y excess of about Pounds 50. Some insurers offer lower premiums for customer s who choose to take a higher excess. Household insurance premiums have rise n in recent years, partly reflecting steep rises in rates charged by reinsur ers to insurance companies. Mr Hindle told the conference, organised by envi ronmental pressure group Greenpeace, that changes in terms and conditions of buildings policies were needed to reduce exposure to storm damage. Reinsure rs have put the UK in the list of five international regions most exposed to catastrophic weather or earthquake risk, after two of the costliest storms on record in the past six years. But he said reinsurers could also press for further changes. Insurers could restrict coverage to a percentage of the su m insured in some areas or follow the example of insurers in the Virgin Isla nds - badly hit by hurricane Hugo in 1989 - where excesses are a percentage of the property's value. AA Insurance, one of the UK's biggest brokers, crit icised the move to raise excesses. Mr Noel Privett, AA head of information, said such it would represent 'a huge overreaction. A more creative solution is called for'. Countries:- GBZ United Kingdom, EC. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance . Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times London Page 12 ============= Transaction # 61 ============================================== Transaction #: 61 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:52:54 Selec. Rec. #: 3 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-6038 _AN-CH1BVABKFT 9208 27 FT 27 AUG 92 / Hurricane batters southern US but lets insurers off lightly By MARTIN DICKSON and ROBERT P ESTON NEW YORK, LONDON HURRICANE Andrew, claimed to be the costliest natural disaster in US history, yesterda y smashed its way through the state of Louisiana, inflicting severe damage o n rural communities but narrowly missing the low-lying city of New Orleans. The storm, which brought havoc to southern Florida on Monday and then headed north-west across the Gulf of Mexico, had made landfall late on Tuesday nig ht some 60 miles south-west of the city in the agricultural Cajun country. A lthough the damage from the hurricane's landfall in Florida on Monday was mu ch greater than initially esti mated, insurers' losses there are likely to t otal less than Dollars 1bn, well below earlier expectations, a senior member of Lloyd's insurance market said yesterday. In Louisiana, the hurricane lan ded with wind speeds of about 120 miles per hour and caused severe damage in small coastal centres such as Morgan City, Franklin and New Iberia. Associa ted tornadoes devastated Laplace, 20 miles west of New Orleans. Then, howeve r, Andrew lost force as it moved north over land. By yesterday afternoon, it had been down-graded to tropical storm, in that its sustained windspeeds we re below 75 mph. Initial reports said at least one person had died, 75 been injured and thousands made homeless along the Louisiana coast, after 14 conf irmed deaths in Florida and three in the Bahamas. The storm caused little da mage to Louisiana's important oil-refining industry, although some plants ha d to halt production when electricity was cut. The Lloyd's member, in close contact with leading insurers in Florida, said that damage to insured proper ty was remarkably small. More than Dollars 15bn of damage may have been caus ed in all, but was mostly to uninsured property, he said. In north Miami, da mage is minimal. Worst affected is one hotel, whose basement was flooded. Mo st of the destruction occurred in a 10-mile band across Homestead, 25 miles to the south of Miami, where a typical house sells for Dollars 100,000 to Do llars 150,000. US insurers will face a bill in respect of such properties, b ut Lloyd's exposure there is minimal. Many destroyed power lines are thought to be uninsured, as are trees and shrubs uprooted across a wide area. Only one big hotel in that area has been badly damaged, a Holiday Inn. Across Flo rida, some 2m people remained without electric ity yesterday and health offi cials were warning the public to boil or chemically treat all water. Hurrica ne Hugo, which devastated much of South Carolina in 1989, cost the insurance industry some Dollars 4.2bn. Further uninsured losses may have raised the t otal to Dollars 6bn-Dollars 10bn. The Financial Times

London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 62 ============================================== Transaction #: 62 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:53:11 Selec. Rec. #: 4 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-4394 _AN-CIGBWADKFT 9209 07 FT 07 SEP 92 / Survey of Reinsurance (7): Storm warni ng for insurers / Examining the rising trend in catastrophe losses By SIMON REYNOLDS KLAUS CONRAD, a member of Munich Re's board of management, advises insurers: 'Beware of a catastrophe reinsurer who asks no questions . . . who does not ask to be paid a fair pri ce for his goods and services; they may turn out to be worthless.' This is s ound advice: many reinsurers who did not ask questions or a fair price have in recent years been hit by the rising trend in catastrophe losses. The comp act but intense Hurricane Andrew, the first big storm of the 1992 Atlantic h urricane season, is one more example of nature's destructive potential. In i ts recent review of 1991 catastrophe losses the large international reinsure r Swiss Re argues that 'the last five years have shown a loss burden above t he long-term trend, both in the natural catastrophe and major man-made loss sectors. If this development continues, the world insurance system will face a huge challenge.' A similar review of natural catastrophes from Munich Re, the world's largest reinsurer, 'confirms a continuation in 1991 of the tren d that has been observed for more than 30 years: natural disasters are becom ing more and more costly,' in terms of overall economic loss and insured los s. Since the mid-1980s insured damage from natural catastrophes have far out stripped significant man-made losses. Typhoon Mireille which swept Japan for two days in September 1991 caused insured damage of Dollars 5.2bn - the lar gest insured loss from a single storm. For the third year a wind storm produ ced a Dollars 4bn plus loss, following Hurricane Hugo in September 1989, and the storm Daria in western Europe in January 1990. Insured wind storm damag e throughout North America totalled more than Dollars 3bn in 1991, while a b ush fire in California in October 1991 caused an insured loss of Dollars 1.2 bn. Looking at man-made catastrophe losses the trend is similar: more losses costing more money. Swiss Re's survey argues that in totalling more than Do llars 3.2bn in 1991 'man-made insured damage is still clearly above the long -term average'. The biggest losses in this category were the sinking of the Sleipner A gas platform while still in Grandafjord off Stavanger, Norway (in sured loss Dollars 334.5m), and the fire during construction of the London U nderwriting Centre (Dollars 290m). The latter highlighted the increasing ris k of construction site losses developed countries. According to Munich Re, i nsurers' real claims burdens from natural disasters in the decade to 1991 we re eight times heavier than during the 1960s. Figures from Swiss Re, show th at total insured damage from natural disasters and large man-made losses tog ether bounced around between Dollars 2bn and Dollars 6bn (at 1991 prices) be tween 1970 and 1985. Since then the yearly totals have been sharply higher: reaching Dollars 14bn in 1889, Dollars 18bn in 1990, Dollars 15bn in 1991. T hese figures are small in comparison with the overall Dollars 1,200bn taken in premiums each year by insurers world-wide. However, the recent trend in f requency and value of catastrophe losses is of concern because of its uncert ainty. Is the trend going to be the norm for future years? And how far will the figures rise? Piper Alpha was an old platform (169 people died in the 19 88 disaster and the insured loss was Dollars 1.4bn) - the newer North Sea pl atforms are multi-billion dollar structures. Insurance market estimates of p ossible future natural catastrophe incidents make grim reading. A large eart hquake in Tokyo or San Francisco could lead to a Dollars 50-Dollars 100bn do llar loss. If a Hugo-intensity storm had landed farther north up the US east coast in New York, the loss could have been twice that actually suffered. A ccording to Andrew Dlugolecki, chief manager operations at General Accident, there are many factors driving these trends of rising cost and frequency. O ne significant factor may be that the weather trends of the 1950s, 1960s and 1970s were milder than the long-term trend, and recent storm developments a re a return towards that longer-term trend. Other factors raising catastroph e losses include: Increasing concentration of values: industries have tended to build increasingly expensive plant, of higher output, with greater produ ct inventory on site. Increasing business interruption (B/I): more businesse s are buying B/I insurance cover, and B/I insured losses are rising at a fas ter rate than property losses. Larger, higher output plant take longer to re build in the event of a disaster. New business practices: the development of just-in-time (jit) techniques is one facet of increasing dependencies betwe en suppliers and customers. In recognition of this more supplier/customer B/ I extensions to cover are being purchased. New construction techniques: fast track and unitary methods mean a higher percentage of high value finished f ixtures and fittings are on site during earlier stages of building construct ion, possibly a time of raised risk from fire. Increasing population density : cities are becoming larger and, on average, richer. If a natural disaster hits, losses are increased. Much of the loss from a large wind storm is acco unted for by many, relatively small claims from householders. New geographic al areas: both industry and populations are moving into increasingly risky a reas, especially coastal regions more susceptible to storms, storm surges, t sunamis (huge sea waves). Increasing insurance density: greater demand from customers has led to more insurance purchasing. It was easy to sell wind sto rm cover in Europe after the 1987 and 1990 storms. A corresponding push from insurers selling cheaply in a soft market added to the trend. Changes in cl imate: natural variation in climate alters the propensity for climatic event s. The jury is still out on global warming, but scientists argue that if the troposphere is warming, the earth's weather system will contain more energy leading to greater intensity of climatic events. What is to be done? Mr Con rad argues that 'private fortunes gathered over generations, were lost by Ll oyd's names, reinsurers mobilised their emergency reserves, retrocessionaire s started selling their nest eggs. (Premiums) apparently had been too low, o therwise one would not have lost in five years, what it had taken 50 to coll ect'. His solution is simple: a return to insurance basics; premiums rates c ommensurate with risk, appropriate levels of deductibles, proper calculation of probable and possible catastrophe scenarios, proper loss prevention, los s mitigation, and accumulation control. The Financial Times

London Page 30
============= Transaction # 63 ============================================== Transaction #: 63 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:53:45 Selec. Rec. #: 5 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-7520 _AN-DBXCKACQFT 9302 24 FT 24 FEB 93 / Business and the Environment: Weather wise - Typhoons, hurricanes and the threat of global warming are pushing up insurance rates By RICHARD LAPPER and BRONWEN MADDOX 'WE GET zapped every five minutes,' says Richard Keeling, underwriter with Lloyd's syndicate 362, reviewing the impact of recent hurri canes, gales and typhoons on the London insurance market. Recent storms, eac h more damaging than the last, culminated in last year's hurricane Andrew, w hich devastated parts of Louisiana and Florida and caused losses estimated t o be at least Dollars 16bn and perhaps as much as Dollars 20bn (Pounds 14bn) , the United States's biggest-ever insured loss. That has triggered tough ba rgaining in the London insurance market and one of the hardest 'renewal' sea sons, as reinsurers seek to impose big rate increases. Most significantly, i n a move that could lead to higher insurance rates for many years, insurers are also beginning to ask whether recent storms are a sign of global warming or other long-term shifts in weather patterns. The question has led to an u nlikely convergence with environmental pressure groups such as Greenpeace, w hich last month published a long report welcoming insurers' alertness to the risk. In the recent round of negotiations, brokers buying cover for US clie nts - who have avoided heavy increases in recent years - have found the goin g toughest. However, across the board, direct insurers are now paying more f or their reinsurance. Keeling says that since October 1987, reinsurance rate s have increased by 650 per cent for European insurers, 450 per cent for US buyers and by 1,000 per cent for Japanese companies. The increases partly re flect reinsurers' efforts to restore profitability after heavy losses from w eather and from other disasters such as the 1988 Piper Alpha oil rig explosi on and the Exxon Valdez oil spill the following year. Both Swiss Re and Muni ch Re, the world's two biggest reinsurers, have seen profits dented and have been forced to draw deep into their reserves to meet claims, especially fro m the European storms of 1990. Many smaller reinsurers have withdrawn from t he market. More than a third of Lloyd's Names and nearly half the syndicates have left the market since 1989. As competition for business has dwindled, bigger players have found it easier to force through rate increases. Underwr iters are also now beginning to take a deeper look at the risk of storm dama ge. They recognise that denser population in potentially exposed regions, su ch as the south-eastern coast of the US, is partly responsible for the rise in losses. 'Windstorm' cover has also become a more common element of househ olders' policies over the last two decades in most countries. And increasing ly many are questioning whether the recent increases in land and sea tempera tures are leading to greater atmospheric instability and more frequent and i ntense winds. Scientists have warned for several years that gases such as ca rbon dioxide, emitted from burning fossil fuels, could cause global warming. The United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, set up to in vestigate the phenomenon, has suggested the average increase could be somewh ere between 1.5'C and 3.5'C over the next 100 years. However, scientists hav e emphasised there is still uncertainty about the processes involved - the m odels find it hard to take account of clouds, which could slow down warming. They also say it is impossible to conclude from recent storms and warm summ ers that climate change is already happening. Despite scientific uncertainty , insurers feel they need to protect themselves. Walter Kielholz, general ma nager of Swiss Re, one of the first insurance companies to question whether global warming could be responsible for worsening weather, agrees that 'the statistical data is too short to conclusively prove that there is a trend'. But he adds: 'It might just be a hiccup but we can't afford to wait for the long-term before taking action.' Research commissioned by Keeling and severa l other Lloyd's underwriters by the University of East Anglia's climatology department also concludes: 'The possibility that the trend (of more frequent gales in north-western Europe) is related to global warming cannot be rejec ted.' Insurers should assume that 'gale frequencies will remain at the level of the 1980s' and could rise further, the report says. In Greenpeace's rece nt study, the pressure group called for insurers to join the lobby for limit s on the emission of 'greenhouse gases'. Keeling acknowledges: 'We have to d o something constructive but the insurance industry will never be a lobby. W e are too diffused.' Instead, as well as increasing rates insurers have begu n to toughen the terms of storm insurance. Kielholz says that since 1990 Swi ss Re has begun to isolate the risk of 'windstorm' from other exposures it u nderwrites. The group now likes to cover windstorm through an excess of loss reinsurance contract (in which the reinsurer covers a tranche of risk up to a pre-set limit) rather than by covering it alongside other risks as part o f a proportional reinsurance deal (in which the reinsurer accepts an agreed percentage of exposure). 'Reinsurers have become more and more reluctant to include windstorm in proportional property treaties,' says Kielholz. Reinsur ers are also urging direct insurers to make policyholders pay the first port ion of any loss themselves, as an incentive to protect their property agains t storms. Householders would then be more likely to carry out essential main tenance and commercial customers to follow building codes more strictly, the y argue. During Hurricane Andrew many new buildings, especially those with s teel frames and metal casings, proved to be particularly vulnerable to wind damage, according to Swiss Re. Higher rates and tougher terms are the insura nce industry's perhaps unsurprising response to recent storms and the potent ial threat of global warming. The environmental movement has shown itself re luctant to acknowledge scientific doubts about climate change, while climato logists - who might stress that uncertainty - have few reasons to get involv ed in debates on insurance charges. Customers may have to hope the new highe r rates help preserve some of the financially weaker groups, and so preserve competition in the industry. --------------------------------------------- -------------------- THE COST OF RECENT STORMS --------- -------------------------------------------------------- Aug 1992 US Cyclone Iniki Dollars 1.4bn Aug 1992 US Hurricane Andrew Dollars 20.0bn Sep 1991 Japan Typhoon Mi reille Dollars 4.8bn Jul 1990 US Colorado storms Do llars 1.0bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Wibke Dollars 1.3b n Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Vivian Dollars 3.2bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Herta Dollars 1.3bn Jan 1990 NW Europ e Windstorm Daria Dollars 4.6bn Sep 1989 US Hurricane Hugo Dollars 5.8bn Oct 1987 NW Europe Un-named wi ndstorm Dollars 2.5bn ---------------------------------------------------- ------------- Source: Greenpeace ------------------------------------------ ----------------------- Countries:- GBZ United Kingd om, EC. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty I nsurance. P6411 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service. Types :- RES Natural resources. COSTS Costs & Prices. MKTS Ma rket data. The Financial Times London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 64 ============================================== Transaction #: 64 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:54:29 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 33892 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 65 ============================================== Transaction #: 65 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:54:34 Selec. Rec. #: 12 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-9529 _AN-EKOENAFFFT 9411 15 FT 15 NOV 94 / International Company News: A listing in the time of calamity - Hanover Re has a lot riding on its partial float < /HEADLINE> By ANDREW FISHER The first stock mar ket listing of a German reinsurance company for 33 years -that of Hanover R e, to raise DM530m (Dollars 353m) - comes at a time of more frequent natural disasters, higher premiums and a more selective approach in the industry to new business. The issue is also one of the first with shares in nominal DM5 units instead of the usual DM50. These are now allowed under regulations ai med at encouraging private investors to buy more shares. Next to Switzerland , shares in Germany are the most expensive in Europe. With its sister compan y, Eisen und Stahl Ruckversicherung, Hanover Re is Germany's second largest and the world's fifth largest reinsurance concern. The new issue, in which 2 5 per cent of the capital is being sold, is the seventh largest in Germany s ince 1983. Hanover Re and the issuing consortium, headed by Commerzbank, hop e to convince German and foreign investors that the company's policy of forg oing growth in premium income in high-risk areas and concentrating on profit ability will continue to pay off. In deference to some analysts who thought the issue price might be too high for many investors, especially foreigners, the voting shares are offered at DM75 each for subscription from November 1 8 to 22. Some initial estimates were nearer DM90. Mr Erich Coenen, a Commerz bank director, said yesterday the issue price was attractive, both 'opticall y' compared with the high price of other reinsurance groups - Munich Re stoo d at DM2,750 - and 'analytically': the price-earnings ratio of 15.8 based on expected 1995 earnings is well under the German sector average. With Eisen und Stahl, which is more domestically-oriented than Hanover Re, gross premiu m income last year was DM5.3bn, a rise of 30 per cent. The underwriting loss fell to DM122m from DM263m and net profits shot up by nearly 200 per cent t o DM125m. Group investments totalled DM10.3bn. Mr Michael Reischel, Hanover Re's chief executive, does not expect growth to be as spectacular this year or next. 'We have grown enormously over the past three years,' he said. But the group had resisted the temptation to expand liability levels - risks are simply too high in certain areas. 'So we expect lower growth over the next few years. We are cutting back where necessary,' says Mr Reischel. The messa ge is the same as that last week from Munich Re, the world's biggest reinsur ance concern. Because disasters such as earthquakes, floods and typhoons hav e become more frequent, premiums have escalated. 'Assets are more highly con centrated,' said Mr Reischel. 'Fifteen years ago, Hurricane Andrew in Florid a would have caused a lot less damage.' The hurricane was the largest disast er, in terms of insured damage, to have hit the industry. January's earthqua ke near Los Angeles was the second worst. As an example of risk areas where premiums have tended to rise steeply, Mr Reischel cites Japan where Typhoon Mireille caused heavy damage in 1991. 'The trend for natural disasters seems to be on the rise,' says Mr Reischel. More damage and more insurance payout s are definitely to be expected. Because the industry spreads its exposure i nternationally, this trend affects premiums in all sectors, not just those w here the risk is severest. 'Insurance customers, whether private or corporat e, have to pay more if they want cover,' says Mr Reischel. 'The reinsurance industry can't create money by magic.' In the five years to 1993, premiums p aid for worldwide catastrophe risks totalled nearly Dollars 20bn, says Mr He rbert Haas, a director of Hanover Re. Damage payouts totalled just over Doll ars 18bn, but brokerage, interest and other costs pushed this up to Dollars 25bn, leaving the industry with an overall deficit. Thus, many reinsurers an d primary insurance companies have pulled out or been forced out of the rein surance business. Mr Reischel puts the figure at more than 100 since 1990. N ew reinsurance capacity is available from Bermuda, but Mr Reischel sees this as positive - 'since new investors are only looking for returns, they will hopefully prevent a rates war'. Because it was founded as recently as 1966, he says Hanover Re has been spared some of the worst calamities, such as cla ims on asbestos or pollution liability. It has also kept out of the over-cro wded London and Singapore reinsurance markets. However, it is raising its pr esence in Asia and Australia, where growth is high. The company has no acqui sitions in mind after buying NRG Victory Australia Life Reinsurance last yea r. Hanover Re will use its DM230m share of the issue proceeds to lift its 4 per cent stake in Eisen und Stahl, with which it does business on a group ba sis, to a 53.9 per cent majority holding. The remainder will go to its paren t, Haftpflichtverband der Deutschen Industrie (HDI), a mutually-owned insure r. Companies:- Hanover Reinsurance. Countr ies:- DEZ Germany, EC. Industries:- P6331 Fi re, Marine, and Casualty Insurance. Types:- CMMT Comme nt & Analysis. FIN Share issues. The Financial Times London Page 28 ============= Transaction # 66 ============================================== Transaction #: 66 Transaction Code: 8 (Mixed Bool./Dir. Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:55:28 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 1 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 5 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {storm hurricanes typhoons damage}) not (title {taiwan})" ============= Transaction # 67 ============================================== Transaction #: 67 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:55:31 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 10949 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 68 ============================================== Transaction #: 68 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:56:05 Selec. Rec. #: 2 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-7520 _AN-DBXCKACQFT 9302 24 FT 24 FEB 93 / Business and the Environment: Weather wise - Typhoons, hurricanes and the threat of global warming are pushing up insurance rates By RICHARD LAPPER and BRONWEN MADDOX 'WE GET zapped every five minutes,' says Richard Keeling, underwriter with Lloyd's syndicate 362, reviewing the impact of recent hurri canes, gales and typhoons on the London insurance market. Recent storms, eac h more damaging than the last, culminated in last year's hurricane Andrew, w hich devastated parts of Louisiana and Florida and caused losses estimated t o be at least Dollars 16bn and perhaps as much as Dollars 20bn (Pounds 14bn) , the United States's biggest-ever insured loss. That has triggered tough ba rgaining in the London insurance market and one of the hardest 'renewal' sea sons, as reinsurers seek to impose big rate increases. Most significantly, i n a move that could lead to higher insurance rates for many years, insurers are also beginning to ask whether recent storms are a sign of global warming or other long-term shifts in weather patterns. The question has led to an u nlikely convergence with environmental pressure groups such as Greenpeace, w hich last month published a long report welcoming insurers' alertness to the risk. In the recent round of negotiations, brokers buying cover for US clie nts - who have avoided heavy increases in recent years - have found the goin g toughest. However, across the board, direct insurers are now paying more f or their reinsurance. Keeling says that since October 1987, reinsurance rate s have increased by 650 per cent for European insurers, 450 per cent for US buyers and by 1,000 per cent for Japanese companies. The increases partly re flect reinsurers' efforts to restore profitability after heavy losses from w eather and from other disasters such as the 1988 Piper Alpha oil rig explosi on and the Exxon Valdez oil spill the following year. Both Swiss Re and Muni ch Re, the world's two biggest reinsurers, have seen profits dented and have been forced to draw deep into their reserves to meet claims, especially fro m the European storms of 1990. Many smaller reinsurers have withdrawn from t he market. More than a third of Lloyd's Names and nearly half the syndicates have left the market since 1989. As competition for business has dwindled, bigger players have found it easier to force through rate increases. Underwr iters are also now beginning to take a deeper look at the risk of storm dama ge. They recognise that denser population in potentially exposed regions, su ch as the south-eastern coast of the US, is partly responsible for the rise in losses. 'Windstorm' cover has also become a more common element of househ olders' policies over the last two decades in most countries. And increasing ly many are questioning whether the recent increases in land and sea tempera tures are leading to greater atmospheric instability and more frequent and i ntense winds. Scientists have warned for several years that gases such as ca rbon dioxide, emitted from burning fossil fuels, could cause global warming. The United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, set up to in vestigate the phenomenon, has suggested the average increase could be somewh ere between 1.5'C and 3.5'C over the next 100 years. However, scientists hav e emphasised there is still uncertainty about the processes involved - the m odels find it hard to take account of clouds, which could slow down warming. They also say it is impossible to conclude from recent storms and warm summ ers that climate change is already happening. Despite scientific uncertainty , insurers feel they need to protect themselves. Walter Kielholz, general ma nager of Swiss Re, one of the first insurance companies to question whether global warming could be responsible for worsening weather, agrees that 'the statistical data is too short to conclusively prove that there is a trend'. But he adds: 'It might just be a hiccup but we can't afford to wait for the long-term before taking action.' Research commissioned by Keeling and severa l other Lloyd's underwriters by the University of East Anglia's climatology department also concludes: 'The possibility that the trend (of more frequent gales in north-western Europe) is related to global warming cannot be rejec ted.' Insurers should assume that 'gale frequencies will remain at the level of the 1980s' and could rise further, the report says. In Greenpeace's rece nt study, the pressure group called for insurers to join the lobby for limit s on the emission of 'greenhouse gases'. Keeling acknowledges: 'We have to d o something constructive but the insurance industry will never be a lobby. W e are too diffused.' Instead, as well as increasing rates insurers have begu n to toughen the terms of storm insurance. Kielholz says that since 1990 Swi ss Re has begun to isolate the risk of 'windstorm' from other exposures it u nderwrites. The group now likes to cover windstorm through an excess of loss reinsurance contract (in which the reinsurer covers a tranche of risk up to a pre-set limit) rather than by covering it alongside other risks as part o f a proportional reinsurance deal (in which the reinsurer accepts an agreed percentage of exposure). 'Reinsurers have become more and more reluctant to include windstorm in proportional property treaties,' says Kielholz. Reinsur ers are also urging direct insurers to make policyholders pay the first port ion of any loss themselves, as an incentive to protect their property agains t storms. Householders would then be more likely to carry out essential main tenance and commercial customers to follow building codes more strictly, the y argue. During Hurricane Andrew many new buildings, especially those with s teel frames and metal casings, proved to be particularly vulnerable to wind damage, according to Swiss Re. Higher rates and tougher terms are the insura nce industry's perhaps unsurprising response to recent storms and the potent ial threat of global warming. The environmental movement has shown itself re luctant to acknowledge scientific doubts about climate change, while climato logists - who might stress that uncertainty - have few reasons to get involv ed in debates on insurance charges. Customers may have to hope the new highe r rates help preserve some of the financially weaker groups, and so preserve competition in the industry. --------------------------------------------- -------------------- THE COST OF RECENT STORMS --------- -------------------------------------------------------- Aug 1992 US Cyclone Iniki Dollars 1.4bn Aug 1992 US Hurricane Andrew Dollars 20.0bn Sep 1991 Japan Typhoon Mi reille Dollars 4.8bn Jul 1990 US Colorado storms Do llars 1.0bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Wibke Dollars 1.3b n Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Vivian Dollars 3.2bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Herta Dollars 1.3bn Jan 1990 NW Europ e Windstorm Daria Dollars 4.6bn Sep 1989 US Hurricane Hugo Dollars 5.8bn Oct 1987 NW Europe Un-named wi ndstorm Dollars 2.5bn ---------------------------------------------------- ------------- Source: Greenpeace ------------------------------------------ ----------------------- Countries:- GBZ United Kingd om, EC. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty I nsurance. P6411 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service. Types :- RES Natural resources. COSTS Costs & Prices. MKTS Ma rket data. The Financial Times London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 69 ============================================== Transaction #: 69 Transaction Code: 6 (Direct Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:56:23 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 4 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {storm hurricanes typhoons damage})" ============= Transaction # 70 ============================================== Transaction #: 70 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:56:26 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 10981 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 71 ============================================== Transaction #: 71 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:56:29 Selec. Rec. #: 1 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-12299 _AN-EKBD9AC3FT 941 102 FT 02 NOV 94 / Business and the Environment: Insurer s in a storm By NANCY DUNNE Fifteen catastrophic hurricanes, floods and storms cost worldwide insurers more tha n Dollars 80bn (Pounds 50bn) since a period of weather extremes set in five years ago, according to an article in the latest World Watch Institute's jou rnal. In 1992, Hurricane Andrew struck Florida and set a new record for dama ges at Dollars 25bn. The Mississippi floods in 1993 cost Dollars 12bn. Europ e was hit by four severe windstorms in 1990 which accumulated damages of Dol lars 10bn. Japan was struck in 1991 by Typhoon Mireille with nearly Dollars 5bn in damages. As the damages mount, insurers have begun to take seriously the global warming theory advanced by many scientists. The fear is that the warming, spurred by 'greenhouse gases', produced by fossil fuels, could seri ously disrupt the world's atmospheric and oceanic systems. Lack of agreement in the scientific community has made the insurers wary. But their interest is being applauded by environmentalists who see the insurers as a potential counterweight to the power of the oil and coal interests in the global warmi ng debate. Christopher Flavin, author of the World Watch article, is urging the insurers to enter the struggle over climate policy. 'Few industries are capable of doing battle with the likes of the fossil fuel lobby. But the ins urance industry is,' he says. 'On a worldwide basis the two are of roughly c omparable size and potential political clout.' The insurance industry could, for example, push government to tighten energy efficiency rules for new bui ldings. It could actively lobby for a stronger global climate pact. It could also use its investment capacity. 'If they (companies) were to dump some of their stocks in oil and coal companies or actively invest some of their fun ds in new, less carbon-intensive energy technologies (forming a sort of clim ate venture fund), insurance companies could spur the development of a less threatening energy system,' says Flavin. Unless the industry begins to use i ts clout in the struggle over climate policy, its future 'is likely to be st ormy indeed', said Flavin. Countries:- XAZ World. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance. P951 Environmental Quality. Types:- CMMT Comment & Analysis. The Financial Times London Page 18 ============= Transaction # 72 ============================================== Transaction #: 72 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:56:33 Selec. Rec. #: 2 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-7520 _AN-DBXCKACQFT 9302 24 FT 24 FEB 93 / Business and the Environment: Weather wise - Typhoons, hurricanes and the threat of global warming are pushing up insurance rates By RICHARD LAPPER and BRONWEN MADDOX 'WE GET zapped every five minutes,' says Richard Keeling, underwriter with Lloyd's syndicate 362, reviewing the impact of recent hurri canes, gales and typhoons on the London insurance market. Recent storms, eac h more damaging than the last, culminated in last year's hurricane Andrew, w hich devastated parts of Louisiana and Florida and caused losses estimated t o be at least Dollars 16bn and perhaps as much as Dollars 20bn (Pounds 14bn) , the United States's biggest-ever insured loss. That has triggered tough ba rgaining in the London insurance market and one of the hardest 'renewal' sea sons, as reinsurers seek to impose big rate increases. Most significantly, i n a move that could lead to higher insurance rates for many years, insurers are also beginning to ask whether recent storms are a sign of global warming or other long-term shifts in weather patterns. The question has led to an u nlikely convergence with environmental pressure groups such as Greenpeace, w hich last month published a long report welcoming insurers' alertness to the risk. In the recent round of negotiations, brokers buying cover for US clie nts - who have avoided heavy increases in recent years - have found the goin g toughest. However, across the board, direct insurers are now paying more f or their reinsurance. Keeling says that since October 1987, reinsurance rate s have increased by 650 per cent for European insurers, 450 per cent for US buyers and by 1,000 per cent for Japanese companies. The increases partly re flect reinsurers' efforts to restore profitability after heavy losses from w eather and from other disasters such as the 1988 Piper Alpha oil rig explosi on and the Exxon Valdez oil spill the following year. Both Swiss Re and Muni ch Re, the world's two biggest reinsurers, have seen profits dented and have been forced to draw deep into their reserves to meet claims, especially fro m the European storms of 1990. Many smaller reinsurers have withdrawn from t he market. More than a third of Lloyd's Names and nearly half the syndicates have left the market since 1989. As competition for business has dwindled, bigger players have found it easier to force through rate increases. Underwr iters are also now beginning to take a deeper look at the risk of storm dama ge. They recognise that denser population in potentially exposed regions, su ch as the south-eastern coast of the US, is partly responsible for the rise in losses. 'Windstorm' cover has also become a more common element of househ olders' policies over the last two decades in most countries. And increasing ly many are questioning whether the recent increases in land and sea tempera tures are leading to greater atmospheric instability and more frequent and i ntense winds. Scientists have warned for several years that gases such as ca rbon dioxide, emitted from burning fossil fuels, could cause global warming. The United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, set up to in vestigate the phenomenon, has suggested the average increase could be somewh ere between 1.5'C and 3.5'C over the next 100 years. However, scientists hav e emphasised there is still uncertainty about the processes involved - the m odels find it hard to take account of clouds, which could slow down warming. They also say it is impossible to conclude from recent storms and warm summ ers that climate change is already happening. Despite scientific uncertainty , insurers feel they need to protect themselves. Walter Kielholz, general ma nager of Swiss Re, one of the first insurance companies to question whether global warming could be responsible for worsening weather, agrees that 'the statistical data is too short to conclusively prove that there is a trend'. But he adds: 'It might just be a hiccup but we can't afford to wait for the long-term before taking action.' Research commissioned by Keeling and severa l other Lloyd's underwriters by the University of East Anglia's climatology department also concludes: 'The possibility that the trend (of more frequent gales in north-western Europe) is related to global warming cannot be rejec ted.' Insurers should assume that 'gale frequencies will remain at the level of the 1980s' and could rise further, the report says. In Greenpeace's rece nt study, the pressure group called for insurers to join the lobby for limit s on the emission of 'greenhouse gases'. Keeling acknowledges: 'We have to d o something constructive but the insurance industry will never be a lobby. W e are too diffused.' Instead, as well as increasing rates insurers have begu n to toughen the terms of storm insurance. Kielholz says that since 1990 Swi ss Re has begun to isolate the risk of 'windstorm' from other exposures it u nderwrites. The group now likes to cover windstorm through an excess of loss reinsurance contract (in which the reinsurer covers a tranche of risk up to a pre-set limit) rather than by covering it alongside other risks as part o f a proportional reinsurance deal (in which the reinsurer accepts an agreed percentage of exposure). 'Reinsurers have become more and more reluctant to include windstorm in proportional property treaties,' says Kielholz. Reinsur ers are also urging direct insurers to make policyholders pay the first port ion of any loss themselves, as an incentive to protect their property agains t storms. Householders would then be more likely to carry out essential main tenance and commercial customers to follow building codes more strictly, the y argue. During Hurricane Andrew many new buildings, especially those with s teel frames and metal casings, proved to be particularly vulnerable to wind damage, according to Swiss Re. Higher rates and tougher terms are the insura nce industry's perhaps unsurprising response to recent storms and the potent ial threat of global warming. The environmental movement has shown itself re luctant to acknowledge scientific doubts about climate change, while climato logists - who might stress that uncertainty - have few reasons to get involv ed in debates on insurance charges. Customers may have to hope the new highe r rates help preserve some of the financially weaker groups, and so preserve competition in the industry. --------------------------------------------- -------------------- THE COST OF RECENT STORMS --------- -------------------------------------------------------- Aug 1992 US Cyclone Iniki Dollars 1.4bn Aug 1992 US Hurricane Andrew Dollars 20.0bn Sep 1991 Japan Typhoon Mi reille Dollars 4.8bn Jul 1990 US Colorado storms Do llars 1.0bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Wibke Dollars 1.3b n Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Vivian Dollars 3.2bn Feb 1990 NW Europe Windstorm Herta Dollars 1.3bn Jan 1990 NW Europ e Windstorm Daria Dollars 4.6bn Sep 1989 US Hurricane Hugo Dollars 5.8bn Oct 1987 NW Europe Un-named wi ndstorm Dollars 2.5bn ---------------------------------------------------- ------------- Source: Greenpeace ------------------------------------------ ----------------------- Countries:- GBZ United Kingd om, EC. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty I nsurance. P6411 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service. Types :- RES Natural resources. COSTS Costs & Prices. MKTS Ma rket data. The Financial Times London Page 14 ============= Transaction # 73 ============================================== Transaction #: 73 Transaction Code: 12 (Record Relevance Feedback) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 15:56:38 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind Default:1,2 ============= Transaction # 74 ============================================== Transaction #: 74 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:57:40 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 210114 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 75 ============================================== Transaction #: 75 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:57:58 Selec. Rec. #: 4 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-4398 _AN-CIGBWADGFT 9209 07 FT 07 SEP 92 / Survey of Reinsurance (1): Sailing int o calmer seas - Reinsurers meet in Monte Carlo this week with the damage cau sed by Hurricane Andrew in America still fresh in their minds / A look at an industry that is struggling to recover after several years of turmoil By RICHARD LAPPER ORDER OF A sort appear s to be returning to the world's reinsurance markets after several years of turmoil. Between 1987 and 1991, fierce rate competition, over-capacity and a sharp increase in the number and cost of catastrophes combined to depress t he profits of larger companies and pushed many smaller players out of busine ss. At this week's annual rendezvous in Monte Carlo, therefore, reinsurers - their minds freshly concentrated by the damage wreaked by hurricane Andrew in the southern US last month - are certain to be spelling out the same mess age to reinsurance buyers: premium rates must be set at levels that take int o account the level of risk. That is likely to mean a further hardening in t he market when reinsurance buyers renew their annual policies towards the en d of this year. The bargaining will be simplest in the proportional market, in which giant companies such as Swiss Re and Germany's Munich Re reinsure a n agreed percentage of the potential liabilities in exchange for the same pr oportion of the original premium, less a commission payment. In the wake of poor results in 1990 and 1991, reinsurers may continue to press direct insur ers to increase rates and will seek reductions in the commission paid to ins urers to offset the costs of acquiring the original business. But it is in t he non-proportional market, where reinsurers obtain cover providing protecti on above a set level of claims, that the impact of the recent losses is bein g felt most strongly. After nearly a decade in which the brokers who buy rei nsurance on behalf of insurance companies have held the upper hand in settin g rates, terms and conditions, power is returning to the biggest and best ca pitalised reinsurance companies in Europe and North America, including Munic h Re, and Swiss Re. Mr Patrick Peugot, chief executive of SCOR, France's big gest reinsurer and now the seventh biggest reinsurer in the world, says that the main groups now have the oppor-tunity to enforce greater discipline in the market at a time when the demand for catastrophe reinsurance is increasi ng. 'We should be able to set rates that will provide cover for the medium a nd long-term not go up and down all the time. That is one of our aims - to s tabilise the market,' he says. One of the critical factors in this shift in power has been the impact of rate competition and catastrophe in London, the world's biggest reinsurance market. The effect has been particularly severe in an esoteric corner of the market known as London Market Excess or LMX, a reinsurance of reinsurance, or retrocession market, which has trad-itionall y provided high level catastrophe protection for the world's insurers and re insurers. During the 1980s several dozen syndicates and com-panies specialis ed in reinsuring each others' reinsurance exposures. By 1991 the market had been destroyed by a series of catastrophes, beginning with the UK storms of October 1987. Reinsurance companies such as Victory, now part of the Dutch g roup NRG, and the UK's Mercantile and General Re have also suffered heavily from these and other large losses sustained by the market between 1987 and 1 991. At Lloyd's of London the losses cut a swathe through the market, sendin g dozens of syndicates, and thousands of the individual Names whose wealth p rovides the market's capital base, spinning out of business. In 1989, when t he market was hit by hurricane Hugo, the Exxon Valdez oil spill, the San Fra ncisco earthquake and a Dollars 1bn plus explosion at a petroleum plant in T exas, 401 Lloyd's syndicates sustained record losses of Pounds 2.06bn, but n early half that amount was borne by fewer than a dozen syndicates, which spe cialised in retrocession business. Specialist retrocession syndicates manage d by Gooda Walker agency sustained losses of nearly Pounds 500m, for example . By 1992, the number of Lloyd's syndicates had fallen to 278. Between 1988 and 1992 nearly a third of Lloyd's Names resigned, reducing total membership of the market from over 30,000 to 22,300. As a result of the collapse of th e retrocession market, companies and syndicates specialising in non-proporti onal reinsurance have found much greater difficulty in offsetting their own exposures. Forced to retain more risk on their own books, reinsurers have ha d to examine their exposures more carefully, increasing rates to more realis tic levels and often making cover available at much higher levels than hithe rto. Under these pressures many companies have retreated from the market. Co mpanies such as Yasuda have withdrawn from London, and many larger players -such as Skandia, Sweden's biggest insurer - are seeking to reduce their inv olvement altogether. Mr Peugot says that the inability of many smaller compa nies to meet reinsurance claims has been an important factor in purging the market. 'Reinsurers, who - if I may say so - were playing reinsurance, didn' t like the play much and have with-drawn.' Mr Alan Bedanes, managing directo r of Chase Manhattan's insurance unit in London, says that the part of the r einsurance market dependent on retrocession capacity is of 'diminishing rele vance. In a way you could argue the retro market didn't represent true capit al.' Mr Ron Iles, chairman of Alexander Howden Reinsurance Brokers, the rein surance broking arm of US brokers Alexander & Alex-ander, believes that capa city in the non-proportional market could fall by at least 30 per cent this year, putting further upward pressure on rates. In the US market, where rate s have been softest, the impact of Hurricane Andrew will add to the upward p ressure. Other reinsurers think rises will continue in the 1992 renewal seas on. UK insurance companies which have drawn on their reinsurance contracts t o pay losses from storms in October 1987 and January 1990, paid increases of up to 400 per cent at the end of 1990 and further rises of 25 per cent at t he end of last year. According to Mr John Wetherell, underwriter of syndicat e 190, which specialises in non-proportional catastrophe cover at Lloyd's, f urther increases are on the cards this year. 'High level excess of loss cove rs will see significant increases.' The collapse of the London retrocession market, combined with the increased emphasis on security, is leading many sm aller insurers and reinsurers to buy financial reinsurance, which contains e lements of both finance and reinsurance. The financial reinsurer guarantees that a claim will be paid but assumes the risk that over time the sum of pre miums paid, plus investment income, will not equal the size of of the agreed payout (the interest rate risk) and/or that claims will emerge before the a greed payment date. Lloyd's syndicates with exposure to long tail liabilitie s - in which claims arise many years after the inception of policies - have been buying time and distance policies, which are similar to financial reins urance transactions, for some time. But over the past 12 months the use of f inancial reinsurance has become more common. This is because, the collapse o f the LMX market has exposed some of the difficulties faced by syndicates, w hich are effectively one year joint ventures, in building reserves to cover against the risk of disasters which might occur once in every ten years. Zur ich Insurance, the giant Swiss company, is the world's leading financial rei nsurer and its Centre Re subsidiary has already been involved in two of the biggest financial reinsurance deals with Lloyd's, reinsuring syndicates 190 and 417. Last year Zurich bought Pinnacle, the Bermuda-based financial reins urer, which has underwritten dozens of time and distance policies for Lloyd' s syndicates. In addition, Lloyd's syndicates have also been given clearance by the market's authorities to make more use of traditional reinsurance. Ob servers believe that net result is likely to further increase the power of t he larger European and North American reinsurers. The Financial Times London Page 27 ============= Transaction # 76 ============================================== Transaction #: 76 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:58:24 Selec. Rec. #: 5 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT933-5029 _AN-DIFB9ACJFT 9309 06 FT 06 SEP 93 / Survey of Reinsurance (5): Natural dis asters multiply - Global warming makes insurers sweat By VANNESSA YOUNG THE scope and frequency of claims due t o natural catastrophes has risen drastically over recent decades leading to unprecedented losses for insurers and reinsurers alike. The trend was highli ghted by Swiss Re in Sigma, its monthly review of reinsurance developments. Its review of catastrophe and other major losses in 1992 shows that natural disasters again dominated the year with a record 130 events resulting in an insured loss of Dollars 22.5bn, up 108 per cent on the previous year's figur e. Nor was the long-term comparison any healthier. Loss figures have remaine d high for the last four years while average losses rose alarmingly. From 19 70 to 1981 the insured loss per catastrophic event averaged Dollars 84m (199 2 prices). Between 1982 and 1991, however, the figure rose Dollars 132.8m. S wiss Re concluded that economic factors were responsible for only a small pr oportion of the losses: GNP increased by 85 per cent over the last 23 years, while insured losses increased by over 900 per cent. Others factors, includ ing the settlement and industrialisation of vulnerable areas and an increase in insurance density were no less important and may gain further significan ce. This applied especially to climatic conditions 'since it appears quite l ikely that the loss surge is at least in part due to climatic change ..' Sig ma says that its statistics do not tell us precisely 'how or why mankind agg ravates catastrophe risks or allows them to become worse ..' but that they ' do clearly indicate that risks are increasing; they give us the urgent warni ng to examine the causes of these trends and to develop effective preventive strategies.' Research by Munich Re has highlighted 'already disturbing sign s of the worldwide warming of the atmosphere'. For example, 1990 was the war mest year since meteorological records began, and six of the last 10 years h ave seen global temperatures higher than all previous readings. Current info rmation, seems to point to a global rise in temperature of between 1.5 and 4 .5 degrees by the end of the next century. Assuming that all the predicted e ffects of the man-made greenhouse effect become reality, just what will mank ind be up against? Munich Re assumes the following line of development: A wa rmer atmosphere would result in a greater exchange of energy adding to the m omentum of vertical exchange processes which are the driving force in the de velopment of tropical cyclones, tornadoes and thunderstorms resulting in inc reased frequency and strength. More severe winter storms in Europe similar t o those in late January and March 1990 which resulted in an insured loss of DM17.3bn are feasible. Increased exposure to storm surges and flooding in lo w-lying, densely-populated regions such as Bangladesh, because of a 30cm-100 cm rise in sea levels within 100 years. The jury has still not reached its v erdict on global warming. However, most of its members would probably suppor t the view expressed by Swiss Re in its 1990 annual report that 'reinsurers cannot afford to wait for scientists to provide evidence of how climatic cha nge will influence natural events such as storm, hail and flooding and so on . Underwriting policy and commitment acceptance must be adjusted now to poss ible future developments.' But just how can the insurance and reinsurance in dustry cope with the increased loss potential of natural catastrophes? Munic h Re believes that industry can either adjust to the situation or minimise o r prevent the effects and suggests a number of instruments that the risk com munity has at its disposal including: Charging premiums commensurate with ri sk, which would mean breaking down the product into its constituent parts an d calculating the risk premium for each peril that could impact on an accoun t. It should be kept in mind that historical return periods for these perils may well have been altered by global warming. The challenge for reinsurers is to provide cover at rates that not only reflect the past, but to set pric es which anticipate future loss. Substantial deductibles and insurance parti cipation by the insured. Munich Re demonstrates the effectiveness of a deduc tible in its study 1990 Winter Storms in Europe, illustrating how a deductib le of DM500 on a German homeowners' comprehensive policy would have reduced aggregate insured losses by 30 per cent and the number of insured losses by 40 pr cent. Liability limits per loss event or area with those liabilities r endered transparent by determining accumulation. Limits on cover or exclusio ns for certain hazards. Loss prevention through policyholder education about measures which may bring about a reduction in weather damage claims. Optima l loss settlement. Munich Re maintains that the effects of climatic change n eed not have a negative impact as long as the above disciplines are introduc ed. However, clients of insurers and reinsurers would have to be aware of en vironmental changes to motivate them to take suitable countermeasures such a s participation in the United Nations International Decade of Natural Disast er Reduction aimed at combating the increased danger of natural disasters or ratification of the World Climate Convention. Vannessa Young is a staff wri ter at the FT World Insurance Report Countries:- XAZ World. Industries:- P63 Insurance Carriers. P632 1 Accident and Health Insurance. P6411 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Se rvice. P951 Environmental Quality. Types:- TECH S ervices & Services use. CMMT Comment & Analysis. RES Pollution. The Financial Times London Page 15 ============= Transaction # 77 ============================================== Transaction #: 77 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:58:44 Selec. Rec. #: 8 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-4395 _AN-CIGBWADJFT 9209 07 FT 07 SEP 92 / Survey of Reinsurance (6): Skills tran scend disaster / Assessing the changing role of Lloyd's By LEE COPPACK THERE IS a continuing and growing demand for reinsurance, particularly catastrophe protection. Insured values increa se and maximum potential exposures rise, but this type of business is inevit ably volatile. Lloyd's is the second or third largest reinsurer in the world , and reinsurance of all types represents more than half its premium income. As a consequence of the type of business they write, reinsurers have carrie d the brunt of catastrophes which coincided with a period of exceptional ove r-capacity and low premium rates. Lloyd's was never likely to escape the cla ims its competitors have suffered, and its entrepreneurial nature and constr aints on its reserving capability exacerbated the losses and their effects. The next few years will show to what level individuals are prepared to be so urces of risk capital to bear this volatility, particularly if they cannot b uild up reserves for the purpose of mitigating the worst effects. The Rowlan d task force examining Lloyd's put it this way: 'Lloyd's underwriting skills and appetite for risk enable it to compete effectively to provide high-leve l catastrophe insurance and reinsurance. However, its capital structure is n ot well matched to this business of volatile profit streams. Full pay-out of profits from an 'annual venture' will inevitably result in highly volatile returns.' In spite of the disadvantages and an at least temporary reduction in market capacity, there is little doubt there is a continuing and growing role for Lloyd's as a source of reinsurance capacity. Richard Hazell, deputy chairman and a reinsurance underwriter, said: 'There is no question about i t. The pure reinsurance market is not large enough to service the needs of t he industry.' Lloyd's exercises its greatest influence in reinsurance as wel l as direct business in the marine market where it has always been a world l eader. Lloyd's controls about 30 to 35 per cent of the marine reinsurance ma rket. In non-marine, its share is perhaps 1.5 or 2 per cent, though syndicat es often lead business which is substantially placed elsewhere. Excess of lo ss business is by a substantial margin the largest type of reinsurance that the market writes. It peaked as a proportion of the market's total income in 1990 with the collapse of the spiral of excess of loss retrocessions, but i n 1991, excess of loss business was still responsible for 36.2 per cent of t he market's premium income. Alan Grant is the underwriter for syndicate 991, one of only three new syndicates in Lloyd's this year. The syndicate has a capacity of just over Pounds 15m and it is expected to rise to about Pounds 25m for 1993. He writes various types of reinsurance including long tail bus iness. He describes the exercise of getting the capacity as one of convincin g names 'that it was the right time in the underwriting cycle to start a new syndicate even if it was a difficult time in the capital supply cycle.' He stressed the importance of not confusing excess of loss business, a mechanis m no different from buying motor insurance above a deductible, from retroces sions of excess of loss where the risks may pass around the same market seve ral times. 'What we sold to the membership is that we are bringing fresh bus iness into the market; we are not recycling business from the market.' Poten tial catastrophe exposures have exploded. The largest North Sea platforms ha ve insured values of between Dollars 2bn and Dollars 3bn. According to Munic h Re, natural disasters are becoming ever more costly. It says that the burd en of claims from natural disasters was eight times higher in real terms in the 1980s than the 1960s. Typhoon Mireille in Japan in September 1991 was th e most costly wind storm loss in insurance history. Insured claims reached D ollars 5.2bn, though, for once, Lloyd's has not suffered heavily. In 1990 lo sses from natural disasters reached the record total of Dollars 15.3bn. Said Munich Re: 'This trend is primarily the consequence of increasing populatio n density, especially in conurbations, and the simultaneous increase in the concentration of values, as well as the phenomenon of people and industry se ttling in coastal areas and other regions that are particularly exposed to n atural hazards.' The volatility of catastrophe risks and the Lloyd's system of reconstituting each syndicate every year would be less significant if nam es were better able to offset good years against bad. Neither names nor synd icates are allowed tax deductions for equalisation reserves, deductions in g ood years which can be brought back into the underwriting account to soften the blow of a serious loss. The task force concluded that Lloyd's should be able to continue to write catastrophe business but that to do so competitive ly, names needed to be able to build up equalisation reserves. It said: 'Llo yd's is at a severe competitive disadvantage since its principal European co mpetitors enjoy advantageous tax treatment on reserves for both past and fut ure losses.' Talks are still taking place with the Inland Revenue over the p ossible creation of a form of equalisation reserves which could be used to p rovide cover for large variations in underwriting performance. 'Reserving ha s become an issue of acute concern within the market,' commented the task fo rce. Seeing themselves as providers of capital for the insurance industry, t he reinsurance industry is now telling direct insurers what the cost for tha t capital is now. It is not just taking the form of higher prices, particula rly in the marine market where retrocession capacity has contracted most sha rply, but also in requiring direct companies to carry more of the risk thems elves. Richard Hazell said: 'The reinsurance market really decided it had lo st enough money. When Hurricane Andrew hit the southern states of the US in August, the effect of these increased retentions emerged. Lloyd's was not ex pecting to face serious claims until insured damages reached around Dollars 3bn. Terry Hayday, chief executive of the insurance division of underwriting agent Sturge Holdings, commented: 'Had the same loss occurred three years a go, the situation would have been different.' Perhaps the biggest single exc ess of loss contract in Lloyd's covers the shipowners' liability insurers, t he International Group of P & I Clubs. The clubs this year have to retain Do llars 15m of each loss instead of Dollars 12m in 1991. The top limit has dro pped from Dollars 1.25bn to Dollars 1bn, and the premiums have increased bet ween 91 per cent and 144 per cent depending on the type of ship insured. The clubs as a group are co-insuring 7 per cent of the bottom layer of the exce ss, and because of a shortage of capacity in Lloyd's, the brokers used the B ermuda-based XL, a company set up with capital from industrial policyholders during the liability insurance crisis of the 1980s, to complete the slip. I n spite of these encouraging signs, losses from the most recent years are le ading to resignations, and many remaining names are wary of increasing their underwriting limits, Lloyd's capacity is expected to drop by 20 to 25 per c ent. The Financial Times London Page 30 < /DOC> ============= Transaction # 78 ============================================== Transaction #: 78 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:59:05 Selec. Rec. #: 9 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT933-5030 _AN-DIFB9ACIFT 9309 06 FT 06 SEP 93 / Survey of Reinsurance (4): The big one that missed Miami - Hurricance Andrew was bad but it could have cost a lot more By RICHARD LAPPER HURRI CANE Andrew, the biggest ever US catastrophe loss was bad but it could have been much worse. Had Andrew hit Miami last August instead of less built-up areas of Florida and Louisiana, the damage would have been much greater than the Dollars 15.5bn in losses the storm actually caused. E ven so the impact of the hurricane on the local reinsurance market, which co ntributed to Dollars 22.97bn in catastrophe losses for the year as a whole, has been stark. Last year's losses have depressed industry profitability and put many smaller and medium-sized reinsurers under further financial strain leading many to reduce their involvement in the market and a decline in cap acity, with the resulting fall in capacity forcing a sharp increases in pric es. The scale of the hurricane has also served to highlight a longer term tr end in which catastrophe losses are becoming bigger and more frequent. Losse s from catastrophes rose steadily during the 1980s with the annual toll reac hing Dollars 2.3bn in 1983, Dollars 2.8bn in 1985 and Dollars 7.6bn in 1989, when claims from hurricane Hugo alone amounted to Dollars 4.2bn. During 199 0 and 1991 losses stayed at a high level, amounting to Dollars 2.82bn and Do llars 4.72bn respectively. Figures for the first three months from Property Claims Services, the body which collates data for the industry, indicate tha t the trend is continuing. Anticipated claims for the first quarter amounted to Dollars 2.8bn. The bulk of the first quarter loss was provided by a larg e storm which hit 24 southern and eastern states between 11 and 14 March. Cl aims from the World Trade Center bombing on 26 February amount to more than Dollars 510m. 'The industry has to accept that the traditional pattern of pe riods of low loss frequency punctuated by the occasional bad year is no long er applicable,' commented the specialist newsletter Catastrophe Reinsurance. Rates have risen sharply. Reinsurance premiums which were moving gently upw ards at last year's mid-year renewals rose sharply at the end of the year an d have climbed higher again this year, bringing the US firmly into line with the hardening market in Europe and elsewhere. Increases of rates ranged fro m 10 per cent to 100 per cent on January 1993 renewals. Further tightness, e specially in the property market, was evident at mid-year renewals. The term s and conditions of many reinsurance policies sold to US buyers have tighten ed. According to Mr Alan Cranfield, reinsurance broker with Alexander Howden , pro-rata reinsurance treaties bought by US companies are now much more lik ely to include caps on the catastrophe exposures that they cover. Mr Cranfie ld said that 90 per cent of such policies included caps at the the mid-year renewals, compared with 70 per cent at the end of last year. Reinsurers are also more likely to insist that insurers agree to accept bigger deductibles, retaining more of their risks on their own books. This in turn is prompting many insurers to reduce the amount of cover they offer to their own policyh olders, especially in areas highly exposed to catastrophe risks such as coas tal Florida. In the longer term the trends seem certain to put many smaller reinsurance companies under increasing financial pressure, leading to a furt her consolidation in the market. Standard & Poor's, the US rating agency, sa ys that 1992 losses drove up the industry's combined ratio (expenses plus cl aims against premiums) to 118.2 per cent compared with 106.3 per cent in 199 1, leading to a sharp depression in profitability. In spite of its capital g ains of more than Dollars 870m, the earnings of the US reinsurance industry plummeted during 1992. Profitability as measured by return on revenue droppe d 10 percentage points to 2.88 per cent in 1992 from 12.95 per cent in 1991. The industry's pre-tax profits declined by 51 per cent to Dollars 963m comp ared with Dollars 2bn in 1991, while profits - as measured by return on equi ty - fell by 747 basis points to 6.34 per cent in 1992. Excluding realised g ains it fell to 0.59 per cent. S & P's figures show that the industry's bett er capitalised reinsurers have fared better than their weaker rivals, genera lly posting better results. 'Simply put, larger well-capitalised reinsurers are in a better position to withstand such devastating losses,' say Thomas W alsh and Mary Ann Gangemi, of Standard & Poor's. Financially stronger well p ositioned reinsurers have been able to 'cherry pick' books of business from both primary companies looking to leave the reinsurance business and profess ional reinsurers who have lost market share or status. The top 10 reinsurers ' increased their market share to 57 per cent in 1992, compared with 44 per cent in 1985 and 53 per cent in 1991, say S & P. The top 20 reinsurers are r esponsible for more than 75 per cent of net premiums written. Beyond the top 20 almost 90 per cent of premiums are underwritten by only 35 companies. 'T he consolidation process, accelerated by the most recent string of catastrop hes, is expected to continue as many of the smaller firms deteriorate financ ially due to the less profitable business written in recent years,' say S & P's Walsh and Gangemi. 'These losses will require further loss reserve stren gthening which for some will create unbearable pressure on an already fragil e capital base,' the two analysts add. ------------------------------------ ------ TOP 10 US REINSURERS BY NET PREMIUMS written in 1992 (Dolla rs m) ------------------------------------------ General Reinsurance 1,870 Employers Reinsurance 1,410 American Re-insurance 1,010 Prudential Re 704 Constitution Reinsurance 383 Swiss Re insurance 376 Skandia America Re 372 Transamerica Re 354 Transatlantic Re 323 Munich American Re 323 ------------------------------------------ Source: Standard & Poo r's Rating Group ------------------------------------------ Co untries:- USZ United States of America. Industries:- < /XX> P63 Insurance Carriers. P6231 Security and Commodity Exchange s. P6411 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service. Types:- CMMT Comment & Analysis. TECH Services & Services use. The Financial Times London Page 15 ============= Transaction # 79 ============================================== Transaction #: 79 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:59:36 Selec. Rec. #: 10 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT921-10549 _AN-CBEBPAFQFT 920 205 FT 05 FEB 92 / UK Company News: Tougher times for co mposites - Rising reinsurance rates By RICHARD LAPPE R ALREADY enfeebled by their losses from recession and weat her-related claims over the past two years, UK composite insurers are facing tough increases in their reinsurance costs and a reduction in cover in some instances. With negotiations still proceeding in some cases, insurers are r eluctant to give details, but five of the country's leading insurers - Gener al Accident, Sun Alliance, Commercial Union, Guardian Royal Exchange and Roy al Insurance -face increases of at least 25 per cent. Underpinning these de velopments are two related trends. UK insurers are presenting their reinsure rs with serious losses. In 1990 four of the five recorded pre-tax losses for the first time for at least a generation. That result was heavily influence d by the Pounds 4bn cost of the storm losses of January and February 1990 an d reinsurers responded by pushing up rates by multiples of three and four ti mes. Reinsurers, such as Germany's Munich Re and Switzerland's Swiss Re, are themselves facing much tighter conditions in the retrocession market, where they buy their own reinsurance protections. Between 1987 and 1990 reinsurer s in the retrocession market, much of which is concentrated at Lloyd's of Lo ndon, were hit by a string of catastrophe losses - ranging from the Piper Al pha oil rig explosion in the North Sea in 1988, to hurricane Hugo in 1989 an d the January storms in 1990. Total losses amounted to more than Pounds 18bn and the impact has forced many players out of business with those remaining pushing through significant increases in rates. And although 1991 was relat ively free of major catastrophe losses, reinsurers were hit by a number of m edium-sized losses in the last three months of the year. Together losses fro m Typhoon 19 in Japan, a forest fire in Oakland, California, a hailstorm in Calgary and hurricane Bob in North America led to claims in excess of Dollar s 3bn (Pounds 1.6bn). Reinsurers have, therefore, been squeezed and although UK insurers had hoped to escape further increases this year they have found their reinsurers in a surprisingly tough mood over the past three months. A s a result negotiations have been long drawn out. Many contracts which are n ormally completed a number of weeks before Christmas have only been complete d in the past few days. One large mutual office is understood to have comple ted its programme last week. 'This has been the most horrendous renewal seas on that most individuals on the market can remember,' comments one London br oker. 'European reinsurers were unhappy with the extent of increases they we re able to obtain last year and since the summer of last year have been co-o rdinating efforts to obtain much higher rates', says another broker. Reinsur ers have been forcing through tough new terms for the proportional treaties - in which they assume a fixed percentage of an insurer's liabilities for a fixed percentage of the original premium. The rate of commission which reins urers pay for this business has been cut drastically. Reinsurers who paid be tween 25 per cent and 27 per cent at the beginning of 1991 have paid as litt le as 7.5 per cent this year. In one case reinsurers have insisted on the in troduction of 'loss participation clauses,' arrangements whereby insurers re fund the original reinsurance commission if the business they cede eventuall y generates losses. Not surprisingly, many insurers have refused to buy prop ortional covers on these terms and have been forced to rely exclusively on n on-proportional covers, in which the reinsurer agrees to pay all losses abov e an annual aggregate level. Here, too, though prices have been increased an d terms have been tightened. Last year four of the UK's five composite insur ers paid between Pounds 25m and Pounds 30m for policies covering them from a ggregate losses of up about Pounds 250m. Reinsurers are known to have succes sfully achieved rate increases of at least 25 per cent - following rises of up to 400 per cent last year. Last year the UK's leading five insurers paid over Pounds 125m for their non-proportional reinsurance. And in at least one case a trigger point of about Pounds 50m has been set, with the implication that insurers carry a much higher proportion of their losses on their own b ooks. This shift has also had implications for the cash flow of insurers. Wh ile payments for proportional reinsurance are made on a quarterly basis, ins urers pay up front for their non-proportional protections. The Financial Times London Page 22 Photograph Lloyd's of London, h it by catastrophe claims (Omitted). ============= Transaction # 80 ============================================== Transaction #: 80 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:59:49 Selec. Rec. #: 10 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT921-10549 _AN-CBEBPAFQFT 920 205 FT 05 FEB 92 / UK Company News: Tougher times for co mposites - Rising reinsurance rates By RICHARD LAPPE R ALREADY enfeebled by their losses from recession and weat her-related claims over the past two years, UK composite insurers are facing tough increases in their reinsurance costs and a reduction in cover in some instances. With negotiations still proceeding in some cases, insurers are r eluctant to give details, but five of the country's leading insurers - Gener al Accident, Sun Alliance, Commercial Union, Guardian Royal Exchange and Roy al Insurance -face increases of at least 25 per cent. Underpinning these de velopments are two related trends. UK insurers are presenting their reinsure rs with serious losses. In 1990 four of the five recorded pre-tax losses for the first time for at least a generation. That result was heavily influence d by the Pounds 4bn cost of the storm losses of January and February 1990 an d reinsurers responded by pushing up rates by multiples of three and four ti mes. Reinsurers, such as Germany's Munich Re and Switzerland's Swiss Re, are themselves facing much tighter conditions in the retrocession market, where they buy their own reinsurance protections. Between 1987 and 1990 reinsurer s in the retrocession market, much of which is concentrated at Lloyd's of Lo ndon, were hit by a string of catastrophe losses - ranging from the Piper Al pha oil rig explosion in the North Sea in 1988, to hurricane Hugo in 1989 an d the January storms in 1990. Total losses amounted to more than Pounds 18bn and the impact has forced many players out of business with those remaining pushing through significant increases in rates. And although 1991 was relat ively free of major catastrophe losses, reinsurers were hit by a number of m edium-sized losses in the last three months of the year. Together losses fro m Typhoon 19 in Japan, a forest fire in Oakland, California, a hailstorm in Calgary and hurricane Bob in North America led to claims in excess of Dollar s 3bn (Pounds 1.6bn). Reinsurers have, therefore, been squeezed and although UK insurers had hoped to escape further increases this year they have found their reinsurers in a surprisingly tough mood over the past three months. A s a result negotiations have been long drawn out. Many contracts which are n ormally completed a number of weeks before Christmas have only been complete d in the past few days. One large mutual office is understood to have comple ted its programme last week. 'This has been the most horrendous renewal seas on that most individuals on the market can remember,' comments one London br oker. 'European reinsurers were unhappy with the extent of increases they we re able to obtain last year and since the summer of last year have been co-o rdinating efforts to obtain much higher rates', says another broker. Reinsur ers have been forcing through tough new terms for the proportional treaties - in which they assume a fixed percentage of an insurer's liabilities for a fixed percentage of the original premium. The rate of commission which reins urers pay for this business has been cut drastically. Reinsurers who paid be tween 25 per cent and 27 per cent at the beginning of 1991 have paid as litt le as 7.5 per cent this year. In one case reinsurers have insisted on the in troduction of 'loss participation clauses,' arrangements whereby insurers re fund the original reinsurance commission if the business they cede eventuall y generates losses. Not surprisingly, many insurers have refused to buy prop ortional covers on these terms and have been forced to rely exclusively on n on-proportional covers, in which the reinsurer agrees to pay all losses abov e an annual aggregate level. Here, too, though prices have been increased an d terms have been tightened. Last year four of the UK's five composite insur ers paid between Pounds 25m and Pounds 30m for policies covering them from a ggregate losses of up about Pounds 250m. Reinsurers are known to have succes sfully achieved rate increases of at least 25 per cent - following rises of up to 400 per cent last year. Last year the UK's leading five insurers paid over Pounds 125m for their non-proportional reinsurance. And in at least one case a trigger point of about Pounds 50m has been set, with the implication that insurers carry a much higher proportion of their losses on their own b ooks. This shift has also had implications for the cash flow of insurers. Wh ile payments for proportional reinsurance are made on a quarterly basis, ins urers pay up front for their non-proportional protections. The Financial Times London Page 22 Photograph Lloyd's of London, h it by catastrophe claims (Omitted). ============= Transaction # 81 ============================================== Transaction #: 81 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 15:59:50 Selec. Rec. #: 10 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT921-10549 _AN-CBEBPAFQFT 920 205 FT 05 FEB 92 / UK Company News: Tougher times for co mposites - Rising reinsurance rates By RICHARD LAPPE R ALREADY enfeebled by their losses from recession and weat her-related claims over the past two years, UK composite insurers are facing tough increases in their reinsurance costs and a reduction in cover in some instances. With negotiations still proceeding in some cases, insurers are r eluctant to give details, but five of the country's leading insurers - Gener al Accident, Sun Alliance, Commercial Union, Guardian Royal Exchange and Roy al Insurance -face increases of at least 25 per cent. Underpinning these de velopments are two related trends. UK insurers are presenting their reinsure rs with serious losses. In 1990 four of the five recorded pre-tax losses for the first time for at least a generation. That result was heavily influence d by the Pounds 4bn cost of the storm losses of January and February 1990 an d reinsurers responded by pushing up rates by multiples of three and four ti mes. Reinsurers, such as Germany's Munich Re and Switzerland's Swiss Re, are themselves facing much tighter conditions in the retrocession market, where they buy their own reinsurance protections. Between 1987 and 1990 reinsurer s in the retrocession market, much of which is concentrated at Lloyd's of Lo ndon, were hit by a string of catastrophe losses - ranging from the Piper Al pha oil rig explosion in the North Sea in 1988, to hurricane Hugo in 1989 an d the January storms in 1990. Total losses amounted to more than Pounds 18bn and the impact has forced many players out of business with those remaining pushing through significant increases in rates. And although 1991 was relat ively free of major catastrophe losses, reinsurers were hit by a number of m edium-sized losses in the last three months of the year. Together losses fro m Typhoon 19 in Japan, a forest fire in Oakland, California, a hailstorm in Calgary and hurricane Bob in North America led to claims in excess of Dollar s 3bn (Pounds 1.6bn). Reinsurers have, therefore, been squeezed and although UK insurers had hoped to escape further increases this year they have found their reinsurers in a surprisingly tough mood over the past three months. A s a result negotiations have been long drawn out. Many contracts which are n ormally completed a number of weeks before Christmas have only been complete d in the past few days. One large mutual office is understood to have comple ted its programme last week. 'This has been the most horrendous renewal seas on that most individuals on the market can remember,' comments one London br oker. 'European reinsurers were unhappy with the extent of increases they we re able to obtain last year and since the summer of last year have been co-o rdinating efforts to obtain much higher rates', says another broker. Reinsur ers have been forcing through tough new terms for the proportional treaties - in which they assume a fixed percentage of an insurer's liabilities for a fixed percentage of the original premium. The rate of commission which reins urers pay for this business has been cut drastically. Reinsurers who paid be tween 25 per cent and 27 per cent at the beginning of 1991 have paid as litt le as 7.5 per cent this year. In one case reinsurers have insisted on the in troduction of 'loss participation clauses,' arrangements whereby insurers re fund the original reinsurance commission if the business they cede eventuall y generates losses. Not surprisingly, many insurers have refused to buy prop ortional covers on these terms and have been forced to rely exclusively on n on-proportional covers, in which the reinsurer agrees to pay all losses abov e an annual aggregate level. Here, too, though prices have been increased an d terms have been tightened. Last year four of the UK's five composite insur ers paid between Pounds 25m and Pounds 30m for policies covering them from a ggregate losses of up about Pounds 250m. Reinsurers are known to have succes sfully achieved rate increases of at least 25 per cent - following rises of up to 400 per cent last year. Last year the UK's leading five insurers paid over Pounds 125m for their non-proportional reinsurance. And in at least one case a trigger point of about Pounds 50m has been set, with the implication that insurers carry a much higher proportion of their losses on their own b ooks. This shift has also had implications for the cash flow of insurers. Wh ile payments for proportional reinsurance are made on a quarterly basis, ins urers pay up front for their non-proportional protections. The Financial Times London Page 22 Photograph Lloyd's of London, h it by catastrophe claims (Omitted). ============= Transaction # 82 ============================================== Transaction #: 82 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:19 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 210114 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 83 ============================================== Transaction #: 83 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:31 Selec. Rec. #: 14 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT941-12749 _AN-EA1CHAEFFT 940 128 FT 28 JAN 94 / Reinsurers eager for drama to become crisis: The popularity of catastrophe reinsurance means rates may fall By RICHARD LAPPER After floods in Europe , fires in Australia and a freeze in the eastern US, last week's Los Angeles earthquake has again reminded reinsurers of the scale of the risks to which they are exposed. Yet although the final bill is not yet known, early indic ations show that the markets have remained relatively unscathed. Overall eco nomic losses from the earthquake are provisionally estimated at more than Do llars 15bn (Pounds 10bn), at least double the toll of the San Francisco eart hquake in 1989. But with much of the damage uninsured, claims are expected t o amount to no more than Dollars 3bn. Also, because two of the biggest US in surers in California - Allstate and State Farm - buy very little reinsurance , analysts expect reinsurers to pay at most only Dollars 1.5bn of that bill. Casual observers would expect reinsurers, especially those exposed to high level catastrophe losses, to be relieved. After all the string of catastroph e losses, which shook the world between 1989 and 1990, has caused considerab le grief to reinsurers, especially at Lloyd's, where the impact has ruined h undreds of Names - the individuals whose assets have traditionally supported the market - and been one of the main factors in the market's recent proble ms. Yet in London, at least, some reinsurers wish that the loss could have b een bigger. 'Not big enough, old boy. We needed 8 1/2 ' on the Richter scale which measures earthquake intensity, was one typical comment last week. Ind eed many on the market suspect that rates are likely to fall later this year . Underpinning this ostensibly perverse rationale is a simple calculation. T he catastrophes sandwiched between the European storms of 1987 and hurricane Andrew of 1992 caused losses of more than Dollars 40bn, drove many smaller players out of the market and - as the mechanics of supply and demand for re insurance shifted in favour of the seller - led to sizeable increases in rei nsurance rates. Lloyd's of London said last year that catastrophe reinsuranc e rates had risen by between 133 per cent (for US companies), 450 per cent ( for UK companies) and 780 per cent (for Japanese companies) since 1990. In a ddition, insurers buying reinsurance covers have generally accepted much mor e risk on their own accounts, with 'deductibles', or excess points, rising b y between 75 per cent in the UK and 500 per cent in Japan. This movement has transformed the underlying profitability of catastrophe reinsurance and att racted billions of dollars back into the business. Last year institutional i nvestors pumped more than Dollars 4bn into new reinsurance ventures, based m ainly in the lightly and flexibly regulated Bermudian market. More than Poun ds 800m in institutional funds have been injected into Lloyd's, where Names strong enough to continue trading have also increased their commitments. Cap acity at Lloyd's - the amount of premium which Lloyd's syndicates are allowe d to underwrite - will increase to at least Pounds 10.5bn in 1994, compared with Pounds 8.7bn in 1993. As a result capacity shortages in the catastrophe reinsurance market have substantially eased. For buyers the recent renewal season - most US and UK insurers renegotiate their catastrophe reinsurance p rotections towards the end of each year - was the easiest for some time. Man y brokers completed deals much earlier than in either 1992 or 1993. With mor e capital chasing better risks and creating what one Lloyd's underwriter des cribes as a 'feeding frenzy', reinsurers have found it difficult to underwri te as much business as they want. 'Last year you would have got 10 per cent of a risk. This year you will be lucky to get 6 per cent,' said the underwri ter, who specialises in US business (most business in London is underwritten on a subscription basis with several underwriters writing an agreed percent age of a policy). So far rates have been firm. Indeed, according to Mr Charl es Bray, reinsurance broker with Willis Corroon, many larger US insurers pai d increases of about 15 per cent this year - although smaller companies buyi ng lesser amounts of cover were able to renew at existing rates. 'There is a lot of posturing at the moment. A lot of buyers would like to see reduction s in their prices but no one is giving them,' said Mr Bray. However, brokers and underwriters are expecting rates to come under pressure later this year . Japanese and Australian insurers renew their catastrophe programmes in mid -year and could be the first to benefit. 'I think rates will drop by July. T he Japanese book will come under tremendous pressure,' says another Lloyd's underwriter, who expects cuts of up to 15 per cent. Mr Charles Kline, of Cen tre Cat, one of the new catastrophe reinsurance companies formed in Bermuda, also expects prices to fall. 'Prices will go down, probably dramatically in some cases. But whether they go down by that crucial amount which makes the business untenable, that is really an unanswered question. Much will depend on underwriters' discipline.' Increasingly analysts believe that only a ver y large loss will stymie these inexorable pressures. Hence the cynicism in L ondon about Los Angeles. According to one specialist reinsurance broker: 'We may have seen the peak of catastrophe pricing unless the world starts blowi ng, shaking and burning again.' Countries:- USZ Unit ed States of America. GBZ United Kingdom, EC. AUZ Australia. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance. P6411 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service. Types:- CMMT Comment & Analysis. The Financial Times Londo n Page 19 ============= Transaction # 84 ============================================== Transaction #: 84 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:01:04 Selec. Rec. #: 16 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT941-2916 _AN-ECRDQADPFT 9403 18 FT 18 MAR 94 / Greenhouse faces stoning: Is global wa rming really such a threat By BRONWEN MADDOX For the past five years global warming has been high on the world' s list of environmental worries. Outstripping other 'green' concerns in the scale of its potential impact and in the complexity of its causes, it has of fered the environmental movement some of its grandest images of apocalypse. Industrialised countries took the threat so seriously that they made curbing emissions of carbon dioxide and other gases the target of a treaty negotiat ed at the Rio Earth Summit in 1992. On Monday, that treaty becomes internati onal law, following ratification by more than 50 countries; signatories will now have to draw up plans for curbing emissions. This week in Geneva, the U nited Nations has wrestled with proposals for a fund to help developing coun tries cut emissions too. However, this legislative and bureaucratic effort i s misguided, according to Global Warming: Apocalypse or Hot Air?, published this week by the Institute of Economic Affairs. The authors, Roger Bate and Julian Morris, are economists at the institute, a free-market think-tank. Th e introduction by Wilfred Beckerman, an Oxford economist fond of tilting at environmental exaggerations, urges resistance to the 'cohorts of eco-doomste rs who warn us we are living on the edge of the abyss'. Bate and Morris ackn owledge that the science which underpins predictions of global warming is no t in dispute. Physicists agree that some gases, including carbon dioxide, no w referred to as 'greenhouse gases', can trap heat which is emitted from the earth's surface and so prevent it passing into space. The authors take issu e, however, with the hypothesis that, if greenhouse gases build up in the at mosphere, the planet will warm up. The four leading models of climate change used worldwide suggest that, if carbon dioxide levels double, the world wil l warm up by between 1.9`C and 5.2`C from existing levels. Among other criti cisms, Bate and Morris say such climate models cannot fully explain the warm ing of about 0.5`C that appears to have taken place this century. Instead, w arming may be occurring because monitoring stations are located near cities, which have been getting larger and warmer, they suggest. These complaints a re rejected by scientists studying models of climate change, such as Bruce C allander, head of the working party which weighs up scientific research for the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In his view: ' It is naive to bring up urbanisation as a problem, because it is recognised and has been thoroughly addressed.' Callander acknowledges that the models h ave many shortcomings. The behaviour of clouds remains the 'single biggest u ncertainty', he says; modellers are not sure whether clouds speed up warming or slow it down. But he adds: 'The modellers themselves are the models' gre atest critics.' Scientists admit that the global warming hypothesis is unpro ven, and that they will need years of further data to know whether predictio ns are accurate. The authors exaggerate the degree of scientific certainty a nd do not succeed in establishing that the threat of warming should be dismi ssed. They are on stronger ground in looking at ways in which economists hav e tried to compensate for the imperfect state of scientific knowledge in for mulating policy. The pamphlet deftly picks holes in the green lobby's favour ite claim that measures to improve energy efficiency are a 'no-regrets' poli cy, providing benefits such as cheaper fuel bills as well as curbing emissio ns. The authors maintain that, if savings from investing in energy efficienc y outstripped the costs, companies and households would have made those chan ges already. They home in, too, on the spurious precision of 'cost-benefit a nalysis' - the technique of comparing the costs and benefits of a particula r policy before deciding whether to proceed. The estimates are necessarily t entative, yet are often used as firm predictions; the UK government's recent proposals to tax rubbish dumping are a case in point. But as in their attac k on science, the authors are shadow-boxing at targets which are less solid than they claim. For instance, the policies which the authors warn would slo w economic growth have not been implemented. The Rio convention, in the wate red-down form which finally received international consent, tells countries only to draw up plans for curbing emissions, not to make cuts. And although the authors rail against the European Union's proposals for an energy tax, t hey seem not to have noticed that the proposals are stalled, if not dead. In addition, the pamphlet's only recommendation - dashed off in two paragraphs - is that all taxes and subsidies on fossil fuels should be removed worldwi de. 'This is likely both to reduce emissions and increase global economic ou tput,' Bate and Morris state baldly. The shortcomings of their case are unfo rtunate, because scepticism about environmental scaremongering is welcome an d all too rare. So is the reminder that, in pandering to green populism, gov ernments can put in place policies which are counter-productive and expensiv e. The Rio convention will encourage governments to grapple with the importa nt question of whether any international agreement to curb carbon dioxide em issions can be binding. Such treaties are almost impossible to police, as th e emissions of individual countries are hard to monitor. Further, countries may be tempted to avoid the inconvenience and cost of the curbs, provided th ey can be satisfied that they will benefit from other countries continuing t o observe them. The only contribution which could settle the global warming debate, however, is more data about climate change. In Callander's words, 'i n 10 years we may say (scientists' investigation) has been an interesting ex ercise which came to nothing, or we may say that we were recognising somethi ng important happening in the atmosphere. At the moment, though, (the threat ) should be taken seriously.' Global Warming: Apocalypse or Hot Air? Roger B ate and Julian Morris, IEA Studies on the Environment, 2 Lord North St, Lond on SW1P 3LP; Pounds 5 Countries:- XAZ World. < XX> Industries:- P951 Environmental Quality. Types:- < /XX> RES Pollution. CMMT Comment & Analysis. The Financ ial Times London Page 18 ============= Transaction # 85 ============================================== Transaction #: 85 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:01:29 Selec. Rec. #: 21 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT932-7277 _AN-DEYCHACEFT 9305 25 FT 25 MAY 93 / Insurers told to cut storm cover By RICHARD LAPPER INSURERS could come un der pressure to reduce cover for storm damage to homes, a conference on glob al warming and catastrophic weather losses was told yesterday. Mr Jeremy Hin dle, a senior underwriter with Swiss Re, the world's second largest reinsura nce company, said that the excess (the amount a policyholder pays of any cla im) on household buildings policies 'must be raised to Pounds 250 immediatel y, with a move to Pounds 1,000 being the target.' Swiss Re is one of a numbe r of reinsurers providing cover to UK insurers. Insurers have introduced hig her excesses for subsidence but for most claims householders pay a compulsor y excess of about Pounds 50. Some insurers offer lower premiums for customer s who choose to take a higher excess. Household insurance premiums have rise n in recent years, partly reflecting steep rises in rates charged by reinsur ers to insurance companies. Mr Hindle told the conference, organised by envi ronmental pressure group Greenpeace, that changes in terms and conditions of buildings policies were needed to reduce exposure to storm damage. Reinsure rs have put the UK in the list of five international regions most exposed to catastrophic weather or earthquake risk, after two of the costliest storms on record in the past six years. But he said reinsurers could also press for further changes. Insurers could restrict coverage to a percentage of the su m insured in some areas or follow the example of insurers in the Virgin Isla nds - badly hit by hurricane Hugo in 1989 - where excesses are a percentage of the property's value. AA Insurance, one of the UK's biggest brokers, crit icised the move to raise excesses. Mr Noel Privett, AA head of information, said such it would represent 'a huge overreaction. A more creative solution is called for'. Countries:- GBZ United Kingdom, EC. Industries:- P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance . Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times London Page 12 ============= Transaction # 86 ============================================== Transaction #: 86 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:01:55 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 210114 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 87 ============================================== Transaction #: 87 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:02:03 Selec. Rec. #: 26 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT933-5022 _AN-DIFB9ACQFT 9309 06 FT 06 SEP 93 / Survey of Reinsurance (12): Magnetic i sland in the sun - Bermuda is the world's fastest growing offshore centre By RICHARD LAPPER BERMUDA, home of so me of the world's fastest growing and innovative reinsurance companies, has benefited from a flood of new interest this year. More than half a dozen new reinsurance initiatives have been launched, bringing more than Dollars 1bn in fresh capital to the island and consolidating its reputation as the world 's biggest offshore insurance and reinsurance centre. Until this year Bermud a was known as a centre for captive insurers and more recently for highly sp ecialised reinsurers which offer high-level liability covers. Centre Re, the biggest of Bermuda's reinsurance companies with assets of Dollars 2.9bn, ha s pioneered so-called finite risk transactions, while ACE and XL insure larg e - mainly US - corporations against legal awards. In June, American Interna tional Group, one of the world's biggest insurers, reinforced this trend by sponsoring the formation of a new excess liability company, Starr Excess Lia bility Insurance. Other backers include General Re, Munich Re, Primamerica a nd Aon Corporation. However, most attention has focused recently on the cata strophe reinsurance market, with Bermuda hosting a number of significant new initiatives by North American insurers and financiers. Attracted by the rec ent strength in reinsurance rates and prospect of attractive profits, Marsh McLennan, the world's biggest insurance broker, and JP Morgan, the US bank, sponsored the formation last autumn of Mid-Ocean, a new Dollars 350m reinsur ance company. The company began underwriting in January and in the summer an nounced plans to go public in the US with an initial public offering expecte d to raise nearly Dollars 250m. In the last six months five similar ventures have been formed: American International Group announced it was setting up a property catastrophe reinsurer, International Property Catastrophe Reinsur ance Co, which aims to provide excess of loss treaty reinsurance for persona l and commercial risks. AIG has a 24.4 per cent stake in the Dollars 300m co mpany which will also underwrite retrocessional business for other reinsurer s and also some non-catastrophe business. Investors including General Re, th e biggest US reinsurance company, and AIG have raised Dollars 500m to suppor t Tempest Reinsurance, which is expected to begin underwriting in October. G oldman Sachs, the securities house, and Johnson & Higgins, the insurance bro ker, are organising another company, Global Capital Reinsurance, which is ex pected to have some Dollars 300m in capital. Investors include Underwriters Re Holdings Corporation. Investors including Warburg, Pincus Investors, Gene ral Electric Pension Trust, Investment Private Placement Partners and USF&G, the US insurance company, are raising Dollars 140m to invest in Renaissance Reinsurance. It plans to underwrite property and short-tail casualty insura nce, earning more than 60 per cent of an expected Dollars 100m a year in pre miums from the US market. Centre Re itself has formed a Bermuda-based shell company, Centre Cat, which will also underwrite catastrophe reinsurance. Sep arately, General Re is opening a wholly-owned underwriting management compan y, to help meet growing demand for back office services on the island. Two o bvious attractions are Bermuda's tax regime (companies pay no income or corp oration tax and can build up tax-free reserves allowing them to build up muc h stronger financial strength to meet large scale claims) and its benign reg ulatory environment. Bermudian companies are able to avoid the very high so- called 'frictional' costs, which are typical of a market - such as London - in which dozens of relatively small insurers and brokers combine to insure a nd reinsure large risks. They tend to conduct a small number of high-value t ransactions, transferring huge blocks of risk on to their own books in excha nge for multi-million dollar premiums. Already there are signs that the amou nt of fresh capital in Bermuda is having an impact on rates and terms and co nditions on international markets. One prominent London underwriter estimate s that capacity for leading US buyers has risen from around Dollars 120m per event to Dollars 150m per event in recent months. So far, however, there is little sign that Bermudian underwriters are winning market share at the exp ense of established marketplaces in the North America and Europe, either by offering cheaper policies or better security. Mid-Ocean, the most active Ber mudian catastrophe reinsurer at present, generally underwrites portions of r einsurance programmes, in which prices and conditions are set by so-called ' lead' underwriters in Lloyd's. The new companies look set to follow suit. Mr James Stanard, chief executive of Renaissance, says: 'Much of our business will be participations on catastrophe programmes led by recognised lead unde rwriters.' Although there is concern among some US reinsurance buyers about the quality of security in the London market and particularly at Lloyd's, ot her buyers - especially from Europe and South Africa - are equally sceptical about the durability of Bermudian companies and are particularly mindful of the problems experienced by many Bermudian companies in the mid-1980s. Indu stry leaders such as Mr Michael Butt, the chief executive of Mid-Ocean, insi st that the Bermudian market 'complements' rather than competes with London. Indeed in some other ways the Bermudian market has recently provided direct support for Lloyd's underwriters. Underwriters Capital (Merrett), another n ew Bermudian company, was formed with the specific purpose of providing quot a share reinsurance to the syndicates of the Merrett Group, for example. Cen tre Re agreed at the end of last year to back a multi-million pound reinsura nce scheme, which will allow Lloyd's Names to obtain stop-loss, or personal, reinsurance. And Centre Re also provides dozens of financial reinsurance po licies - called 'time and distance' policies - which allow Lloyd's syndicate s to manage their reserves more flexibly. However, as the Bermudian market d evelops and the confidence of buyers increases, local Bermudian underwriters may begin to seek to lead business. One prominent London underwriter predic ts this could happen in the 1995 renewal season. 'Customers are already usin g Bermuda as a stick to beat us over the head,' he says. ------------------ ----------------------------------------- BERMUDA'S BIG INS URERS Net insurance premiums written in 1992 (dollarsm) --------------- -------------------------------------------- Centre Re 1,100.0 American International 850.0 Excel 434.5 ACE 325.4 OIL 187.6 Mid Ocean Re 130.0 Mutual Risk Managem ent 82.2 Heddington Insurance 74.0 -------------- --------------------------------------------- Source: The Bermudan -------- --------------------------------------------------- Countries:- BMZ Bermuda, Caribbean. Industries:- P63 Insurance Carriers. P6411 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service. Types:- CMMT Comment & Analysis. TECH Services & Servic es use. The Financial Times London Page 18 ============= Transaction # 88 ============================================== Transaction #: 88 Transaction Code: 6 (Direct Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:02:25 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 5 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {storm hurricanes typhoons damage phillipians})" ============= Transaction # 89 ============================================== Transaction #: 89 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:02:28 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 10981 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 90 ============================================== Transaction #: 90 Transaction Code: 6 (Direct Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:02:39 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 3 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {storm damage phillipians})" ============= Transaction # 91 ============================================== Transaction #: 91 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:02:41 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 10689 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 92 ============================================== Transaction #: 92 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:02:52 Selec. Rec. #: 2 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT933-13671 _AN-DGRAKAD2FT 930 717 FT 17 JUL 93 / Finance and The Family: Paying for Na ture's violence - Eric Short on why insurers are re-assessing premiums in ar eas of Britain most prone to severe weather By ERIC SHORT LOOK carefully at the map. If you live in an area sha ded X or Y, then it is a high-risk storm area - and you can expect your buil dings insurance premium to be altered accordingly. Gone are the days when in surers charged one rate for the whole country - effectively putting househol ders into one big pool, with the low risks subsidising the high. Now, underw riters are splitting the country into separate areas according to their risk factors. Underwriters take five major risks into account when setting rates for insuring buildings: fire, flood, storm, frost and subsidence. Of these, storm and subsidence generally cause heavier claims. Most fires are confine d to a particular building, so the risk can be controlled and damage minimis ed. Floods tend to be localised in well-defined areas, usually affecting onl y a few hundred buildings at most. Damage caused by frost can be widespread and, in the past, a sudden freeze-up has led to massive claims for damage fr om burst pipes. But lagging exposed pipes in new houses is now standard and most residents of older properties have learnt from experience to do likewis e and take other precautions. Underwriters are less concerned about cold spe lls than they used to be. It is the storms of winter and a succession of dry summers that have played havoc with claims. Insurers shudder to think about the great storms of October 1987 and January 1990, and the summers of 1988- 91. Using past claims information and large-scale geological maps, underwrit ers have been assessing the subsidence risk nationally and now have a cleare r picture of its extent. Assessing storm risks proved trickier, mainly becau se there was not enough data over an extended period. Storms still occur inf requently but, when they do, the damage is widespread and costly. The climat ic research unit at the University of East Anglia has, however, examined 47 major storms between 1920-90. This helped to provide the material from which the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries produced a report last year on Storm Rating in the Nineties. For the first time, underwriters now have a clear p icture of storm frequency in various parts of the UK (as shown on the map) - although, interestingly, the institute found there was no conclusive eviden ce of an increasing trend in storm losses, or to support the global warming theory. Underwriters now are assessing these storm patterns, together with t heir own claims' experience, to establish the changes that should be made to buildings insurance rates. The map shows that people living in most of Scot land have the highest risk - more than 180 per cent of the average. But Scot s have known this for decades and have built their houses to withstand the w eather. Thus, the likely premium increases will be much less than one would expect from the risk factor. The areas most likely to be affected adversely by premium increases are the next highest-risk areas of Kent, Sussex, Cornwa ll and northern England, where the storm risk is 130-180 per cent above aver age. Houses in these regions generally were not built to withstand ultra-sev ere weather and claims have hit insurers hard in recent years. While builder s now are adapting new homes to cope better with storms, existing properties remain exposed to the next blast. So, if premium rates are increased in the se areas, house-owners will know why. Conversely, owners in central England may anticipate a reduction in rates because of their below-average storm ris k. Countries:- GBZ United Kingdom, EC. In dustries:- P6411 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service. P6321 Accident and Health Insurance. P6331 Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insuran ce. Types:- INS Insurance. The Financial Ti mes London Page IV ============= Transaction # 93 ============================================== Transaction #: 93 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:03:08 Selec. Rec. #: 3 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-563 _AN-CI1B0AAGFT 92092 8 FT 28 SEP 92 / Battered regions escape fresh storms By AP PARIS FRESH storms moved across southern France yesterday, leaving three people d ead and several missing, AP reports from Paris. But the rains eased before r eaching regions battered last week by the deadliest floods on record in Fran ce. Authorities said the worst damage from the new storms occurred in the de partments of Aude and Pyrenees-Orientales, close to the eastern part of the French-Spanish border. Rivers swollen by torrential rains overflowed their b anks. In the Aude village of Rennes-les-Bains the floodwaters smashed a home , killing a 65-year-old women and sweeping away two other people. Floodwater s a metre deep were reported in parts of the city of Narbonne. The national weather service had warned that severe storms could hit much of south-east F rance yesterday, but in most areas rain was too light to unleash any new flo oding. Flash floods on Tuesday in the south-central departments of Vaucluse, Drome and Ardeche killed 38 people. Vaucluse authorities yesterday lowered their estimate of missing people from 40 to 15, saying the others had been a ccounted for. Officials said 150 homes in Vaucluse had been destroyed or ser iously damaged, and 12 bridges washed away. An overall valuation of the dama ge has not been released, but insurance companies have already arranged for payments totalling about FFr980m (Pounds 112.38m). The Financia l Times London Page 3 ============= Transaction # 94 ============================================== Transaction #: 94 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:03:14 Selec. Rec. #: 4 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-6038 _AN-CH1BVABKFT 9208 27 FT 27 AUG 92 / Hurricane batters southern US but lets insurers off lightly By MARTIN DICKSON and ROBERT P ESTON NEW YORK, LONDON HURRICANE Andrew, claimed to be the costliest natural disaster in US history, yesterda y smashed its way through the state of Louisiana, inflicting severe damage o n rural communities but narrowly missing the low-lying city of New Orleans. The storm, which brought havoc to southern Florida on Monday and then headed north-west across the Gulf of Mexico, had made landfall late on Tuesday nig ht some 60 miles south-west of the city in the agricultural Cajun country. A lthough the damage from the hurricane's landfall in Florida on Monday was mu ch greater than initially esti mated, insurers' losses there are likely to t otal less than Dollars 1bn, well below earlier expectations, a senior member of Lloyd's insurance market said yesterday. In Louisiana, the hurricane lan ded with wind speeds of about 120 miles per hour and caused severe damage in small coastal centres such as Morgan City, Franklin and New Iberia. Associa ted tornadoes devastated Laplace, 20 miles west of New Orleans. Then, howeve r, Andrew lost force as it moved north over land. By yesterday afternoon, it had been down-graded to tropical storm, in that its sustained windspeeds we re below 75 mph. Initial reports said at least one person had died, 75 been injured and thousands made homeless along the Louisiana coast, after 14 conf irmed deaths in Florida and three in the Bahamas. The storm caused little da mage to Louisiana's important oil-refining industry, although some plants ha d to halt production when electricity was cut. The Lloyd's member, in close contact with leading insurers in Florida, said that damage to insured proper ty was remarkably small. More than Dollars 15bn of damage may have been caus ed in all, but was mostly to uninsured property, he said. In north Miami, da mage is minimal. Worst affected is one hotel, whose basement was flooded. Mo st of the destruction occurred in a 10-mile band across Homestead, 25 miles to the south of Miami, where a typical house sells for Dollars 100,000 to Do llars 150,000. US insurers will face a bill in respect of such properties, b ut Lloyd's exposure there is minimal. Many destroyed power lines are thought to be uninsured, as are trees and shrubs uprooted across a wide area. Only one big hotel in that area has been badly damaged, a Holiday Inn. Across Flo rida, some 2m people remained without electric ity yesterday and health offi cials were warning the public to boil or chemically treat all water. Hurrica ne Hugo, which devastated much of South Carolina in 1989, cost the insurance industry some Dollars 4.2bn. Further uninsured losses may have raised the t otal to Dollars 6bn-Dollars 10bn. The Financial Times

London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 95 ============================================== Transaction #: 95 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:03:28 Selec. Rec. #: 6 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-3091 _AN-CIPCHAGNFT 9209 15 FT 15 SEP 92 / Hawaiian island recovers < BYLINE> By AP LIHUE TROOPS pat rolled and helped clean up neighbourhoods and officials tended to more than 7,000 people in shelters as the hurricane-hit Hawaiian island of Kauai took its first halting steps toward normality yesterday, AP reports from Lihue. F ederal officials said 10,000 homes were badly damaged when Hawaii's worst st orm this century tore across the resort island. Most of the island's 70 hote ls sustained serious damage. A limited phone service was restored, giving th e island's 52,000 residents their first link to the outside world since the storm hit on Friday. The Financial Times Internat ional Page 8 ============= Transaction # 96 ============================================== Transaction #: 96 Transaction Code: 6 (Direct Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:04:59 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 3 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {storm damage hawaiian})" ============= Transaction # 97 ============================================== Transaction #: 97 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:05:02 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 10735 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 98 ============================================== Transaction #: 98 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:05:05 Selec. Rec. #: 1 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-3091 _AN-CIPCHAGNFT 9209 15 FT 15 SEP 92 / Hawaiian island recovers < BYLINE> By AP LIHUE TROOPS pat rolled and helped clean up neighbourhoods and officials tended to more than 7,000 people in shelters as the hurricane-hit Hawaiian island of Kauai took its first halting steps toward normality yesterday, AP reports from Lihue. F ederal officials said 10,000 homes were badly damaged when Hawaii's worst st orm this century tore across the resort island. Most of the island's 70 hote ls sustained serious damage. A limited phone service was restored, giving th e island's 52,000 residents their first link to the outside world since the storm hit on Friday. The Financial Times Internat ional Page 8 ============= Transaction # 99 ============================================== Transaction #: 99 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:05:28 Selec. Rec. #: 8 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT924-2373 _AN-CLMAOAECFT 9212 12 FT 12 DEC 92 / Finance & The Family: Braced for the s torm / A look at weather-related insurance By SCHEHE RAZADE DANESHKHU RAIN and violent storms have caused a grea t deal of damage in recent weeks and insurance companies are bracing themsel ves for a rise in weather-related claims. Householders should check the exte nt of their policy cover and take preventative action in the home to minimis e the need to make a claim. Burst pipes are the most common cause of weather -related damage. Since building and contents are likely to be affected it is important to be covered for both. Damage to roofs, windows, doors and walls falls under a buildings insurance policy, while damage to carpets and furni ture is covered under a contents policy. Donald Malcolm, of General Accident , says that fitted units, tiles and wallpaper are also considered part of th e building. Repair to pipes burst because of freezing weather usually will n ot be covered, according to Swinton Insurance brokers. The insurance compani es all stress prevention when it comes to winter. 'Act as if you did not hav e insurance and be prudent,' says Steve Turner, of Sun Alliance. He advises people to lag cold and hot water pipes and to clear gutters and drains to pr event damage during a thaw. Check the roof for loose slates or tiles. Noel P rivett, of AA Insurance, suggests opening the loft door to let warm air into the roof cavity when the weather turns very cold, since that is where pipes and water tanks are at their most vulnerable, and to keep on the heating at night. If you are going away, you should turn off the water supply and drai n the hot and cold water system. Alternatively, you could keep the heating o n low while you are away. Turner says the worst thing is to turn the heating off while leaving water in the pipes. A prudent measure is to leave keys wi th someone in case of an emergency. If a pipe has burst, the water must be t urned off immediately, so make sure that whoever comes around knows where th e stopcock is. Remember that if you go away for more than 30 days, your poli cy is unlikely to cover you at all. There can be confusion when it comes to cover for items outside the house. Garden furniture is usually covered under a contents policy but, if it is damaged by bad weather, you will find it ha rd to find an insurer willing to pick up the tab. Garden furniture should be stored either inside the home or in a shed. If a storm blows off the shed r oof the stored garden furniture would be covered under your contents policy and the shed under buildings. Some restrictions, on paths, fances and gates for example, can bemuse policyholders. Most insurers will not cover damage t o fences or gates because of a storm or flood. Some insurers, for example AA , will pay for damage to fences and gates caused by a falling tree but many policies will not do this if the tree fell as a result of a storm. Damage ca used by a falling tree (for whatever reason) will be covered by Sun Alliance if it fell on to a wall but not if it fell on gates or fences. Your insuran ce company will not pay to clear away a tree which has fallen unless it caus es damage. Make sure that both buildings and contents are insured for their full value -if a pipe were to burst in the roof causing torrents of water t o cascade through the house, remember that the payout on an individual item will be restricted. You should have the item specified or see if your insure r will agree to increase the single item limit. The standard excess on most buildings policies is Pounds 50. If a pipe freezes, the Association of Briti sh Insurers recommends that you turn off the main stop valve and thaw the pi pe with hot water bottles or a thick cloth soaked in hot water. You should s tart at the end of the pipe nearest the tank. If the pipe has already burst, you should once again turn off the main stop valve. If you cannot stop the flow, open all cold water taps to drain the system but do not open the hot t aps as the hot water cylinder could collapse if the pipes feeding it are fro zen. You should also turn off the central heating. Before contacting a plumb er, the ABI recommends contacting the insurance company immediately to see i f they have preferred contractors, which will save you the bother of collect ing different estimates for the damage. Some insurers also have emergency he lplines. If you are flooded, you should switch off electricity at the mains and move as many belongings as possible upstairs. The ABI recommends leaving windows and doors open to allow air to circulate. Furniture should be pulle d away from the walls. Swinton Insurance says you should keep damaged items to show a loss assessor, in case the insurance company decides to appoint on e to look at the damage. Since you will probably need to claim both contents and buildings insurance, having these policies with one insurer simplifies the claims process and you will only need to submit one claim. However, it c ould be a while before you can redecorate and get life back to normal again. Walls should be treated with anti-mould solution and floorboards should be given six months to dry out. Many insurance companies will contribute to the costs of drying out and should pay for a short period of temporary accommod ation if the property has been made uninhabitable. Prevention is not only in the insurer's interest: averting a disaster means much less hassle for the homeowner, too. The Financial Times London Page I V ============= Transaction # 100 ============================================== Transaction #: 100 Transaction Code: 15 (Terms Cleared) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:05:45 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: or Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 101 ============================================== Transaction #: 101 Transaction Code: 6 (Direct Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:07:10 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 2 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic {tourist}) and (topic {violence})" ============= Transaction # 102 ============================================== Transaction #: 102 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:07:11 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 130 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 103 ============================================== Transaction #: 103 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:07:14 Selec. Rec. #: 1 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT911-1104 _AN-BEHBSADXFT 9105 08 FT 08 MAY 91 / Operators review travel to Yugoslavia By DAVID CHURCHILL BRITISH tour ope rators and travel agents were yesterday reviewing the position facing travel to Yugoslavia after the latest outbreak of violence, David Churchill writes . They were concerned about the lack of firm guidance by the Foreign Office about travel to Yugoslavia. A number of leading operators are understood to support a move to ban holiday travel to the country in advance of any Foreig n Office ruling. The latest Foreign Office advice is for travellers to avoid the area between Karlovac and Sisak in the north of the country and Split a nd Gospic to the south, including the coast road. They should also avoid tra velling in the area of Croatia to the north of the Zagreb-Belgrade motorway. The Foreign Office said there was no reason for travellers to avoid the mai n cities in the tourist areas of Istria, Slovenia and Montenegro. Yugotours, the largest operator to the country and backed by the Yugoslav government, has some 2,500 Britons at present on holiday in Yugoslavia. Last year about 800,000 Britons went to Yugoslavia, mainly to the coastal seaside resorts, w here holidays were considerably less expensive than their Spanish equivalent . Even before the Gulf War, however, the market this year was looking bleak because of the UK recession. Now Yugoslavia's tourist industry, its biggest foreign exchange earner, faces the effects of the nationalist upheavals. Tou rism brought in an estimated Dollars 2.2bn (Pounds 1.27bn) in 1989 and at le ast 10 per cent more last year. The Financial Times London Page 8 ============= Transaction # 104 ============================================== Transaction #: 104 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:07:55 Selec. Rec. #: 2 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT911-1219 _AN-BEHBSAAQFT 9105 08 FT 08 MAY 91 / Washington seeks to prevent more rioti ng By PETER RIDDELL, US Editor WASHINGTON WIDESPREAD rioting and looting - for the se cond night running in the predominantly Hispanic area of Mount Pleasant in W ashington, about two miles from the White House - led to the imposition of a curfew and a state of emergency across both that area and that of Adams Mor gan between midnight Monday and early yesterday morning. The disturbances ha ve involved gangs of youths breaking shop windows and looting, fires, destru ction of vehicles, and running skirmishes with a thousand police officers wh o fired tear gas. Calm prevailed yesterday as Mayor Sharon Pratt Dixon gathe red her top administrators to discuss ways to prevent a third night of rioti ng. Deputy Police Chief Edward Spurlock said the disturbances were the worst in Washington since 1968, after the assassination of Martin Luther King jr, the black civil rights leader. The violence, though contained within a few hundred square yards, crossed 16th Street, one of the city's main arteries, and came within walking distance of the main residential, tourist and office areas. For most Washingtonians, however, the main evidence of the riots was the live coverage on television, the screams of fire and ambulance sirens a nd heavy activity by low-flying police helicopters. The disturbances followe d the shooting of a Hispanic man by a police officer who was trying to detai n him for public drinking. According to the police, the man, now in a critic al condition, drew a knife. According to a Hispanic witness, he was handcuff ed when shot. This triggered the waves of violence against both property and the police on Sunday and Monday evenings in the Mount Pleasant and Adams Mo rgan areas. The latest events have underlined simmering tensions between the generally poor Hispanic community and the District of Columbia government a nd police force, which are predominantly black and, as such, reflect the cit y's racial composition. The tensions in Washington between Hispanics and bla cks have been matched in other US cities, such as Miami, Los Angeles and Hou ston, where there are large Spanish-speaking populations, often made up of r ecent immigrants, who argue that they are badly treated and often excluded f rom power. Following the first night's riots, local residents told Ms Dixon that Hispanic people were harassed by the police and poorly treated by city agencies. Less than 4 per cent of the police are Hispanic, compared with at least 10 per cent of the city's population. Many of the Hispanics are recent refugees from central America and speak only Spanish. Ms Dixon promised to improve communications and said district agencies would hire more Hispanic p eople. This is her first big test since she took over four months ago from M ayor Marion Barry, who, despite his drug and alcohol problems, proved to be a wily operator in reducing conflicts in the city. Sharon Pratt Dixon, mayor of Washington, who sometimes carries a broom as token of her determination to clean up the city administration, has promised more help for local Hispan ics The Financial Times London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 105 ============================================== Transaction #: 105 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:08:21 Selec. Rec. #: 3 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT921-6602 _AN-CB0CIABFFT 9202 27 FT 27 FEB 92 / Rio business protests at rising crime By CHRISTINA LAMB RIO DE JAN EIRO THOUSANDS of Rio's hoteliers, shopkeepers, businessm en and tourist agents held a demonstration along Copacabana beach yesterday to protest against the resort's increasing violence, which, they say, is des troying its tourist industry. Since 1987, the number of tourists visiting Br azil has plummetted from almost 2m to 800,000, largely because of Rio's spir alling crime rate. As a result, Rio has suffered an estimated Dollars 400m l oss in revenue, according to Mr Ronaldo Monterosa, president of Embratur, th e Brazilian tourist authority. 'Over the last five years we have watched tou rism collapse,' said Mr Philip Carruthers, general manager of the Copacabana Palace hotel and president of the Association of Hoteliers. 'Occupancy of f ive-star hotels in peak months has fallen from 97 per cent to 63 per cent. T he main reason is Rio's appalling image, which is based on a fundamental rea lity - complete lack of security.' He complained that his hotel staff have t o prevent guests leaving the hotel with cameras, jewellery or watches becaus e of the 'complete ineffectiveness' of the police. 'The police here are part of the problem rather than the solution.' Immediately after the press confe rence, two journalists were stopped at knifepoint near the hotel and opposit e a police cabin. Mr Paulo Protasio, head of Rio's Chamber of Commerce, said 'we need to mobilise Rio's taxpayers to see that this constant drop in tour ism, which is the state's principal economic activity, is jeopardising every one's jobs.' He said the aim of yesterday's march was to press the state aut horities into taking action. Rio's commercial and tourism associations have presented a plan to the state governor for the creation of a new 1,500-stron g bilingual tourist police force which would be well-paid and better motivat ed. Mr Protasio pointed out that Rio should be capitalising on the World Env ironment Conference, which it is hosting in June, to present a new image. The Financial Times London Page 5 ============= Transaction # 106 ============================================== Transaction #: 106 Transaction Code: 6 (Direct Rank Search) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:09:16 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:00:00 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 3 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: zfind "(topic @ {tourist injury death})" ============= Transaction # 107 ============================================== Transaction #: 107 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:09:20 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 8262 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 108 ============================================== Transaction #: 108 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:09:23 Selec. Rec. #: 1 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT933-15380 _AN-DGICIABGFT 930 709 FT 09 JUL 93 / Egypt hangs seven for terrorism By MARK NICHOLSON CAIRO SEVEN Islamic militants were hanged in Egypt yesterday on charges of attacking foreign tourists and seeking to overthrow the government - the greatest number of executions for political crimes in the country's recent h istory. Five were hanged in 1982 for assassinating President Anwar Sadat. Th e seven were convicted by a military court in April of six separate bomb and firearm attacks on tourist buses and Nile cruisers late last year, in one o f which a young Englishwoman was killed. The men were among 49 tried in the case, including six in absentia, who had proclaimed loyalty to the Gamaa al- Islamiyya extremist group which has claimed responsibility for attacks on to urism and security forces over a year. A total of 22 individuals have been s entenced to death in trials arising from politically-motivated violence sinc e December last year. President Hosni Mubarak has made a point of publicly r atifying each one to signal his government's resolve to crush the threat fro m Islamic extremists. Five more men face the scaffold later this month after being convicted in May for their part in four bombings and an attempt on th e life of Mr Safwat Sherif, the information minister, who escaped a shooting near his Cairo home with light injuries last April. The government's determ ination to mete out the severest penalties possible on Islamic militants com es despite rising opposition from western and domestic human rights groups b oth to the use of the death penalty and to the conduct of trials by military courts. Countries:- EGZ Egypt, Africa. I ndustries:- P9229 Public Order and Safety, NEC. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times London Page 4 ============= Transaction # 109 ============================================== Transaction #: 109 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:09:40 Selec. Rec. #: 2 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT933-15385 _AN-DGICIABBFT 930 709 FT 09 JUL 93 / Seven hanged for terrorism in Egypt: Attacks on tourists and trying to overthrow government By MARK NICHOLSON CAIRO SEVEN Islamic militants were hanged in Egypt yesterday on charges of attacking for eign tourists and seeking to overthrow the government - the greatest number of executions for political crimes in the country's recent history. Five wer e hanged in 1982 for assassinating President Anwar Sadat. The seven were con victed by a military court in April of six separate bomb and firearm attacks on tourist buses and Nile cruisers late last year, in one of which a young Englishwoman was killed. The men were among 49 tried in the case, including six in absentia, who had proclaimed loyalty to the Gamaa al-Islamiyya extrem ist group which has claimed responsibility for attacks on tourism and securi ty forces over the past year. A total of 22 individuals have been sentenced to death in trials arising from politically-motivated violence since Decembe r last year. President Hosni Mubarak has made a point of publicly ratifying each one to signal his government's resolve to crush the threat from Islamic extremists. Five more men face the scaffold later this month after being co nvicted in May for their part in four bombings and an attempt on the life of Mr Safwat Sherif, the information minister, who escaped a shooting near his Cairo home with light injuries last April. Two men were hanged in June - th e first executions for political crimes in Egypt since 1982 - and the remain der of the 22 sentences were given in absentia. The government's determinati on to mete out the severest penalties possible on Islamic militants comes de spite rising opposition from western and domestic human rights groups both t o the use of the death penalty and to the conduct of trials by military cour ts. President Mubarak shifted authority over such cases to military courts i n February to ensure the speediest possible process. Yesterday's executions come a day after publication of Amnesty International's annual report, in wh ich it repeats opposition to use of the death penalty and reiterates allegat ions of torture, detention without trial and unfair practices in the militar y courts. Just after yesterday's hangings took place in a Cairo prison, in s equence between 7am and 10am, the Arab Organisation of Human Rights condemne d in a press conference the use of military courts, which were 'outside the normal legal framework', said Mr Mohammed Fayek, its secretary general. Howe ver, no such opposition is at all likely to deter President Mubarak from rat ifying further death sentences which may result from trials due before these courts in the next few weeks. In the biggest of these, a total of 700 alleg ed members of the Jihad extremist Islamic group are being tried in two concu rrent cases, facing charges which include the attempted assassination of pub lic figures and incitement to rebellion. Moreover, the government has still either to apprehend or to bring charges against those responsible for an app arently random series of nail-bombings in Cairo since mid-May which have kil led 16 Egyptians. Countries:- EGZ Egypt, Africa. Industries:- P9229 Public Order and Safety, NEC. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times London Page 4 ============= Transaction # 110 ============================================== Transaction #: 110 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:09:56 Selec. Rec. #: 4 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT942-11098 _AN-EEJC9AHIFT 940 506 FT 06 MAY 94 / Insurers face Dollars 16m claims on S enna's death By RICHARD LAPPER Unde rwriters at the troubled Lloyd's of London and other insurers face claims of at least Dollars 16m (Pounds 11m) following the death last weekend of Ayrto n Senna, the racing driver. Increasing fears about the safety of some profes sional sports are also expected to force up premiums for specialised persona l accident cover. Senna, a three-times Formula One world champion, died from injuries sustained during the San Marino Grand Prix on May 1. He was covere d against death and injury by a personal accident policy, underwritten by in surance companies and Lloyd's syndicates. Typically, policies cover annual i ncome and medical and other expenses. Additional multi-million dollar insura nce claims are also expected to emerge on so-called 'death and disgrace' pol icies, which at least some of Senna's sponsors are understood to have taken out to cover any loss of advertising revenue and extra expenses resulting fr om his death or injury. One of these policies is thought to provide cover of at least Dollars 5m. A range of other companies also insured the value of e ndorsements - given by Senna in return for a fee - to their products. The pe rsonal accident payout looks likely to be the highest ever by insurers for a sportsman and is expected to lead to a contraction in this highly specialis ed corner of the insurance market. Senna's death came just a day after that of fellow grand prix driver Roland Ratzenberger at San Marino, and only a we ek after the death of another sportsman, the boxer Bradley Stone. Stone coll apsed last week hours after an unsuccessful challenge for the British super bantamweight title. Annual premium income from sports professionals' persona l accident premiums is estimated to amount to about Pounds 20m, of which bet ween 10 per cent and 15 per cent is generated by racing drivers. Professiona l soccer players account for up to 40 per cent of the total. Previous heavy claims include Dollars 14m paid to an American footballer paralysed after su staining critical injuries. 'This is one of the largest personal accident lo sses of any sportsman,' one broker said, predicting that rates could rise by up to 20 per cent. Senna, who was widely regarded as one of the best and sa fest grand prix drivers, is understood to have paid about Dollars 500,000 fo r a policy which covered accident and medical expenses. For the personal acc ident element of the policy, the basic rate of 0.75 per cent (of the sum ins ured) was at the lower end of the range of rates charged to racing drivers. Companies:- Lloyd's of London. Countries:- GBZ United Kingdom, EC. Industries:- P6411 Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service. Types:- COMP C ompany News. COSTS Product costs & Product prices. The Finan cial Times London Page 8 ============= Transaction # 111 ============================================== Transaction #: 111 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:10:11 Selec. Rec. #: 7 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-15264 _AN-CGCA3AALFT 920 703 FT 03 JUL 92 / World News in Brief: Playgroup death Police are investigating the death of a six-month-old gir l found with fatal head injuries at a playgroup in Milton Keynes, Bucks. The baby was asleep in an empty office while her mother helped supervise other children. The Financial Times London Page 1 ============= Transaction # 112 ============================================== Transaction #: 112 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:10:26 Selec. Rec. #: 10 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-887 _AN-DC1AGAB7FT 93032 7 FT 27 MAR 93 / When terror takes a toll: How internati onal tourist destinations are affected by political violence By MICHAEL SKAPINKER, NIKKI TAIT and MARK NICHOLSON A year ago, the Cairo Sheraton hotel was 75 per cent full. This month, 41 per cent of its rooms are occupied. Some Cairo hotels are just over a third full. One five-star hotel is charging only Dollars 28 a room. The Gama'a al- Islamiyya, the Islamic militant group which is seeking to destabilise the Eg yptian government, has deliberately targeted the country's tourist industry. Late last year, gunmen shot at tour buses in Upper Egypt, killing one Briti sh visitor. Earlier this year, two visitors were killed when a bomb exploded in a cafe in Cairo's Tahrir Square. Mr Fouad Sultan, the tourism minister, says earnings are down by a fifth on last year. Many in the industry conside r that an underestimate. The tourist ministry has hired Burson-Marsteller, t he world's biggest public relations company, and Saatchi & Saatchi to help i mprove the country's image. While terrorism and the murder of foreign visito rs can substantially damage a nation's tourism, the effect differs widely fr om country to country. As Egypt agonises over how to salvage its fastest gro wing industry and biggest foreign currency earner, the tourist businesses of other countries have been largely unaffected by terrorist and criminal viol ence. Third world destinations appear to suffer more than developed countrie s from attacks on tourists. Kenyan tourism was badly hit last year as a resu lt of publicity surrounding the trial of two game rangers accused of the mur der of British tourist Julie Ward in 1988, and by reports of other attacks o n tourists. By contrast, the murder of a British visitor in Florida last yea r had little effect on the state's tourism. Thomson, the UK's biggest travel group, said that while the depreciation of the pound against the dollar had deterred some British travellers, reports of violence had little effect. Si milarly, Egyptian tourism has been much more severely affected by terrorist incidents than the industries in the UK or the US. Despite years of widely-r eported deaths and injuries from IRA bombs, the British tourist industry has suffered little long-term damage. Mr Alan Jefferson, the British Tourist Au thority's international marketing director, says his offices abroad usually receive no more than a handful of calls after IRA attacks. One New York trav el agent said that, while some US tourists about to leave for the UK had ask ed about recent IRA bombs, they had decided to go ahead with their trips. Th e UK tourist industry has been more severely affected by events elsewhere. T he US bombing of Libya in 1986 contributed to a 4 per cent fall in visitors to 13.9m, as Americans, fearing terrorist reprisals, stayed at home. The Gul f War resulted in tourists to the UK falling to 16.7m in 1991, from 18m the year before. In the US, the bombing of New York's World Trade Centre last mo nth produced 'no significant cancellations', according to the city's Convent ion and Visitors Bureau. Airlines servicing the New York area also say that there has been very little impact on passenger traffic. The National Parks S ervice reports that the number of visitors to New York attractions such as t he Statue of Liberty and Ellis Island ran at about 3,500-4,000 daily during February, a typical number for the month. While tourist destinations such as Egypt and Kenya might feel they are the victims of double standards, travel industry executives say they suffer from a perception that they are societi es under siege. The futures of the US and British governments are not percei ved as being threatened by violent crime or terrorism. Although the IRA has bombed areas frequented by tourists, foreign visitors to the UK have not bee n specific targets as they have in Egypt. Mr Peter Kerkar, chief executive o f Cox & Kings Travel, a London-based company, argues that American visitors to the UK are behaving quite logically in ignoring IRA attacks but staying a t home during the Gulf War and in the wake of the bombing of Libya. 'The IRA is not singling out Americans. If they're involved in an IRA incident, it's because of bad luck. In the case of Libya, Americans were a target.' One Br itish travel industry manager points out that Florida, while plagued by viol ent crime, offers tourists a sense of safety, however illusory, that countri es such as Kenya and Egypt do not. 'America is familiar territory, where eve ryone speaks the same language and where half the TV programmes are the ones you see at home.' Mr Martin Brackenbury, president of the International Fed eration of Tour Operators, says there are a few general principles which cou ntries can apply when attempting to limit the damage caused to tourism by vi olence. 'The first is: never attempt to cover up. Clearly admit a problem if there is one. The second is to put in place measures which can clearly be s een to be effective,' he says. He says Kenya has responded constructively to Ifto recommendations. The Kenyan government has begun aerial surveillance o f game parks and has issued advice about which areas of Nairobi are consider ed dangerous. Mr Martin Thompson, managing director of the London-based tour operator Abercrombie & Kent, says his business to Kenya fell to 30,000 trav ellers last year from 34,000 in 1991 as a result of press coverage of violen ce in the country. However, he expects business to return to 1991 levels thi s year. The Egyptian authorities, after initially criticising the western me dia for what it described as a biased, exaggerated campaign, is now taking a ctive steps to restore the country's image. It has supplied more tourist pol ice, troops and helicopters to protect visitors at sites in Upper Egypt. Bot h the government and the country's tourism industry are now hoping that this iron-fisted policy will stem the terrorist attacks. Mr Taher el-Sharif, cha irman of the Egyptian Businessman's Association says: 'The problem is we jus t don't know when this will stop - unlike the Gulf War, when we knew there w ould eventually be an end.' Mr Brackenbury says that once a destination is p erceived as being safer, recovery for the tourist industry can be swift. 'Pe ople's memories are short,' he says. Reporting by Michael Skapinker, Nikki T ait and Mark Nicholson Countries:- XAZ World. Industries:- P7999 Amusement and Recreation, NEC. Types:- IND Industry profile. MKTS Shipments. GOVT Lega l issues. The Financial Times London Page 9 ============= Transaction # 113 ============================================== Transaction #: 113 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:11:32 Selec. Rec. #: 10 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-887 _AN-DC1AGAB7FT 93032 7 FT 27 MAR 93 / When terror takes a toll: How internati onal tourist destinations are affected by political violence By MICHAEL SKAPINKER, NIKKI TAIT and MARK NICHOLSON A year ago, the Cairo Sheraton hotel was 75 per cent full. This month, 41 per cent of its rooms are occupied. Some Cairo hotels are just over a third full. One five-star hotel is charging only Dollars 28 a room. The Gama'a al- Islamiyya, the Islamic militant group which is seeking to destabilise the Eg yptian government, has deliberately targeted the country's tourist industry. Late last year, gunmen shot at tour buses in Upper Egypt, killing one Briti sh visitor. Earlier this year, two visitors were killed when a bomb exploded in a cafe in Cairo's Tahrir Square. Mr Fouad Sultan, the tourism minister, says earnings are down by a fifth on last year. Many in the industry conside r that an underestimate. The tourist ministry has hired Burson-Marsteller, t he world's biggest public relations company, and Saatchi & Saatchi to help i mprove the country's image. While terrorism and the murder of foreign visito rs can substantially damage a nation's tourism, the effect differs widely fr om country to country. As Egypt agonises over how to salvage its fastest gro wing industry and biggest foreign currency earner, the tourist businesses of other countries have been largely unaffected by terrorist and criminal viol ence. Third world destinations appear to suffer more than developed countrie s from attacks on tourists. Kenyan tourism was badly hit last year as a resu lt of publicity surrounding the trial of two game rangers accused of the mur der of British tourist Julie Ward in 1988, and by reports of other attacks o n tourists. By contrast, the murder of a British visitor in Florida last yea r had little effect on the state's tourism. Thomson, the UK's biggest travel group, said that while the depreciation of the pound against the dollar had deterred some British travellers, reports of violence had little effect. Si milarly, Egyptian tourism has been much more severely affected by terrorist incidents than the industries in the UK or the US. Despite years of widely-r eported deaths and injuries from IRA bombs, the British tourist industry has suffered little long-term damage. Mr Alan Jefferson, the British Tourist Au thority's international marketing director, says his offices abroad usually receive no more than a handful of calls after IRA attacks. One New York trav el agent said that, while some US tourists about to leave for the UK had ask ed about recent IRA bombs, they had decided to go ahead with their trips. Th e UK tourist industry has been more severely affected by events elsewhere. T he US bombing of Libya in 1986 contributed to a 4 per cent fall in visitors to 13.9m, as Americans, fearing terrorist reprisals, stayed at home. The Gul f War resulted in tourists to the UK falling to 16.7m in 1991, from 18m the year before. In the US, the bombing of New York's World Trade Centre last mo nth produced 'no significant cancellations', according to the city's Convent ion and Visitors Bureau. Airlines servicing the New York area also say that there has been very little impact on passenger traffic. The National Parks S ervice reports that the number of visitors to New York attractions such as t he Statue of Liberty and Ellis Island ran at about 3,500-4,000 daily during February, a typical number for the month. While tourist destinations such as Egypt and Kenya might feel they are the victims of double standards, travel industry executives say they suffer from a perception that they are societi es under siege. The futures of the US and British governments are not percei ved as being threatened by violent crime or terrorism. Although the IRA has bombed areas frequented by tourists, foreign visitors to the UK have not bee n specific targets as they have in Egypt. Mr Peter Kerkar, chief executive o f Cox & Kings Travel, a London-based company, argues that American visitors to the UK are behaving quite logically in ignoring IRA attacks but staying a t home during the Gulf War and in the wake of the bombing of Libya. 'The IRA is not singling out Americans. If they're involved in an IRA incident, it's because of bad luck. In the case of Libya, Americans were a target.' One Br itish travel industry manager points out that Florida, while plagued by viol ent crime, offers tourists a sense of safety, however illusory, that countri es such as Kenya and Egypt do not. 'America is familiar territory, where eve ryone speaks the same language and where half the TV programmes are the ones you see at home.' Mr Martin Brackenbury, president of the International Fed eration of Tour Operators, says there are a few general principles which cou ntries can apply when attempting to limit the damage caused to tourism by vi olence. 'The first is: never attempt to cover up. Clearly admit a problem if there is one. The second is to put in place measures which can clearly be s een to be effective,' he says. He says Kenya has responded constructively to Ifto recommendations. The Kenyan government has begun aerial surveillance o f game parks and has issued advice about which areas of Nairobi are consider ed dangerous. Mr Martin Thompson, managing director of the London-based tour operator Abercrombie & Kent, says his business to Kenya fell to 30,000 trav ellers last year from 34,000 in 1991 as a result of press coverage of violen ce in the country. However, he expects business to return to 1991 levels thi s year. The Egyptian authorities, after initially criticising the western me dia for what it described as a biased, exaggerated campaign, is now taking a ctive steps to restore the country's image. It has supplied more tourist pol ice, troops and helicopters to protect visitors at sites in Upper Egypt. Bot h the government and the country's tourism industry are now hoping that this iron-fisted policy will stem the terrorist attacks. Mr Taher el-Sharif, cha irman of the Egyptian Businessman's Association says: 'The problem is we jus t don't know when this will stop - unlike the Gulf War, when we knew there w ould eventually be an end.' Mr Brackenbury says that once a destination is p erceived as being safer, recovery for the tourist industry can be swift. 'Pe ople's memories are short,' he says. Reporting by Michael Skapinker, Nikki T ait and Mark Nicholson Countries:- XAZ World. Industries:- P7999 Amusement and Recreation, NEC. Types:- IND Industry profile. MKTS Shipments. GOVT Lega l issues. The Financial Times London Page 9 ============= Transaction # 114 ============================================== Transaction #: 114 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:11:34 Selec. Rec. #: 10 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-887 _AN-DC1AGAB7FT 93032 7 FT 27 MAR 93 / When terror takes a toll: How internati onal tourist destinations are affected by political violence By MICHAEL SKAPINKER, NIKKI TAIT and MARK NICHOLSON A year ago, the Cairo Sheraton hotel was 75 per cent full. This month, 41 per cent of its rooms are occupied. Some Cairo hotels are just over a third full. One five-star hotel is charging only Dollars 28 a room. The Gama'a al- Islamiyya, the Islamic militant group which is seeking to destabilise the Eg yptian government, has deliberately targeted the country's tourist industry. Late last year, gunmen shot at tour buses in Upper Egypt, killing one Briti sh visitor. Earlier this year, two visitors were killed when a bomb exploded in a cafe in Cairo's Tahrir Square. Mr Fouad Sultan, the tourism minister, says earnings are down by a fifth on last year. Many in the industry conside r that an underestimate. The tourist ministry has hired Burson-Marsteller, t he world's biggest public relations company, and Saatchi & Saatchi to help i mprove the country's image. While terrorism and the murder of foreign visito rs can substantially damage a nation's tourism, the effect differs widely fr om country to country. As Egypt agonises over how to salvage its fastest gro wing industry and biggest foreign currency earner, the tourist businesses of other countries have been largely unaffected by terrorist and criminal viol ence. Third world destinations appear to suffer more than developed countrie s from attacks on tourists. Kenyan tourism was badly hit last year as a resu lt of publicity surrounding the trial of two game rangers accused of the mur der of British tourist Julie Ward in 1988, and by reports of other attacks o n tourists. By contrast, the murder of a British visitor in Florida last yea r had little effect on the state's tourism. Thomson, the UK's biggest travel group, said that while the depreciation of the pound against the dollar had deterred some British travellers, reports of violence had little effect. Si milarly, Egyptian tourism has been much more severely affected by terrorist incidents than the industries in the UK or the US. Despite years of widely-r eported deaths and injuries from IRA bombs, the British tourist industry has suffered little long-term damage. Mr Alan Jefferson, the British Tourist Au thority's international marketing director, says his offices abroad usually receive no more than a handful of calls after IRA attacks. One New York trav el agent said that, while some US tourists about to leave for the UK had ask ed about recent IRA bombs, they had decided to go ahead with their trips. Th e UK tourist industry has been more severely affected by events elsewhere. T he US bombing of Libya in 1986 contributed to a 4 per cent fall in visitors to 13.9m, as Americans, fearing terrorist reprisals, stayed at home. The Gul f War resulted in tourists to the UK falling to 16.7m in 1991, from 18m the year before. In the US, the bombing of New York's World Trade Centre last mo nth produced 'no significant cancellations', according to the city's Convent ion and Visitors Bureau. Airlines servicing the New York area also say that there has been very little impact on passenger traffic. The National Parks S ervice reports that the number of visitors to New York attractions such as t he Statue of Liberty and Ellis Island ran at about 3,500-4,000 daily during February, a typical number for the month. While tourist destinations such as Egypt and Kenya might feel they are the victims of double standards, travel industry executives say they suffer from a perception that they are societi es under siege. The futures of the US and British governments are not percei ved as being threatened by violent crime or terrorism. Although the IRA has bombed areas frequented by tourists, foreign visitors to the UK have not bee n specific targets as they have in Egypt. Mr Peter Kerkar, chief executive o f Cox & Kings Travel, a London-based company, argues that American visitors to the UK are behaving quite logically in ignoring IRA attacks but staying a t home during the Gulf War and in the wake of the bombing of Libya. 'The IRA is not singling out Americans. If they're involved in an IRA incident, it's because of bad luck. In the case of Libya, Americans were a target.' One Br itish travel industry manager points out that Florida, while plagued by viol ent crime, offers tourists a sense of safety, however illusory, that countri es such as Kenya and Egypt do not. 'America is familiar territory, where eve ryone speaks the same language and where half the TV programmes are the ones you see at home.' Mr Martin Brackenbury, president of the International Fed eration of Tour Operators, says there are a few general principles which cou ntries can apply when attempting to limit the damage caused to tourism by vi olence. 'The first is: never attempt to cover up. Clearly admit a problem if there is one. The second is to put in place measures which can clearly be s een to be effective,' he says. He says Kenya has responded constructively to Ifto recommendations. The Kenyan government has begun aerial surveillance o f game parks and has issued advice about which areas of Nairobi are consider ed dangerous. Mr Martin Thompson, managing director of the London-based tour operator Abercrombie & Kent, says his business to Kenya fell to 30,000 trav ellers last year from 34,000 in 1991 as a result of press coverage of violen ce in the country. However, he expects business to return to 1991 levels thi s year. The Egyptian authorities, after initially criticising the western me dia for what it described as a biased, exaggerated campaign, is now taking a ctive steps to restore the country's image. It has supplied more tourist pol ice, troops and helicopters to protect visitors at sites in Upper Egypt. Bot h the government and the country's tourism industry are now hoping that this iron-fisted policy will stem the terrorist attacks. Mr Taher el-Sharif, cha irman of the Egyptian Businessman's Association says: 'The problem is we jus t don't know when this will stop - unlike the Gulf War, when we knew there w ould eventually be an end.' Mr Brackenbury says that once a destination is p erceived as being safer, recovery for the tourist industry can be swift. 'Pe ople's memories are short,' he says. Reporting by Michael Skapinker, Nikki T ait and Mark Nicholson Countries:- XAZ World. Industries:- P7999 Amusement and Recreation, NEC. Types:- IND Industry profile. MKTS Shipments. GOVT Lega l issues. The Financial Times London Page 9 ============= Transaction # 115 ============================================== Transaction #: 115 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:11:56 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 8262 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 116 ============================================== Transaction #: 116 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:11:59 Selec. Rec. #: 12 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-8432 _AN-CHMBDAEXFT 9208 11 FT 11 AUG 92 / Observer: Spare room Hoteliers have been warned to hide the key to Room 44 . . . .at least if J apanese tourists arrive at reception. The word four sounds too much like the Japanese for death and should be avoided, says a new guide from the Wales T ourist Board. The Financial Times London Page 13 ============= Transaction # 117 ============================================== Transaction #: 117 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:12:24 Selec. Rec. #: 14 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT932-13257 _AN-DDZBRAEWFT 930 423 FT 23 APR 93 / World News in Brief: Death sentence f or fundamentalists Seven Egyptian Moslem militants were s entenced to death by a military court near Cairo for charges that included a ttacks on foreign tourists and conspiring to topple the government. Countries:- EGZ Egypt, Africa. Industries:- P9229 Public Order and Safety, NEC. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times International Pag e 1 ============= Transaction # 118 ============================================== Transaction #: 118 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:12:47 Selec. Rec. #: 18 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-12108 _AN-EKCEGABGFT 941 103 FT 03 NOV 94 / Sihanouk warns off tourists By AP and REUTER PHNOM PENH King Norodom Sihanouk, Cambodia's head of state (left), warned tou rists yesterday to avoid his country as the bodies of three western hostages killed by Khmer Rouge rebels were recovered, bound and shot, from graves fo und near a southern rebel base. Saying Cambodia was 'clearly insecure', he j oined foreign embassies in advising tourists to avoid Cambodia. 'I condemn w ith the greatest severity the contemptible and unpardonable murderers who ar e responsible for the deaths of these three young gentlemen,' said the king. Mr Serey Kosal, deputy governor of Battambang province, said the Khmer Roug e had kidnapped 71 villagers and then executed 50 of them after a four-day f orced march to a guerrilla base. Countries:- KHZ Cam bodia, Asia. Industries:- P9229 Public Order and Safety , NEC. P9721 International Affairs. Types:- NEWS G eneral News. The Financial Times London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 119 ============================================== Transaction #: 119 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:13:04 Selec. Rec. #: 18 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-12108 _AN-EKCEGABGFT 941 103 FT 03 NOV 94 / Sihanouk warns off tourists By AP and REUTER PHNOM PENH King Norodom Sihanouk, Cambodia's head of state (left), warned tou rists yesterday to avoid his country as the bodies of three western hostages killed by Khmer Rouge rebels were recovered, bound and shot, from graves fo und near a southern rebel base. Saying Cambodia was 'clearly insecure', he j oined foreign embassies in advising tourists to avoid Cambodia. 'I condemn w ith the greatest severity the contemptible and unpardonable murderers who ar e responsible for the deaths of these three young gentlemen,' said the king. Mr Serey Kosal, deputy governor of Battambang province, said the Khmer Roug e had kidnapped 71 villagers and then executed 50 of them after a four-day f orced march to a guerrilla base. Countries:- KHZ Cam bodia, Asia. Industries:- P9229 Public Order and Safety , NEC. P9721 International Affairs. Types:- NEWS G eneral News. The Financial Times London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 120 ============================================== Transaction #: 120 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:13:05 Selec. Rec. #: 18 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-12108 _AN-EKCEGABGFT 941 103 FT 03 NOV 94 / Sihanouk warns off tourists By AP and REUTER PHNOM PENH King Norodom Sihanouk, Cambodia's head of state (left), warned tou rists yesterday to avoid his country as the bodies of three western hostages killed by Khmer Rouge rebels were recovered, bound and shot, from graves fo und near a southern rebel base. Saying Cambodia was 'clearly insecure', he j oined foreign embassies in advising tourists to avoid Cambodia. 'I condemn w ith the greatest severity the contemptible and unpardonable murderers who ar e responsible for the deaths of these three young gentlemen,' said the king. Mr Serey Kosal, deputy governor of Battambang province, said the Khmer Roug e had kidnapped 71 villagers and then executed 50 of them after a four-day f orced march to a guerrilla base. Countries:- KHZ Cam bodia, Asia. Industries:- P9229 Public Order and Safety , NEC. P9721 International Affairs. Types:- NEWS G eneral News. The Financial Times London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 121 ============================================== Transaction #: 121 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:13:31 Selec. Rec. #: 24 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT921-16085 _AN-CAGBXAAAFT 920 107 FT 07 JAN 92 / World News in Brief: Angolan robbers blamed Angolan rebel leader Jonas Savimbi denied his Unit a fighters were responsible for the deaths of four British tourists, blaming robbers. The Financial Times London Page 1 ============= Transaction # 122 ============================================== Transaction #: 122 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:13:42 Selec. Rec. #: 24 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT921-16085 _AN-CAGBXAAAFT 920 107 FT 07 JAN 92 / World News in Brief: Angolan robbers blamed Angolan rebel leader Jonas Savimbi denied his Unit a fighters were responsible for the deaths of four British tourists, blaming robbers. The Financial Times London Page 1 ============= Transaction # 123 ============================================== Transaction #: 123 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:13:43 Selec. Rec. #: 24 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT921-16085 _AN-CAGBXAAAFT 920 107 FT 07 JAN 92 / World News in Brief: Angolan robbers blamed Angolan rebel leader Jonas Savimbi denied his Unit a fighters were responsible for the deaths of four British tourists, blaming robbers. The Financial Times London Page 1 ============= Transaction # 124 ============================================== Transaction #: 124 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:13:48 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 8262 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 125 ============================================== Transaction #: 125 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:13:59 Selec. Rec. #: 26 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT924-14291 _AN-CJKABAC1FT 921 010 FT 10 OCT 92 / Finance & The Family: Lloyds offers a ccident cover Accident insurance is being launched by Llo yds bank to provide a lump sum for injury, disability or death. The policy w ill also pay out for loss of a limb or loss of sight or hearing. Premiums ar e between Pounds 5.95 to Pounds 9.25 a month. The two levels of cover provid e a lump sum disability payment of Pounds 60,000 or Pounds 100,000. Insurers adapt to different lives, Page VI The Financial Times < PAGE> London Page II ============= Transaction # 126 ============================================== Transaction #: 126 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:14:06 Selec. Rec. #: 27 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT943-10675 _AN-EHEC9AE5FT 940 803 FT 03 AUG 94 / World News in Brief: Kuwait distribut es compensation Kuwait distributed the first compensation it has received as a result of Iraq's 1990-91 occupation, passing on Dollar s 1,397,500 to 303 people who suffered the death of a close relative or seri ous personal injury. Countries:- KWZ Kuwait, Middle East. Industries:- P9721 International Affairs. < XX> Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times

International Page 1
============= Transaction # 127 ============================================== Transaction #: 127 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:14:24 Selec. Rec. #: 31 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT931-1869 _AN-DCXAWAF0FT 9303 23 FT 23 MAR 93 / Jamaica takes steps to curb election v iolence By CANUTE JAMES KING STON JAMAICA'S political leaders have signed a code of co nduct in an attempt to reduce party political violence in the last week of c ampaigning for next Tuesday's general election. The code, which constrains p oliticians from statements and action which could inflame political passions , follows clashes between party factions and which the police say have cause d six deaths and several injuries. A similar code of conduct, signed before the last election four years ago, is credited with having reduced political tensions and violence. Police say 17 people were killed in incidents associa ted with party politics in the 1989 election. In 1980 about 600 of the 800 d eaths in Jamaica that year were attributed to party political violence in th e poll campaign. Public opinion polls published at the weekend have given Mr P J Patterson's incumbent People's National party a four-point lead over th e Jamaica Labour party of Mr Edward Seaga, a former prime minister. Countries:- JMZ Jamaica, Caribbean. Industries:- P8651 Political Organizations. P9121 Legislative Bodies. Types:- GOVT Government News. The Financial Time s London Page 10 ============= Transaction # 128 ============================================== Transaction #: 128 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:14:47 Selec. Rec. #: 32 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT933-7605 _AN-DHTCQADIFT 9308 20 FT 20 AUG 93 / Letters to the Editor: Spare a thought for European non-smokers From Mr ONESIMO ALVAREZ-MO RO Dr M Singer should spare a thought for us European non-s mokers who will not be returning to a country where smoking has been made al most unconstitutional (Letters, August 18 and 19). If a substantial majority of European residents are non-smokers, as statistics suggest, then the Euro pean tourist industry has a much bigger market to think about than Dr Singer suggests. Unfortunately, things move slowly and, while we are delighted to welcome Dr Singer back to our shores, US tourist dollars will probably not c ause the changes required. The real changes to protect non-smokers will happ en when that silent majority stands up and complains. Otherwise we will have to continue to rely on vocal US tourists and the one or two of us who are l abelled as cranks. Far from being an American pleasure, as Dr R M Davis sugg ests, smoking can be described as the true Montezuma's revenge, given all th e death and destruction it has caused. But come back to Europe soon, Dr Sing er, European non-smokers need all the help we can get. Onesimo Alvarez-Moro, O'Donnell, 6, A-9-1, 28009 Madrid, Spain Countries:- USZ United States of America. XGZ Europe. Industries:- P99 Nonclassifiable Establishments. Types:- NE WS General News. The Financial Times London Page 1 2 ============= Transaction # 129 ============================================== Transaction #: 129 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:15:12 Selec. Rec. #: 35 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT942-15049 _AN-EDRDZAARFT 940 418 FT 18 APR 94 / China holds three for boat deaths By AP BEIJING Under intense pressure to explain how 24 Taiwanese died in a boat fire, Ch ina announced yesterday the arrest of three men suspected of robbing and mur dering the tourists, AP reports from Beijing. China's failure to explain the mysterious boat fire that killed 32 people - eight mainland Chinese and the Taiwanese tourists - on a lake in eastern China on March 31 has been threat ening the growing detente between the two sides. Taiwan announced plans last week to ban travel to China and to suspend cultural exchanges unless Beijin g gave a satisfactory explanation. After first describing the fire as an acc ident China said on its national television news that the Taiwanese had been robbed and murdered on Thousand Island Lake by three young men. Countries:- CNZ China, Asia. Industries:- P9221 Police Protection. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times London Page 3 ============= Transaction # 130 ============================================== Transaction #: 130 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:15:19 Selec. Rec. #: 35 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT942-15049 _AN-EDRDZAARFT 940 418 FT 18 APR 94 / China holds three for boat deaths By AP BEIJING Under intense pressure to explain how 24 Taiwanese died in a boat fire, Ch ina announced yesterday the arrest of three men suspected of robbing and mur dering the tourists, AP reports from Beijing. China's failure to explain the mysterious boat fire that killed 32 people - eight mainland Chinese and the Taiwanese tourists - on a lake in eastern China on March 31 has been threat ening the growing detente between the two sides. Taiwan announced plans last week to ban travel to China and to suspend cultural exchanges unless Beijin g gave a satisfactory explanation. After first describing the fire as an acc ident China said on its national television news that the Taiwanese had been robbed and murdered on Thousand Island Lake by three young men. Countries:- CNZ China, Asia. Industries:- P9221 Police Protection. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times London Page 3 ============= Transaction # 131 ============================================== Transaction #: 131 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:15:20 Selec. Rec. #: 35 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT942-15049 _AN-EDRDZAARFT 940 418 FT 18 APR 94 / China holds three for boat deaths By AP BEIJING Under intense pressure to explain how 24 Taiwanese died in a boat fire, Ch ina announced yesterday the arrest of three men suspected of robbing and mur dering the tourists, AP reports from Beijing. China's failure to explain the mysterious boat fire that killed 32 people - eight mainland Chinese and the Taiwanese tourists - on a lake in eastern China on March 31 has been threat ening the growing detente between the two sides. Taiwan announced plans last week to ban travel to China and to suspend cultural exchanges unless Beijin g gave a satisfactory explanation. After first describing the fire as an acc ident China said on its national television news that the Taiwanese had been robbed and murdered on Thousand Island Lake by three young men. Countries:- CNZ China, Asia. Industries:- P9221 Police Protection. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times London Page 3 ============= Transaction # 132 ============================================== Transaction #: 132 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:15:26 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 8262 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 133 ============================================== Transaction #: 133 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:15:34 Selec. Rec. #: 37 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT932-4001 _AN-DFKB5ACJFT 9306 11 FT 11 JUN 93 / IRA admits planting two Tyneside bombs By CHRIS TIGHE THE IRA claimed res ponsibility yesterday for setting off bombs at two industrial compounds on T yneside within 24 hours. The first incident, in which a Gateshead gasholder was damaged by an explosion and fire in the first few minutes of Wednesday m orning, was followed late on Wednesday night by two explosions at an Esso pe trol and oil storage terminal in North Shields. No deaths or injuries result ed, although no advance warnings were given. Mr David Mellish, assistant chi ef constable of Northumbria, said it seemed the aim was was to achieve maxim um damage and publicity rather than injury. 'But, because of the nature of t he gas and petrol involved at both scenes, it could have had potentially tre mendous implications,' he said. The Esso terminal was bombed by the IRA only seven weeks ago. 'It's not only embarrassing, it's extremely annoying,' sai d Esso. Last May, the IRA admitted planting 11 incendiary devices at the nea rby MetroCentre shopping complex. Newcastle University politics lecturer Mr David George, a terrorism specialist, warned that the region's large number of Far East companies were a potential target. In its statement the IRA warn ed; 'The British establishment are obviously slow learners, but we in the IR A are patient teachers.' Countries:- GBZ United King dom, EC. Industries:- P9229 Public Order and Safety, NE C. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times London Page 9 ============= Transaction # 134 ============================================== Transaction #: 134 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:15:46 Selec. Rec. #: 38 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT942-3936 _AN-EFMDJABEFT 9406 13 FT 13 JUN 94 / Death sentence for attack on Taiwanese By AGENCIES TAIPEI Yu Aijon, handcuffed, is flanked by police as he leaves the Hangz hou People's Court yesterday after being sentenced to death along with two o ther men for the murder of 32 Taiwanese tourists on a pleasure boat in China 's coastal Zhejiang province on March 31, Agencies report from Taipei. Delic ate relations between Beijing and Taipei reached their lowest ebb after the attack, but bilateral relations appeared to improve after China arrested the three men in April. Taiwan plans to hold a new round of high-level talks wi th the mainland Chinese government in Taipei in August, according to a Taiwa nese newspaper. The Straits Exchange Foundation plans to invite Mr Tang Shub ei, secretary-general of China's Association for Relations Across the Taiwan Strait, to travel to Taipei in August for talks on how to expand contacts b etween the two bodies, the China Times reported. Countries:- CNZ China, Asia. TWZ Taiwan, Asia. Industries:- P9211 Courts. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times London Page 5 ============= Transaction # 135 ============================================== Transaction #: 135 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:16:16 Selec. Rec. #: 46 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT942-7353 _AN-EEZDOABHFT 9405 26 FT 26 MAY 94 / Taiwan ends China travel ban By AP TAIPEI Taiwa nese travel agents lifted a 25-day boycott against China yesterday, despite lingering anger over the death of 24 Taiwanese tourists in eastern China two months ago, AP reports from Taipei. The boycott was part of Taiwan's reacti on to allegations that the tourists were robbed and murdered and that China covered up the facts. But the attempt to punish China appeared to have ended with travel agents and the government each saying the boycott was the other 's initiative. Travel agents say about 20,000 cancelled tours have cost them revenues of between TDollars 40m to TDollars 100m (Pounds 1m to Pounds 2.5m ). Last year about 1.5m Taiwanese travelled to China, pumping Dollars 3bn in to the Chinese tourism industry. The Taipei Association of Travel Agents sai d the lifting of the boycott was approved by the Mainland Affairs Council, w hich makes Taiwan's mainland policy in the absence of official China-Taiwan ties. Mr Micky Chen, the council's director of economic affairs, said the go vernment had never encouraged organised tours to China, believing it to be a dangerous place, but was in no position to impose travel bans. 'It was trav el agents who started the boycott,' he said in an interview. China and Taiwa n do not recognise each other, and their trade and tourism links, while taci tly approved by both governments, are unofficial. The bodies of the tourists and eight Chinese crewmen were found in the burned-out hulk of a pleasure b oat on Thousand Islands Lake in Zhejiang province. The victims' relatives co mplained that they were denied information and harassed when they visited th e lake. Countries:- CNZ China, Asia. TWZ Taiwan , Asia. Industries:- P4724 Travel Agencies. P4725 T our Operators. Types:- NEWS General News. T he Financial Times London Page 7 ============= Transaction # 136 ============================================== Transaction #: 136 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:16:25 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 8262 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 137 ============================================== Transaction #: 137 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:16:26 Selec. Rec. #: 48 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT921-15976 _AN-CAGBXADBFT 920 107 FT 07 JAN 92 / Savimbi deplores killings By REUTER ABIDJAN AN GOLAN opposition leader Jonas Savimbi said yesterday his former rebels were not responsible for the deaths of four British travellers killed in an ambus h, Reuter reports from Abidjan. However, Mr Savimbi, head of the Unita movem ent, also said at a press conference in the Ivory Coast that while he deplor ed the killing of tourists, he did not think it was wise for foreigners to t ravel in a country which had just ended a civil war. He blamed robbers for t he attack, near a base where thousands of former Unita rebels are confined. The Financial Times London Page 4 ============= Transaction # 138 ============================================== Transaction #: 138 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:17:19 Selec. Rec. #: 54 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT911-3396 _AN-BDYBFAAWFT 9104 25 FT 25 APR 91 / Survey of Greece (14): Foreign visitor s set to fall at least 10% - How the country's tourist bodies and hoteliers are trying to win back lost trade By KERIN HOPE ZEUS XENIOS, the ancient Greek god in charge of offering hospit ality to strangers, seems to have turned his back on the tourist industry. F or the third time in six years, a disastrous plunge in bookings threatens to wreck a promising year for earnings. Once again, a US travel warning to its nationals to avoid the eastern Mediterranean because of the risk of terrori st attacks following the Gulf war is scaring off the high-spending sector of the Greek market: Japanese honeymooners, incentive groups and conference or ganisers as well as the older Americans who like cruising in the Aegean. Sim ilar advice in 1985 was blamed for two unfavourable seasons that followed. T hen came a terrorist attack aboard a cruise ship in 1988. This year a series of bomb explosions damaged foreign bank branches and tourist buses and a ba dly aimed rocket narrowly missed a luxury hotel. There were no injuries but concerns over visitors' safety have revived. As in the past, the Greek Touri st Organisation (EOT) is trying to win back lost trade through heavier adver tising. This year's campaign will cost Dr6bn (Dollars 33m). It is being co-o rdinated for the first time by a group of Athens advertising agencies with i nternational affiliations. This, it is hoped, will prove more effective than relying on haphazard media-buying by EOT offices abroad. Senior Greek touri sm officials have visited the big tour operators in Britain and Germany, the ir two main markets, as well as the US, offering reassurances about airport security and the government's determination to crack down on terrorism. 'We constantly point out that Athens is still one of the safest cities in Europe for visitors, in spite of what has been going on,' says Mr Nikos Iatrakos, EOT's secretary-general. 'However, we still face a considerable drop in numb ers this year, 10 per cent at minimum but perhaps as much as 20 per cent.' I n 1990, tourist arrivals reached a record 9.3m, a 9 per cent increase over t he previous year's 8.5m, the average figure for most of the past decade. Off icial foreign exchange inflows totalled Dollars 2.57bn, up from Dollars 1.89 bn in 1989. But if credit card purchases, cruise earnings and tour operators ' commissions paid abroad are counted in, overall tourist earnings rose to D ollars 4.1bn, almost 6 per cent of GDP. Income for 1991 was expected to be w ell over Dollars 5bn but 'now we'll be lucky to maintain last year's levels, ' says Mr Iatrakos. The worst-affected region this year will undoubtedly be Athens. Despite its chronic traffic and pollution problems it remains the fo cus for most conferences and incentive tours and a starting point for the cl assical tours favoured by the Americans and Japanese. Hopes of substantially boosting tourism in the capital during the 1990s suffered a setback last au tumn with the failure of Athens' bid to stage the 1996 Olympic Games. Advanc e bookings for the Mediterranean Games in July, one of several major sports events planned as dress rehearsals for an Athens Olympics, are disappointing , according to the organisers. But amid the general gloom, tourist officials note one optimistic pointer for the future: the sale of the 100-year-old Gr ande Bretagne Hotel, to a Dutch-based investment company which has transferr ed management to Ciga, the international hotel group. As a family-run establ ishment, Athens' best-known luxury hotel could barely make ends meet, with o ccupancy averaging only 55 per cent in recent years. Ciga is expected to inv est considerably in refurbishing to bring the Grande Bretagne's facilities u p to the standard of its other traditional luxury hotels around Europe. 'The presence of a really top-quality hotel in Athens will upgrade the surroundi ng area and encourage other hotels to try harder,' says Mr Iatrakos. The gov ernment is already trying to ensure that older first-class hotels around Gre ece, including some in spectacular settings, are upgraded to the standards o f increasingly demanding guests. It is breaking up a state-controlled hotel chain and offering individual units to private operators on long-term leases . Improving hotel facilities is one of the easier ways of attracting more ol der, wealthier tourists, something Greece has been trying to do for years bu t without conspicuous success. With 433,000 hotel beds, Greece has no shorta ge of accommodation. But many large island resort hotels built in the boom y ears of the 1970s have not been maintained to international tour operators' standards. Occupancy levels in Corfu and Rhodes have slipped in recent years . It is no coincidence that the one area where bookings picked up sharply on ce the Gulf war ended was Crete, which boasts some of the best-run hotels in Greece. Last year the island drew over 1.7m tourists, close to 25 per cent of total arrivals. 'Large-scale tourism didn't start in Crete till the early 1980s. The resort hotels are newer and better managed and many of the mista kes made elsewhere were avoided. As a result, we get a very high proportion of return visitors,' says Mr Thanos Habipis, chairman of the Cretan Hotelier s' Federation. The Financial Times London Page VI Photograph The main square in Heraklion, Crete - where bookings picked up a fter the Gulf War ended (Omitted). ============= Transaction # 139 ============================================== Transaction #: 139 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:18:09 Selec. Rec. #: 55 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-18914 _AN-EJBBDAAZFT 941 001 FT 01 OCT 94 / Indian food exports hit by plague pan ic By STEFAN WAGSTYL NEW DEL HI India's businessmen were yesterday counting the growin g economic cost of the plague, with tourism and food exports the two sectors hardest hit. The disease, which has killed about 50 people and left 2,000 o thers sick, has disrupted the travel trade and exports. Hotels and tour oper ators, gearing up for the start of the tourist season, have reported cancell ations by groups from Europe, the Far East and North America. Some business visitors have cancelled trips. At least three trade fairs have been postpone d. Trade with the Gulf states, worth Dollars 3bn a year, has been badly hit by the decision by Gulf governments to close air and sea links with India. T he biggest impact is on exporters of fresh food, who rely on the Gulf for 70 per cent of their overseas sales. Food exporters are having to cancel purch ases, put produce in store or try to sell domestically. 'After three years o f effort in promoting exports we are back at square one,' said Mr Gian Nega, assistant director of the Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export D evelopment Authority. Fresh food exports to the Gulf last year totalled Doll ars 177m. Health officials, including Dr N K Shah, the resident representati ve of the World Health Organisation, accused the Gulf countries and other st ates which have cut trade links of over-reacting. The Indian government laun ched a publicity campaign aimed at calming the fears of tourists, business t ravellers and importers of Indian goods. Mr T Khanna, the commerce secretary , expressed concern at the potential damage to Indian trade. 'There's been a panic reaction from some of our trading partners. But I believe it will soo n blow over.' Speaking in London, Mr Manmohan Singh, the finance minister, s aid the countries which had imposed restrictions on travel and imports riske d hampering efforts to deal with the problem. 'We are trying to create an at mosphere where people have confidence that plague is no longer an incurable disease,' he said. 'Creating an atmosphere of panic which drives the whole t hing underground would do a great disservice to both India and the outside w orld,' he said. An official of KLM, the Dutch airline, in Delhi said much ha rm had already been done. 'The whole image of India has already been affecte d.' He estimated 25-30 per cent of tourists who had planned to travel to Ind ia by KLM this week and next had called off their trips. Other European airl ines, including British Airways, Lufthansa and Swissair, also reported cance llations by tourist groups. Yesterday's most serious development in the spre ad of the plague were the deaths of an 18-year-old man and a five-year-old b oy in Delhi. They were the first deaths outside the western city of Surat an d its neighbourhood, where pneumonic plague erupted last week. The tally of suspected cases rose by about 700 yesterday to 2,500, mainly in Surat and in remote eastern Maharashtra, where bubonic plague broke out a month ago. Ind ia's exports in August were Dollars 2.11bn, some 24.6 per cent higher than t he same month last year. This followed four months of sluggish performance w hich gave rise to concern about future prospects. Figures published yesterda y by the commerce ministry showed exports in the five months to August were 10.6 per cent up, compared with 8.3 per cent for the four months to July. Bu t the growth rate is still below the annual target of 15 per cent or more. < /TEXT> Countries:- INZ India, Asia. Industries:- P9311 Finance, Taxation, and Monetary Policy. P9721 Internatio nal Affairs. P01 Agricultural Production-Crops. P02 Agricultural Production-Livestock. Types:- ECON Economic Indicator s. NEWS General News. MKTS Foreign trade. The Financial Times London Page 3 ============= Transaction # 140 ============================================== Transaction #: 140 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:18:46 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 8262 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 141 ============================================== Transaction #: 141 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:18:48 Selec. Rec. #: 60 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-14159 _AN-EJYD1ABAFT 941 025 FT 25 OCT 94 / Sri Lanka counts cost of bombing By STEFAN WAGSTYL and REUTER NEW DELHI, COLOMBO The assassination on Sunday of Mr Gamini Dissanayake, the Sri Lankan opposition leader, is a grim reminder of the vio lence which permeates the island's politics. Mr Dissanayake's death comes le ss than 18 months after assassins claimed the lives of two other prominent p oliticians - Mr Lalith Athulathmudali, a close colleague of Mr Dissanayake, and President Ranasinghe Premadasa, who like Mr Dissanayake was blown up in the middle of a crowd by a suicide bomber. In each case the security forces suspect the hand of the LTTE, the Tamil Tiger separatist militants fighting for an independent homeland for ethnic Tamils in the north. But the LTTE yes terday denied it was involved, and police have not in the past found enough evidence to prove their suspicions. Police in the capital Colombo said yeste rday a Tamil woman suicide bomber whose severed head was found on top of a t wo-storey building was responsible for the blast, which killed 52 people. Th e tradition of violence predates the LTTE, going back at least as far as the assassination of the late prime minister, Mr Solomon Bandaranaike, who was killed in 1959 by a disgruntled Buddhist monk. Mr Dissanayake's bloody death at the age of 52 brings shock, confusion and uncertainty to Sri Lankan poli tics. Its impact also seems likely to spread to the economy, particularly th e tourist industry. The immediate effect is to rob the opposition United Nat ional party of its presidential candidate for the election which is due to b e held next month in which Mr Dissanayake was running against Mrs Chandrika Kumaratunge, the prime minister. The government, while postponing indefinite ly peace talks set for yesterday with the Tamil rebels, said the November 9 presidential poll would go ahead despite the attack. Mr Dissanayake was an u rbane, western-educated lawyer on the UNP's conservative wing. He had little chance of winning against Mrs Kumaratunge, who won a general election only in August when she took power from a UNP jaded after 17 years' rule. But Mr Dissanayake had gone some way to rebuilding party morale. His place could no w be taken by Mr Ranil Wickremasinghe, who was prime minister until August, or possibly by the incumbent president and UNP elder statesman, Mr D B Wijet unga. Either man might hope to capitalise on a possible wave of sympathy amo ng the majority Sinhalese for Mr Dissanayake or for the tough pro-military p olicy he supported on the Tigers - a policy which may have cost him his life . Equally important, Mr Dissanayake's death has called into question Mrs Kum aratunge's whole approach to the Tamil question. She was elected on a promis e to try to make peace with the LTTE, a promise which she has bravely and ra pidly attempted to put into effect by moves including lifting an economic em bargo on the Tigers' northern stronghold in the Jaffna peninsula. Government officials this month started talks with LTTE representatives. Despite conti nuing LTTE attacks on Sri Lankan targets, including ships, Mrs Kumaratunge p ersisted with the peace effort. Against the advice of army officers, she tru sted ambiguous peace messages put out by Mr V Prabakaran, the LTTE leader. N ow her strategy has been thrown into jeopardy. The Colombo stock market was closed yesterday amid an island-wide curfew imposed after the attack. Mr Jay adeva Uyangoda, an economist attached to Colombo University, said the econom y would suffer in the short term due to the attack. 'Long term stability wil l depend on any social unrest and the overall political situation,' he added . 'In the past, such dramatic assassinations have not impacted on society, w hich has come to terms with the deaths of major political figures. Foreign i nvestors will react only if there is social unrest. Otherwise they will wait and see what happens before taking the next step.' Sri Lanka has shown amaz ing resilience to political deaths. Even last year's two assassinations did not throw the country's democratic institutions into disarray: there was lit tle street violence and this year's general election was peaceful and judged to be fair. The economy has continued to grow, with gross domestic product up 5.7 per cent last year; the tourists have kept coming. Yet it is hard to believe that Sri Lanka can forever enjoy its economic success and holiday pa radise reputation while the streets of Colombo are regularly soaked in blood . Countries:- LKZ Sri Lanka, Asia. Indust ries:- P9229 Public Order and Safety, NEC. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Times Londo n Page 6 ============= Transaction # 142 ============================================== Transaction #: 142 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:19:18 Selec. Rec. #: 63 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT944-18821 _AN-EJBBDADKFT 941 001 FT 01 OCT 94 / India steps up efforts to tackle plag ue By CLIVE COOKSON and STEFAN WAGSTYL LONDON, NEW DELHI Indian authorities yesterday stepped up efforts to stop the spread of pneumonic plague, while struggling to contain the economic threat posed by the growing number of overseas trav el restrictions. The disease claimed the lives of two people in the capital, Delhi, yesterday -the first reported deaths outside the western city of Su rat where plague broke out last week. The deaths pushed the official death t oll to more than 50, while the number of suspected plague cases rose to 2,50 0. Meanwhile, officials in the capital moved to close all schools and cinema s to prevent the plague bacteria spreading - and advised residents to cover their faces with masks or handkerchiefs in crowded places. The authorities' efforts have so far failed to reassure overseas governments and visitors. KL M, the Dutch airline, said that 25-30 per cent of tourists who had planned t o travel to India by KLM this week and next had called off their trips. In t he UK, Thomson, the largest holiday company, cancelled its Indian tours sche duled for the first two weeks of October. Beach holidays in Goa would go ahe ad, although people who decided to cancel would receive full refunds. The mo ve came as many Asian and Middle Eastern governments banned all flights to a nd from India, and several European states imposed new medical checks on pas sengers arriving from the country. The UK health department said its plague surveillance system had identified eight people showing flu-like symptoms 'w ho may be infected'. But the Communicable Diseases Surveillance Centre said later that medical tests had cleared seven of them, while the eighth was unl ikely to have the plague. Dr Kenneth Calman, Britain's chief medical officer , said the system would pick up more suspect cases. 'Should any cases be con firmed, they will be treated effectively with routinely available antibiotic s,' he said. Mr Manmohan Singh, the Indian finance minister who is visiting London, attacked countries that had imposed travel and trade restrictions on India. Indian food exports hit, Page 3 Countries:- I NZ India, Asia. Industries:- P9431 Administration of P ublic Health Programs. P9721 International Affairs. Types:- < /XX> NEWS General News. The Financial Times Lo ndon Page 22 ============= Transaction # 143 ============================================== Transaction #: 143 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:19:35 Selec. Rec. #: 65 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT932-14950 _AN-DDPB8AA8FT 930 416 FT 16 APR 93 / S Africa counts the cost of mass acti on By PATTI WALDMEIR JOHANNE SBURG SOUTH AFRICA was yesterday counting the political a nd economic cost of Wednesday's national protest strike which left 17 people dead. Yesterday an angry mob attacked two whites in the black homeland of T ranskei less than 48 hours after the slaying of two white South African tour ists, police said. The death toll from Wednesday's protest rose to 17 after 11 people were massacred in Natal province following a commemoration rally f or slain African National Congress leader Chris Hani. However, it was not cl ear how closely the deaths were related to the ANC protest, given that such massacres have become a regular occurrence in Natal. There were further viol ent incidents in Port Elizabeth, Cape Town and on the East Rand near Johanne sburg. The black township of Soweto was reported quiet. Further mass protest s are planned for tomorrow, Sunday and Monday, raising the risk of further v iolence. The ANC has called another national protest strike for Monday, the day Mr Hani will be buried. Yesterday it appeared the political impact of th e Hani assassination might prove positive, as the South African government a nnounced it would drop crucial preconditions to the establishment of the fir st phase of a multi-racial interim government, the Transitional Executive Co uncil. The council would include representatives of all the main parties, an d would have sub-councils to advise and monitor government actions in areas such as law and order, defence, finance and foreign affairs. Mr Roelf Meyer, the ANC's chief negotiator, said the government would no longer insist that the 26 parties to the multi-party negotiating forum agree a transitional co nstitution before this council could be formed. This removes a big obstacle to formation of the Council, which Mr Meyer said could be agreed by May. How ever, he cautioned that some parties, such as the Inkatha Freedom Party, mig ht object, causing further delays. Inkatha believes there should be no exten ded transition to full democracy. Meanwhile, the US state department advised Americans to stay away from black homelands and townships in South Africa. Transkei leader Major-General Bantu Holomisa said armed police were being se nt to protect tourists in the homeland's popular coastal resorts, but South Africans were advised to avoid Transkei. Ms Michelle Cohen, executive direct or of the US chamber of commerce, said she knew of businessmen, representing US companies which stuck with South Africa through sanctions, curtailing vi sits to the country because of the turmoil. She expected a hefty rise in the cost of insurance on trade with South Africa. 'We'll be on the same list as Vietnam. . . Sarajevo.' Countries:- ZAZ South Afric a, Africa. Industries:- P9721 International Affairs. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Time s London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 144 ============================================== Transaction #: 144 Transaction Code: 19 (Record Selected) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:19:54 Selec. Rec. #: 65 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT932-14950 _AN-DDPB8AA8FT 930 416 FT 16 APR 93 / S Africa counts the cost of mass acti on By PATTI WALDMEIR JOHANNE SBURG SOUTH AFRICA was yesterday counting the political a nd economic cost of Wednesday's national protest strike which left 17 people dead. Yesterday an angry mob attacked two whites in the black homeland of T ranskei less than 48 hours after the slaying of two white South African tour ists, police said. The death toll from Wednesday's protest rose to 17 after 11 people were massacred in Natal province following a commemoration rally f or slain African National Congress leader Chris Hani. However, it was not cl ear how closely the deaths were related to the ANC protest, given that such massacres have become a regular occurrence in Natal. There were further viol ent incidents in Port Elizabeth, Cape Town and on the East Rand near Johanne sburg. The black township of Soweto was reported quiet. Further mass protest s are planned for tomorrow, Sunday and Monday, raising the risk of further v iolence. The ANC has called another national protest strike for Monday, the day Mr Hani will be buried. Yesterday it appeared the political impact of th e Hani assassination might prove positive, as the South African government a nnounced it would drop crucial preconditions to the establishment of the fir st phase of a multi-racial interim government, the Transitional Executive Co uncil. The council would include representatives of all the main parties, an d would have sub-councils to advise and monitor government actions in areas such as law and order, defence, finance and foreign affairs. Mr Roelf Meyer, the ANC's chief negotiator, said the government would no longer insist that the 26 parties to the multi-party negotiating forum agree a transitional co nstitution before this council could be formed. This removes a big obstacle to formation of the Council, which Mr Meyer said could be agreed by May. How ever, he cautioned that some parties, such as the Inkatha Freedom Party, mig ht object, causing further delays. Inkatha believes there should be no exten ded transition to full democracy. Meanwhile, the US state department advised Americans to stay away from black homelands and townships in South Africa. Transkei leader Major-General Bantu Holomisa said armed police were being se nt to protect tourists in the homeland's popular coastal resorts, but South Africans were advised to avoid Transkei. Ms Michelle Cohen, executive direct or of the US chamber of commerce, said she knew of businessmen, representing US companies which stuck with South Africa through sanctions, curtailing vi sits to the country because of the turmoil. She expected a hefty rise in the cost of insurance on trade with South Africa. 'We'll be on the same list as Vietnam. . . Sarajevo.' Countries:- ZAZ South Afric a, Africa. Industries:- P9721 International Affairs. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Time s London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 145 ============================================== Transaction #: 145 Transaction Code: 22 (Record(s) Saved) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:19:55 Selec. Rec. #: 65 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT932-14950 _AN-DDPB8AA8FT 930 416 FT 16 APR 93 / S Africa counts the cost of mass acti on By PATTI WALDMEIR JOHANNE SBURG SOUTH AFRICA was yesterday counting the political a nd economic cost of Wednesday's national protest strike which left 17 people dead. Yesterday an angry mob attacked two whites in the black homeland of T ranskei less than 48 hours after the slaying of two white South African tour ists, police said. The death toll from Wednesday's protest rose to 17 after 11 people were massacred in Natal province following a commemoration rally f or slain African National Congress leader Chris Hani. However, it was not cl ear how closely the deaths were related to the ANC protest, given that such massacres have become a regular occurrence in Natal. There were further viol ent incidents in Port Elizabeth, Cape Town and on the East Rand near Johanne sburg. The black township of Soweto was reported quiet. Further mass protest s are planned for tomorrow, Sunday and Monday, raising the risk of further v iolence. The ANC has called another national protest strike for Monday, the day Mr Hani will be buried. Yesterday it appeared the political impact of th e Hani assassination might prove positive, as the South African government a nnounced it would drop crucial preconditions to the establishment of the fir st phase of a multi-racial interim government, the Transitional Executive Co uncil. The council would include representatives of all the main parties, an d would have sub-councils to advise and monitor government actions in areas such as law and order, defence, finance and foreign affairs. Mr Roelf Meyer, the ANC's chief negotiator, said the government would no longer insist that the 26 parties to the multi-party negotiating forum agree a transitional co nstitution before this council could be formed. This removes a big obstacle to formation of the Council, which Mr Meyer said could be agreed by May. How ever, he cautioned that some parties, such as the Inkatha Freedom Party, mig ht object, causing further delays. Inkatha believes there should be no exten ded transition to full democracy. Meanwhile, the US state department advised Americans to stay away from black homelands and townships in South Africa. Transkei leader Major-General Bantu Holomisa said armed police were being se nt to protect tourists in the homeland's popular coastal resorts, but South Africans were advised to avoid Transkei. Ms Michelle Cohen, executive direct or of the US chamber of commerce, said she knew of businessmen, representing US companies which stuck with South Africa through sanctions, curtailing vi sits to the country because of the turmoil. She expected a hefty rise in the cost of insurance on trade with South Africa. 'We'll be on the same list as Vietnam. . . Sarajevo.' Countries:- ZAZ South Afric a, Africa. Industries:- P9721 International Affairs. Types:- NEWS General News. The Financial Time s London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 146 ============================================== Transaction #: 146 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:20:07 Selec. Rec. #: 67 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-6166 _AN-CH0BVAB5FT 9208 26 FT 26 AUG 92 / Business and the Environment: Everyone 's losing their marbles - Haig Simonian describes the furore surrounding one of the world's most famous quarries By HAIG SIMONIA N In the marble quarries high above Carrara in Tuscany, whe re Michelangelo chose the slabs for his future masterpieces, an almighty row has broken out. Like hundreds of other squabbles between industry and envir onmentalists, it has driven a wedge between those concerned about pollution and the landscape and others more preoccupied with profits and peoples' live lihoods. But the battle between the marble quarriers of Carrara, on whom the town's economy largely depends, and the local council, supported by the Tus can regional administration, cuts much deeper than the gashes in the mountai ns from which marble has been extracted over the centuries and which are now at the heart of the rumpus. Under plans to develop the local Apuan park, th e name for the area which covers the mountains above Carrara and embraces mo st of the quarries, industrialists fear their businesses are at risk. Three high-altitude quarries have already closed owing to the enforcement of rules banning excavation above 1,200 metres. More could follow, they warn. For ma ny locals, not just in the marble business, the quarries, sawmills and assoc iated processing facilities which dominate the landscape are more intrinisic to Carrara, its history and surroundings, than any attempts to set up an in dustry-free zone in the hills. But for others, the park represents the first serious attempt by the authorities to check the unbridled expansion of the quarries since their origins. The business of quarrying the lightly grained white stone, for which Carrara is famous, has certainly left its mark. From a distance, especially in winter, visitors regularly mistake the huge white gashes along the local stretch of the Appenines, for snow. Only when they ap proach on roads like the narrow, twisty lane which leads up to the village o f Colonnata above Carrara, do they realise that what they are seeing are vas t white slices gorged out of the face of the rock. Elsewhere, the quarrying is less immediately striking, as at the disused workings which litter the ar ea. Often, they are all that is left of centuries of labour cutting hundreds of feet into the mountain, only to be abandoned when a vein has run out, or the stone has become too difficult to extract commercially. All around are piles of debris, testifying to the fact that often less than 10 per cent of the stone extracted is suitable for sale. For Simonetta Cattani Lazzareschi, head of the Carrara Industrialists' Association, the quarries are a thing o f beauty. 'Look,' she says, pointing to the workings above the churchyard at Colonnata, 'have you ever seen anything so splendid?' Lazzareschi, the only woman to head an Industrialists' Association in Italy, is not a lady to be crossed in a hurry. Her strong features betray the traits of the Greek and A rab craftsmen who, she says, were first brought into the region by the Roman s to work the stone. Perceptions of beauty are somewhat different at Carrara town hall, where Alberto Pincione is mayor. The marble-cladding of the mode rn, two-storey building highlights the trade's importance for the town, espe cially now that so much of the heavy public-sector industry brought into the area by Mussolini in the late 1920s has closed down, leaving 6,000 unemploy ed. 'No one wants to close the quarries,' he says. 'But they have to observe the rules on protecting the landscape and maintaining safety standards'. Bo th are touchy subjects within the left-leaning council, dominated until rece ntly by the Communist Party. 'There have been 44 deaths in the quarries sinc e 1977, and almost as many serious injuries,' says Vittorio Prayer, a local journalist. His fingers quickly find the page in a specialised medical magaz ine on industrial injuries showing a gruesome colour photograph of a huge ma rble block, one side spattered with blood. The quarrel now raging over the i mplications of the park is as complex as might be expected in a one-industry town, where the trade is dominated by a handful of aggressively independent entrepreneurial families which have, until recently, been left largely to t hemselves. The quarriers claim the park, first mooted in 1975, poses a more serious threat to their livelihoods than even the depression of the late 192 0s, which prompted Mussolini to develop many of the now defunct alternative sources of employment in the region. Since then, the number of people workin g in the quarries has fallen as new technology has replaced manual labour an d the highly fragmented quarries have been rationalised into the hands of re latively few families and big companies. Only about 1,900 people now work in quarrying, compared with around 14,000 at the beginning of the century. How ever, Lazzareschi reckons about 1,000 jobs hang on every one occupied in the mountains. The valleys and plain below the city echo to the repetitive grin ding of hundreds of sawmills operating around the clock to cut huge blocks o f marble into thin slices for cladding skyscrapers, making table tops and ev en gravestones. Around a quarter of the world's stone cutting facilites are in Carrara, according to the Industrialists' Association. The quarry owners fear that if the park one day receives national, rather than regional, statu s, all quarrying will have to stop. 'The rules governing national parks in I taly prohibit excavation,' says Lazzareschi. 'Given the poor financial state of the Tuscany region, the authorities are bound to try to shift the burden for the park to the state. That means we would close.' The demise of quarry ing would also threaten the substantial tourist business which has developed in its wake. The quarries and exposed peaks may not be aesthetically appeal ing to all, but they are often breathtaking and stand as historical monument s in their own right. 'Closure is crazy. It would put us all out of business ,' says Vannucci Venanzio, the owner of a small restaurant in Colonnata that lives off the marble and tourist trades. But according to Pincione: 'No one is talking about closing anything. But do you really call what has been don e to the hillsides beautiful? It wouldn't be allowed elsewhere in Europe.' U nder present rules, the quarry-owners have almost free rein over their sites , for which they pay a token rent, under concessions dating back to 1751. Th e council, which will this year make around L4.2bn (Pounds 2m) from a specia l tax on the amount of stone quarried, sees its role in enforcing the enviro nmental and safety rules which have been introduced since the 1980s but not always observed. 'Theoretically, the quarries should follow precise rules on how they cut into a hillside, not to change its shape without permission. A nd there should be regulations on cleaning up afterwards,' says Prayer. The briefest visit to the region demonstrates otherwise. The park, which advance d one step further last month with the appointment of a new management board , has now become the focal point for the wider dispute over future regulatio n. Although not yet a threat, its creation and the likely rise in bureaucrac y it will entail could obstruct the quarries' expansion, particularly as new stone-cutting technology has accelerated the rate of excavation. Meawnhile, the underlying issue of exerting control over an industry which is of immen se economic and cultural importance to the region but which may have grown a ccustomed to being left to itself in the past, remains unresolved. 'Environm ental legislation has increased steadily,' says one resident, who has follow ed the growing conflict closely. 'And rules now cover every part of the busi ness, including the sawmills, which pollute local rivers with marble powder and other chemicals for treating and polishing stone.' Behind the fighting t alk on both sides, there is undoubtedly room for compromise. It is almost in conceivable that anyone on Carrara's council would dream of closing the quar ries, on which the town so heavily relies. Nor are the quarry owners quite t he shameless exploiters some of their critics claim. But so far, their posit ions have not met. The Financial Times London Pag e 10 ============= Transaction # 147 ============================================== Transaction #: 147 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:20:26 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 8262 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 148 ============================================== Transaction #: 148 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:20:41 Selec. Rec. #: 76 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT921-13393 _AN-CAVBGAAZFT 920 122 FT 22 JAN 92 / Brazil launches drive to boost touris t industry By CHRISTINA LAMB RIO DE JANEIRO BRAZIL is launching an aggressive marketi ng campaign to recuperate its flagging tourist industry. Mr Ronaldo de Monte Rosa, head of Embratur, the state tourist authority, plans to double the nu mber of tourists and increase income from Dollars 1.4bn to Dollars 3bn (Poun ds 1.6bn) over the next five years. 'I want to seize the opportunity of the Earth Summit (to be hosted by Rio in June) to relaunch Brazil as a tourist d estination,' he says. To encourage investment, credit lines have been made a vailable by the National Development Bank. Tourism is to be declared an indu stry, giving investors incentives in terms of reduced import tariffs and ene rgy rates. Brazil might seem to be the ideal tourist location: 4,600 miles o f beaches, the world's largest rainforest. But in the past five years, the n umber of tourists has fallen from 2m to 1.08m, as potential visitors are det erred by social problems caused by economic crisis. Embratur has decided to fight back against the wave of bad publicity focusing on Rio's violence by s etting up offices overseas to inform the world about the Indian reserves and Brazilian food and music. Mr Monte Rosa's aims are to rescue Rio and show t he world what else Brazil has to offer, 'focusing on the north east and Amaz onia'. Despite Brazil's many natural advantages, this is no easy task. Mr Mo nte Rosa has finally persuaded Rio's state government to invest in a 'securi ty for tourists' programme, by showing that it has lost Dollars 400m a year for the past five years in tourism revenue. But he would like to divert tour ists to Amazonia and the north-east, Brazil's poorest but most scenic and cu lturally rich area. The Financial Times London Pa ge 4 ============= Transaction # 149 ============================================== Transaction #: 149 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:21:33 Selec. Rec. #: 79 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT922-5263 _AN-CFAA4ADBFT 9206 01 FT 01 JUN 92 / Riverbus survives storm at Canary Whar f By JOHN AUTHERS RIVERBUS, the Tha mes passenger service, won a reprieve yesterday when Ernst & Young, the admi nistrators of Canary Wharf, said it could continue even though it depends on Olympia & York, which owns the crisis-ridden building, as its main backer. The high-speed service, which runs between Chelsea and Greenwich, is underpi nned financially by O&Y and has so far made big losses. Since its launch in the mid 1980s it has needed a Pounds 2.5m injection by a consortium of five property developers and a government grant of Pounds 500,000. Analysts had c onsidered it a likely early casualty once O&Y went into administration. Rive rbus is owned by a partnership of O&Y and the property division of P&O, the shipping company, which is the developer of Chelsea Harbour. P&O manages Riv erbus via seconded managers, but has no liabilities and owns less than 6 per cent of the issued share capital. P&O welcomed the administrators' decision . It said: 'We are quite happy to leave our manager in there to keep it runn ing . . . It's the only form of commuter transport on the river at the momen t.' Instead of marking its death knell, yesterday turned out to be one of Ri verbus's best days. Business on all its craft was brisk as Londoners and tou rists travelled in sunshine to look at the building which the past week's we lter of cartoons and photographs has turned into a famous landmark. One empl oyee said: 'The first boat was full and we had to turn people away in the en d because it was so busy. We've been doing extremely well.' It remains uncle ar how many of Riverbus's passengers were prospective tenants or predators, and how many simply wanted to see the Canary Wharf tower. Docklands may have potential as a tourist destination. The top of the tower was opened to the families of potential investors for a brief period in February and March, wh en O&Y was attempting to raise finance via a tax shelter scheme. The Financial Times London Page 6 ============= Transaction # 150 ============================================== Transaction #: 150 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:21:44 Selec. Rec. #: 80 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-13102 _AN-CGOA1AENFT 920 715 FT 15 JUL 92 / Warning over tourist industry By MICHAEL SKAPINKER, Leisure Industries Correspondent POORLY paid and badly trained hotel employees, together with in adequate public transport, threaten the UK's position as the world's fifth m ost popular tourist destination, according to a study by the National Econom ic Development Council. The NEDC study, published yesterday, says the UK has held its own in the international tourist industry over the past 20 years. Its share of tourists was 4.2 per cent of the world total in 1990, the same as in 1970. Its share of world tourist spending has remained about 6 per cen t for 20 years, suggesting Britain has been attracting visitors who spend mo re than the average. The study says, however, that this success masks worryi ng trends. Skill levels in UK hotels are lower than in continental Europe. B ritish hotels also employ more staff than their continental counterparts but pay them less. The report says both the private and public sectors should r aise the quality of tourist facilities. The private sector should also impro ve training and productivity, which would make the tourist industry more att ractive to job entrants. The UK has attracted increasing numbers of visitors from the US and Japan, but has been less successful in northern European ma rkets. The NEDC, which is due to be abolished at the end of the year, says t hat UK tourism should not try to compete on price. 'Comparison of the UK wit h other destinations shows that overall it is not particularly expensive; Lo ndon falls into the middle range of leading European cities.' The report urg es the tourist industry to create a new representative body to stress the se ctor's importance. Tourist spending, including domestic tourism, accounts fo r nearly 4 per cent of GDP and employs 1.6m people - more than the health se rvice. Surveys carried out for the NEDC list British culture and heritage, t he arts and London as attractions mentioned most often by visitors to the UK . Only the US, Spain, France and Italy attract more tourists. UK Tourism: Co mpeting for Growth. Nedo Books, Millbank Tower, London SW1P 4QX. Pounds 11.2 0. The Financial Times London Page 10 ============= Transaction # 151 ============================================== Transaction #: 151 Transaction Code: 14 (Search Results Displayed) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:22:01 Selec. Rec. #: 0 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 8262 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 12 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: ============= Transaction # 152 ============================================== Transaction #: 152 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:22:06 Selec. Rec. #: 84 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT933-39 _AN-DI3C1AGPFT 930930 FT 30 SEP 93 / Survey of India (7): Beautiful waters th at have turned to blood - Tourism and tension in the Vale of Kashmir By SHIRAZ SIDHVA UNTIL recently, the legen dary beauty of Kashmir in northern India attracted tourists by the plane-loa d, writes SHIRAZ SIDHVA. In 1989, Indian Airlines ran 13 flights a day into the state. Now there is one flight a day. It brings only a few tourists, mos tly back-packers of the kind who used to come by bus from Jammu, or trekkers heading for the Himalayan kingdom of Ladakh. Most of the tourists are aware of the conflict in Kashmir, where the Moslem population has long chafed aga inst Indian rule. But they cannot resist the famed attractions of the area i ncluding the gracious houseboats that can be rented for next to nothing on t he placid lakes near Srinagar. 'We wanted to see for ourselves whether Kashm ir is the lost paradise the newspapers say it is,' says Carlo, an Italian ar chitect, during the flight to Kashmir. 'I decided that if we didn't visit Ka shmir now, we may never get there. Is it really as bad as they say?' If you are not put off by sporadic shooting, explosions, curfews, and the presence of thousands of Kalashnikov-toting soldiers and militia-men, then Kashmir is still a lovely destination for a holiday. On all sides there is the awesome grandeur of the Himalayas. The people are as friendly as ever, and room pri ces have remained steady for three years. But as soon as you land, you know you are in a war zone, where there are daily clashes fought armed separatist s and units of the estimated quarter of a million armed forces. Four years o f death and decay are symbolised by what has happened at the Dal Lake. Once a haven for tourists all the year round, its quiet waters are now choked wit h weeds. In a phenomenon still unexplained by scientists, the colour of the lake changed two years ago from a muddy green to red. 'The lake mirrors the rivers of blood that are flowing in the Valley,' says Ahmed Jaan, a wizened old man who for 50 years has sailed his shikara on these waters. Today, his life is as desolate as the houseboats with their vacant signboards. The intr icately carved facades of these floating homes bear quaint names, like Queen of Sheba, Paris Beauty and Cherry Ripe. But their timbers are rotting, and the rooms, with their chandeliers and exquisite carpets, are musty from negl ect. At Mr Butt's Clairmont houseboat on the Nagin lake, the visitor's book tells of good times that may never return. Beatle George Harrison has been h ere; so have hundreds of other celebrities from around the world. The crowds that thronged the Dal Lake boulevard have been replaced by soldiers with st en guns, the golf course is overgrown and abandoned, and the grand imperial Residence that became the Oberoi Hotel now houses officers of the paramilita ry forces. Groups of women squat on the pavement outside the interrogation c entre waiting sometimes for hours to see their sons, brothers or fathers who have been picked up, sometimes, without reason, for questioning. There have been over 150 deaths in custody this year. Stung by international complaint s about human rights abuse earlier this year, the government is trying to ma ke its security forces more accountable. But this is not easy. Most of the s oldiers who are fighting a well armed guerrilla enemy were trained for a con ventional conflict rather than to face 10 year-old boys who lob hand-grenade s before running into their mothers' arms. The Kashmiris have been alienated from the security forces after humiliating and sometimes brutal house searc hes. The troops have for decades been instilled with hatred of the enemy (re ad Pakistan). For them, every Kashmiri in the Valley is anti-national, and t herefore, Pakistani. Women and children have been killed or wounded in cross fire between Kashmiri militants and the armed forces. The citizenry of Srina gar retreat indoors long before nightfall, hoping that the next day will daw n without a search operation. Only stray dogs keep the soldiers company on t heir long night vigil. There is no solution in sight. 'The Indian government has pushed us to the wall, and now, at the point of a gun, they want us to swear loyalty to the nation,' says a well-to-do Srinagar trader. 'I never th ought that there would come a stage when I would support the movement that s ome people have been advocating for over 40 years. 'But with the daily dose of humiliation and harassment from the Indian forces, I cannot see how we ca n turn back on this road we have taken.' Countries:- INZ India, Asia. Industries:- P7999 Amusement and Recr eation, NEC. P9229 Public Order and Safety, NEC. Types:- CMMT Comment & Analysis. The Financial Times London Page V ============= Transaction # 153 ============================================== Transaction #: 153 Transaction Code: 39 (Full Doc Window --TREC) Terminal ID: 57943 Z39.50 Server ID: 19 (TREC) Session ID: 1 New Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Old Z39.50 Server ID: 0 (Astro/Math/Stat) Usr Interface: Prob Time Cmd Sent: 16:00:00 Rec. Format: Short Time Cmd Complete: 16:23:22 Selec. Rec. #: 87 Boolean Indexes Used: 0 Author 0 Date 0 Rectype 0 X_Corp Author 0 Call # 0 Title 0 Language 0 X_Author 0 Uniform Title 0 Subject 0 ISBN 0 X_Title 0 X_Subject 0 Organization 0 LCCN 0 Topic 0 Host Item 0 Series 0 ISSN 0 Keyword 0 Conf Boolean Conjunctions: Button 1: and Button 2: OR Button 3: or Used?: No Used?: No Used?: No # Keywords: 0 Error Code: 0 # Hits: 0 Help Code: 0 # Displayed: 0 Help ID: 0 Associated Variable Length Text: FT923-11990 _AN-CGVAPAAPFT 920 722 FT 22 JUL 92 / Peru rebels call 'armed strike' By SALLY BOWEN LIMA < TEXT> PERU'S worst wave of terrorist bombings in 12 years is likely to ensur e widespread support for an 'armed strike' called for today by the Sendero L uminoso guerrilla group, writes Sally Bowen in Lima. Messages painted on sha nty-town walls are warning inhabitants of Lima and key provincial cities the y risk death if they attempt to turn up for work. In the past few days Sende ro has intensified its campaign of terror in the capital. On Monday night a car bomb wre